Game Week - UConn v. #21 UCF (Thursday Night 8/30/18 @ 7p on ESPNU) | Page 3 | The Boneyard

Game Week - UConn v. #21 UCF (Thursday Night 8/30/18 @ 7p on ESPNU)

HuskyHawk said:
This is a really negative take. Syracuse is unwinnable? Nonsense. Are we favorites, no. Do underdogs win games? Yes. Every year, lots of them.
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True....But based on the Vegas Odds, historically...underdogs of +19.5 points or more have won a 1.6% of the matches. (The odds of the UCF game).

A ten point dog has a fighting chance since they win almost a quarter of their matches.

Sooo...it is a matter of just how much of an underdog.

Don't have a clue about the Cuse odds yet.
 
billybud said:
True....But based on the Vegas Odds, historically...underdogs of +19.5 points or more have won a 1.6% of the matches. (The odds of the UCF game).

A ten point dog has a fighting chance since they win almost a quarter of their matches.

Sooo...it is a matter of just how much of an underdog.

Don't have a clue about the Cuse odds yet.
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And UConn has won those games before against Tedy Bridgewater and Louisville for example.

I don't think Syracuse would be favored by more than 8-9. I think a 1.6% chance against UCF is about right. But we, and Vegas, have absolutely no idea what this UConn team is or can do. They may be much better or worse that than spread.
 
Hmmm ... the Niel Ostrout comments on Jo0e D's podcast were a lot less confident in the OL than have been expressed here in recent days.
 
HuskyHawk said:
And UConn has won those games before against Tedy Bridgewater and Louisville for example.

I don't think Syracuse would be favored by more than 8-9. I think a 1.6% chance against UCF is about right. But we, and Vegas, have absolutely no idea what this UConn team is or can do. They may be much better or worse that than spread.
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That was a good underdog win against Louisville...looked up the odds...

"Odds: The Huskies opened as 12-point underdogs on the road, but the line has since moved down anywhere from 1 to 1 1/2 points towards UConn."
 
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Nextmanup said:
He’s worried about the interior of the OL.. I’m surprised to hear that..
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Reasonable considering Crozier is coming off another season impacted by injury and that Haynes the the first true freshman OL to start in a season opener since UConn began playing at the FBS level (thx Jim Fuller for that tidbit).
 
Anyone know of a good bar in Boston to watch the game? Can't find anything about watch parties anywhere.
 
CL82 said:
Gotta say, I'm feeling the start of the season excitement, notwithstanding the fact that I think it will be a long night for us on Thursday. I'm trying to manage my expectations. I just want to see improvement, in fundamentals, in scheme, in body language.
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Disregarding what the number of freshman on the two deep typically indicates, this is the most optimistic I've witnessed the coaching staff be since we didn't know how crazy Diaco actually was in 2014. I'm half expecting to be pleasantly surprised.
 
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billybud said:
True....But based on the Vegas Odds, historically...underdogs of +19.5 points or more have won a 1.6% of the matches. (The odds of the UCF game).

A ten point dog has a fighting chance since they win almost a quarter of their matches.

Sooo...it is a matter of just how much of an underdog.

Don't have a clue about the Cuse odds yet.
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I wonder if those odds change much for first games of the season for both teams?
 
4xChamps said:
Anyone know of a good bar in Boston to watch the game? Can't find anything about watch parties anywhere.
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Listen, you need to get to the game! We're not that far and we need fans at the game! I'll probably have an extra with my group if you go.
 
Rewster said:
I wonder if those odds change much for first games of the season for both teams?
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I was wondering the same thing.. The first game of the year is a lot less predictable than games in the middle and late in the year.
 
Rewster said:
I wonder if those odds change much for first games of the season for both teams?
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Doubt it changes much.

Who took UConn +300 to be the first fanbase to storm the field this year? If you get a big group to bet that and +19.5, then covering may be a big enough reason to storm the field.
 
blue93 said:
I was wondering the same thing.. The first game of the year is a lot less predictable than games in the middle and late in the year.
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I would suspect that they may be more variable in opening games...but no one, that I know of, keeps betting records for just opening games.
 
4xChamps said:
Anyone know of a good bar in Boston to watch the game? Can't find anything about watch parties anywhere.
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The usual watch spot for the local UConn Alumni Chapter is The Greatest Bar near the Garden. 262 Friend St. in Boston. It's not a great bar in my opinion, but that is where they usually meet over the last couple of years.

That said, the Alumni website does not list an event for this game.
UConn Alumni Events

Your problem will be conflicting Red Sox and Patriots pre-season games.
 
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Game prediction, picks
There's too much of a chance for UCF's offense, with the same quarterback but under the direction of a new play-caller, to spin its wheels a little bit out of the gate. If the Knights are going to cover this spread, they'll need to start hitting home-run plays in the first half, and I'm willing to bet that the UConn defense shows up early. It might be a late fourth quarter sweat, but I think the Huskies can hang around and cover this number. Pick: UConn +23.5
 
billybud said:
I would suspect that they may be more variable in opening games...but no one, that I know of, keeps betting records for just opening games.
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Don't mind me, I'm just trying to cling to any sliver of hope I can find.
 
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BlueandOG said:
Listen, you need to get to the game! We're not that far and we need fans at the game! I'll probably have an extra with my group if you go.
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I hear you but unfortunately it’s our busy time at work so I will be there until 6 or 630, won’t be able to make the drive
 
huskymedic said:
UCF Game Captains: Matt Peart, Marshe Terry and Donovan Williams.
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Randy Edsall‏ @RandyEdsall
Going to be great having former @UConnFootball standouts Alfred Fincher and Terry Caulley as our Honorary Game Captains tomorrow night. Come out and see them before the game. Great having our former players coming back and still being part of the program. We missed you guys!
 
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