How is FSU stuck? According to Frank the Tank: "Florida State hits virtually every metric that the Big Ten is looking for long-term; football power, growing population and massive TV markets."
Probably the geography?
How is FSU stuck? According to Frank the Tank: "Florida State hits virtually every metric that the Big Ten is looking for long-term; football power, growing population and massive TV markets."
Back in the '70s the Rasmussen family had this idea of starting a cable network to broadcast Whalers games & all UCONN sports. That little start up in Bristol morphed into one of Disney's most profitable arms.I don't think that's too far-fetched a scenario given that there are currently people making millions a year playing video games on YouTube.
Maybe not in five or ten years, but I can definitely see a day where even a school like UConn says f--- it and puts their home content on their own platform.
You think 100,000 people would spend $9.95 a month if that's what it took to see UConn home games in every sport?
Probably.
I can definitely see a day where even a school like UConn says f--- it and puts their home content on their own platform.
You think 100,000 people would spend $9.95 a month if that's what it took to see UConn home games in every sport?
Probably.
The ACC's problem is it's all print and no foot.With the large population footprint of the conference...
Unfortunately it has to attract a lot more revenue than that to be worthwhile. That's $12 million per year. TV production costs for "every sport" would be more, so it wouldn't be profitable. (I saw a report that Missouri's travel costs in the SEC were $7-8 mn per year. It costs more to produce TV than to move a team to and from a game.)
How is FSU stuck? According to Frank the Tank: "Florida State hits virtually every metric that the Big Ten is looking for long-term; football power, growing population and massive TV markets."
The ACC's problem is it's all print and no foot.
Precisely. The ACC's target population, which our friend calls a "footprint," consists of a foot (either the SEC or B1G) and a print which is the ACC. And soon enough, the only substantial portion (North Carolina and Virginia) will enter the cross hairs of those big boy conferences.Also a large portion of the ACC footprint overlaps the footprints of the SEC and B1G. The ACC isn't the top conference for much of its footprint.
Unfortunately it has to attract a lot more revenue than that to be worthwhile. That's $12 million per year. TV production costs for "every sport" would be more, so it wouldn't be profitable. (I saw a report that Missouri's travel costs in the SEC were $7-8 mn per year. It costs more to produce TV than to move a team to and from a game.)
And when FSU/Miami aren't playing where do Floridians go for college football? The SEC or the ACC? Ditto for South Carolina. Ditto again for Kentucky. And we're one more realignment move away from saying ditto for North Carolina and Virginia.I'd say as many folks in Florida watch the combo of FSU and Miami as they do Florida...and South Carolina is split pretty near 50-50 on Clemson/South Carolina. Georgia owns their state. There are no ACC teams in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mizzouri.
The ACC owns North Carolina and Virginia. Louisville and Kentucky will be pulling closer in splitting Kentucky football fans but Kentucky probably has the lead now.
I'd say as many folks in Florida watch the combo of FSU and Miami as they do Florida...and South Carolina is split pretty near 50-50 on Clemson/South Carolina. Georgia owns their state. There are no ACC teams in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mizzouri.
The ACC owns North Carolina and Virginia. Louisville and Kentucky will be pulling closer in splitting Kentucky football fans but Kentucky probably has the lead now.
There is no data available that says Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, Iowa, Pennsylvania ie " the rust belt ", will be growing in population, influence, etc over the next 50 years. Quite the opposite as a matter of fact. All the data points to a loss of population, loss of influence, etc. Where is the population expected to grow in the country over the next 50 years ? Well, its not in the midwest. Its in the South, Southwest. The notion that the ACC league is going " to collapse ", or swallowed up by the " rust belt " midwest league is really going against all the data that is readily available to us as to where the population shifts will be happening in the next 50 years.
Even moving " east " ( to N.E., NJ, etc ) won't be all that great for the Big. Besides, the ACC proactively expanded both " east " and " south ", by adding Miami, BC, VT, Syracuse, Pitt, Louisville ( and ND from right in the center of the midwest ) under Swofford's tenure. Under Swofford, the ACC expanded north, south, east all along the Atlantic Coast all the way from Maine to the southern tip of Florida. The Big took Maryland & Rutgers by comparison. Not exactly a good comparison to what the ACC has done by contrast, imo. I'd say an unbiased view would say the ACC has done pretty well for itself in the musical chairs we call realignment. Plus, the league is stable now too. Look at the B12. Its a mess, with instabilty, infighting, acrimony galore. Its the B12 that might " collapse " imo... not the ACC.Which might explain why the "rust belt" midwest league is expanding east. The ACC should be worried that the "rust belt" midwest league doesn't to it, what it did to the Big East.
Even moving " east " ( to N.E., NJ, etc ) won't be all that great for the Big. Besides, the ACC proactively expanded both " east " and " south ", by adding Miami, BC, VT, Syracuse, Pitt, Louisville ( and ND from right in the center of the midwest ) under Swofford's tenure. Under Swofford, the ACC expanded north, south, east all along the Atlantic Coast all the way from Maine to the southern tip of Florida. The Big took Maryland & Rutgers by comparison. Not exactly a good comparison to what the ACC has done by contrast, imo. I'd say an unbiased view would say the ACC has done pretty well for itself in the musical chairs we call realignment. Plus, the league is stable now too. Look at the B12. Its a mess, with instabilty, infighting, acrimony galore. Its the B12 that might " collapse " imo... not the ACC.
Ya, ACC is sitting pretty compared to the B1G. Swofford out-maneuvered Delaney every step of the way.Even moving " east " ( to N.E., NJ, etc ) won't be all that great for the Big. Besides, the ACC proactively expanded both " east " and " south ", by adding Miami, BC, VT, Syracuse, Pitt, Louisville ( and ND from right in the center of the midwest ) under Swofford's tenure. Under Swofford, the ACC expanded north, south, east all along the Atlantic Coast all the way from Maine to the southern tip of Florida. The Big took Maryland & Rutgers by comparison. Not exactly a good comparison to what the ACC has done by contrast, imo. I'd say an unbiased view would say the ACC has done pretty well for itself in the musical chairs we call realignment. Plus, the league is stable now too. Look at the B12. Its a mess, with instabilty, infighting, acrimony galore. Its the B12 that might " collapse " imo... not the ACC.
Your analysis conveniently ignores the elephant in the ACC's living room. The Northeast, which is where the B1G is moving has something north of 60 million souls. How long will it take for the South to increase it's population by, say, 360 million which, after the SEC peels off its 300 million leaves the necessary 60 million for the ACC? That's a really long time horizon. BCU might even win some conference games before that bet pays off.There is no data available that says Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, Iowa, Pennsylvania ie " the rust belt ", will be growing in population, influence, etc over the next 50 years. Quite the opposite as a matter of fact. All the data points to a loss of population, loss of influence, etc. Where is the population expected to grow in the country over the next 50 years ? Well, its not in the midwest. Its in the South, Southwest. The notion that the ACC league thus is going " to collapse ", or swallowed up by the " rust belt " midwest league is really going against all the data that is readily available to us as to where the population shifts, influence, leverage, etc will be happening over the next 50 years. ND is anything but stupid. They had a chance to join the Rust Belt Conference , but they see the same population data for the next 50 years as the rest of us.