Seems like this is the most likely outcome.
ACC lawsuit plays out and a group of schools leave for the B1G, SEC, and B12. ACC is gutted,
Not going to happen. FSU/Clemson lawsuits are trainwrecks, and there is no certainty of available spots in the P2.
No school is going to voluntarily pay exit fees/GOR settlements to make a lateral move to the B12.
MAYBE FSU pays up to jump to the B10 or SEC, if either of those conferences will have them. That's it. Not exactly "gutted".
P12 adds Stanford and Cal to get back to 8 members, maybe more MW schools.
Not going to happen. Stanford and CAL signed ACC GOR. They are there until 2036.
ACC will be desperate to reload so they will be looking at UConn, USF, Memphis, ECU, Temple, etc
LOL Memphis LOL Temple.
End result is the SEC and B1G making huge $
B12 doing ok but only making about half the SEC and B1G
LOL more like 25%, assuming there are still even conference media contracts when the current ones expire. Look, we get that you are a Big12 fan--and congrats on the nice payouts your schools are currently getting--but TX and OK leaving your conference has destroyed a lot of value, and the remaining schools will realize that at some point. There is a lag, like every other financial impact, but it will happen.
PAC and ACC making about half of the B12 as "tweener" conferences.
ACC, maybe. PAC, LOL.
Then you have the MW, C-USA, Sun Belt, MAC, and AAC all in one group of schools with no brands whatsoever as they have been picked clean. This group will not stay in the same division as the power schools as they can't afford NIL and can't compete.
Probably true, not really a controversial prediction.
The real question is that when the SEC, B1G, and B12 breakaway will the PAC and ACC be included in the group as the bottom dwellers. Would be funny and the best plan to keep all the brands in the SEC, B1G, and B12 popular while the ACC and PAC absorb all the L's.
LOL so there's going to be a P3 and the Big12 is grandfathered in. Good for you!
So is Uconn in a better off with Big East membership, Great for BB, exposure issues in BB and no exposure in FB, making 500k on TV for FB, less than 10 million in TV $ struggling as a FBS indy.
or
A gutted ACC with BC, Wake, Cuse, ECU, USF, Temple, Memphis, etc making around 15 million on TV but better exposure.That's a tough one IMO as the Big East is best for BB but there is no $ and limited exposure. The gutted ACC is going to be more of an AAC type situation but more regional teams to UConn.
After all that horse poop, we get to your condescending analysis of what is best for UConn. Gee thanks, and also please fûćk off somewhere else with your conference fantasies.