Have to think he had a better shot when he was lead asst/recruiter than going 0-100 at Pitt in 1 year. Maybe his chances really were 0, but I honestly don't see a lot of other compelling options.
SBNation article earlier this summer had him as 2nd favorite:
The 5 most likely candidates to succeed Coach K at Duke
None of those options are inspiring. There also aren't a lot of good, established, successful coaches with enough success to merit Duke and who aren't ancient who I can see leaving their programs. Tony Bennett? Maybe? Jay Wright? Skeptical. I don't see Mark Few leaving Zaga. Beilein is 65. Sean Miller has crazy baggage. Gregg Marshall? Never been a recruiter.
The Macks/Holtmann/Archie's of the world haven't achieved enough. Maybe if one of them has a great year.
Is it Mike Brey? I just can't see them pulling a UConn and giving it to Jon Scheyer if it's really next year.