Please explain why any 1G or SEC would consider spinning football off from all other athletic programs.
Yes, this scenario would be great for any school that isn't in either of those two conferences but the two conferences that have the massive advantages aren't going to give those advantages up just to make things easier for the other conferences
No one needs to spin off an athletic program. They simply do not need to have the same conference affiliations with football that they have with other sports.
Every program has to balance doing what is best for itself vs. what is best for the sport. Do the SEC and Big 10 want 70% of the revenue in a sport that shrinks dramatically because most fans are locked out, or do they want 40% of a massive entertainment product? I guess it comes down to whether you think SEC and Big 10 presidents understand fractions.
If you are right, and there will only be a P2, then why will it stop there? Why won't the power programs in the P2 push the dead weight out?
If you are right, and there will only be a P2, then why in the heck should UConn EVER JOIN THE BIG 12?
One thing to remember is that the defendant almost always loses in anti-trust cases involving sports. The reason for that is that every sport violates the principle of free competition within existing anti-trust laws. The College Football Playoff and these mega conferences exist because of court cases, and there will be more court cases in the future as the dollars get bigger. Do you think the P5 conferences pay the G5 for the CFP because they are nice? Nope. They do it to keep the G5 from suing them.