Can we sneak into a bye in BET? | Page 2 | The Boneyard

Can we sneak into a bye in BET?

Being the 6 seed wouldn't be the worst. Warm up game against Georgetown or Depaul, and then a night game against the 3 seed (likely not Xavier or Marquette...). That honestly might be the best option for us lol
And it would open up this possibility, which might fit better in this thread. Go ahead, click on the link and get dreaming...

 
French Laundry is a happening place... Nice grab.. Have you done Per Se in NYC?

I have not, but it's on "the list" . That would have to be one with the wife though, at the BET me and my bro I go with do the manly places that my wife wouldn't like. She will love Per Se. And so will I. She doesnt mind steakhouses but they arent her favorite. At the BET we make our way around Manhattan grabbing Pizza slices on the way to steakhouses......and Pizza slices on the way to the garden, and on the way out of the garden, and on the way from the place we stay, and while waiting for a taxi or uber, and on the way..... well you get the picture.
 
Winning will take care of itself. If we don't win, we won't earn a bye

As for the top teams, they're going to be losing games as they play each other. And we need to beat them too

Yes, we can earn a bye. And it can even be better than a 5 seed (although losing to St John's and Seton Hall makes that a little harder)
 
It's not a bad path, but imagine being told UConn will play on Wednesday of the BET a month ago.
Well, this conference season has already been a failure anyways. We finished 3rd in the BE the last two seasons, and now we had our best OOC results in a decade and we are on track to be the 5/6 seed. Any way you look at it, it's a failure
 
Ha - this is funny —now we’re begging for a first round buy in our own conference tournament —-whereas four weeks ago , we were looking like the best team in the land. Unreal
No one said BB fans are rational
especially those with just a superficial knowledge of the sport .
The results are incredible swings in the optimism vs pessimism scale
 
.-.
To get 4th we basically need to win @Creighton, win all the games we should and steal @Nova or home to Marquette, and have them lose one of basically the same 2 games (@Nova, home Marquette).
 
To get 4th we basically need to win @Creighton, win all the games we should and steal @Nova or home to Marquette, and have them lose one of basically the same 2 games (@Nova, home Marquette).
Winning 2 games that we will be favored in would be steals?
 
This is 2 days old but I don't believe any of yesterday's results were unexpected so should still be fairly accurate


I would lean more pessimistic than this because our KenPom numbers are vastly superior to our demonstrated ability to win games lately.

A lot of it comes down to vs. Seton Hall and @ Nova games.
 
To get 4th we basically need to win @Creighton, win all the games we should and steal @Nova or home to Marquette, and have them lose one of basically the same 2 games (@Nova, home Marquette).
4th vs. 5th makes literally zero difference though -- nobody gets a bye, you play each other, and then have to face the 1 seed regardless.

5th vs. 6th is a huge difference
 
The top 4 spots in the BET are locked up. They are in no particular end of season order,but 1-4 will be Xavier, Marquette, Providence, and Creighton. So that leaves only 5th place at best for us.

Right now we are playing on Wednesday as the 6th seed in a first round game.

We will be competing with Seton Hall (a game up on us) and Nova (a couple games back but with a game in hand). I've gotta figure the only 2 realistic options are a 5 or a 6. We have a better chance of being a 7 than a 4, but I don't care about 4 because 4 or 5 seed is the same game time.

Right now I think it is a coin flip we earn a bye. Don't know what to think, and I'm trying to plan my NYC dinner reservations for that week (namely 4 Charles Prime Rib, which is impossible to get a reservation at, they book 21 days in advance and you have to be luckier on resi than you would be trying to get Taylor swift tix on ticketmaster............ and we will need to make a decision in a couple weeks).


There is a tear in my eye typing this, because if you told me 31 days ago that our most likely league finish is 5-7 I would've called you Nelson Muntz. On 1/31 I was already locked into BET but was also tentatively making plans for Albany and MSG.


So I guess I'm asking for predictions on out BET seed.
i dont have much confidence right now. im saying 7
 
.-.
Well, this conference season has already been a failure anyways. We finished 3rd in the BE the last two seasons, and now we had our best OOC results in a decade and we are on track to be the 5/6 seed. Any way you look at it, it's a failure

Like I said burn that cardboard cut out and let’s start anew
 
i dont have much confidence right now. im saying 7
A 7 is highly highly unlikely barring a complete collapse. Even if we went 2-6 and only beat Georgetown and DePaul we still project to end up as a 6 seed
 
BAD MOJO
Thread
8 TO GO

Jus win the next game and then we can talk about
winning the next game after that.
Play with that mind set and those frivolous things sort themselves out .
As far as the Big East Tournament goes it’s next to inconsequential.
I predict 5-10 years from now when AZ is a distant memory
When the 2022-23 season is discussed
The things remembered will be
The NCAA tournament if we make a run even if it ends with a heartbreak
and comparison of 2028-29 players to the kids we fondly remember from this year.
The tourney will only be remembered
If something significant happens I.e.
Our first 1990
5 in 5 2011
or Multiple OT games 2009&2016
3/4 Court short at the buzzer
The details will be forgotten.
Georgetown is the most important game of the year
Today it is.
All else is distraction.
Coaches & players can't afford it.
Why do the fans defend it so hard?
 
.-.
Winning 2 games that we will be favored in would be steals?
We're 3-8 in our last 11 against the spread and 2 of those covers are against reeling Butler, who has dropped 40 KenPom spots since we beat them the first time. Our strong margin of victory in prior games is masking our actual game to game quality, especially against good teams. Whether or not we're a favorite is pretty irrelevant to the outcome at this point.

That and we haven't won at Nova in a decade.
 
The top 4 spots in the BET are locked up. They are in no particular end of season order,but 1-4 will be Xavier, Marquette, Providence, and Creighton. So that leaves only 5th place at best for us.

Right now we are playing on Wednesday as the 6th seed in a first round game.

We will be competing with Seton Hall (a game up on us) and Nova (a couple games back but with a game in hand). I've gotta figure the only 2 realistic options are a 5 or a 6. We have a better chance of being a 7 than a 4, but I don't care about 4 because 4 or 5 seed is the same game time.

Right now I think it is a coin flip we earn a bye. Don't know what to think, and I'm trying to plan my NYC dinner reservations for that week (namely 4 Charles Prime Rib, which is impossible to get a reservation at, they book 21 days in advance and you have to be luckier on resi than you would be trying to get Taylor swift tix on ticketmaster............ and we will need to make a decision in a couple weeks).


There is a tear in my eye typing this, because if you told me 31 days ago that our most likely league finish is 5-7 I would've called you Nelson Muntz. On 1/31 I was already locked into BET but was also tentatively making plans for Albany and MSG.


So I guess I'm asking for predictions on out BET seed.
Start making Arby's plans. No reservations needed.
 
We're 3-8 in our last 11 against the spread and 2 of those covers are against reeling Butler, who has dropped 40 KenPom spots since we beat them the first time. Our strong margin of victory in prior games is masking our actual game to game quality, especially against good teams. Whether or not we're a favorite is pretty irrelevant to the outcome at this point.

That and we haven't won at Nova in a decade.
I get that but you have to be pretty down on us to be viewing both of those as losses. And not winning at Nova for a decade is probably even more irrelevant than any spread- Best UConn team in ten years against by far the worst Nova team, without Jay.
 
I get that but you have to be pretty down on us to be viewing both of those as losses. And not winning at Nova for a decade is probably even more irrelevant than any spread- Best UConn team in ten years against by far the worst Nova team, without Jay.

According to big east standings we arent the best UConn team in 1 year.
 
The top 4 spots in the BET are locked up. They are in no particular end of season order,but 1-4 will be Xavier, Marquette, Providence, and Creighton. So that leaves only 5th place at best for us.

Right now we are playing on Wednesday as the 6th seed in a first round game.

We will be competing with Seton Hall (a game up on us) and Nova (a couple games back but with a game in hand). I've gotta figure the only 2 realistic options are a 5 or a 6. We have a better chance of being a 7 than a 4, but I don't care about 4 because 4 or 5 seed is the same game time.

Right now I think it is a coin flip we earn a bye. Don't know what to think, and I'm trying to plan my NYC dinner reservations for that week (namely 4 Charles Prime Rib, which is impossible to get a reservation at, they book 21 days in advance and you have to be luckier on resi than you would be trying to get Taylor swift tix on ticketmaster............ and we will need to make a decision in a couple weeks).


There is a tear in my eye typing this, because if you told me 31 days ago that our most likely league finish is 5-7 I would've called you Nelson Muntz. On 1/31 I was already locked into BET but was also tentatively making plans for Albany and MSG.


So I guess I'm asking for predictions on out BET seed.
So is this really true? UConn is likely favored in the final 8 games. Suspend any disbelief and assume we end up that way at 14-6.

Xavier plays @Marquette. Call that a L. @PC another L. Without Freemantle it could be worse.
Marquette has Xavier home, W. But UConn and Creighton away, two Ls.
PC has 3 losses now and could lose 3 more. 2 is more likely @ UConn and @ St. Johns
Creighton though, has 3 losses now and a gauntlet coming. Nova home and away, UConn home, @PC, @ St. Johns, Marquette home
Seton Hall has it even worse than Creighton.

Barring a collapse, Xavier and Marquette look like 1-2, PC looks like 3. UConn could still be 4.
 
.-.
That and we haven't won at Nova in a decade.

This has to be one of the all time most ridiculous comments. Not winning at their place in a decade sounds like a lot . . . Until you realize that we’ve only played at their place 3 times in the past decade. We were in different leagues for most of the past decade, remember?

Oh, and Villanova has a different coach and mostly different players than we faced in those 3 losses. So, what exactly is the relevance of that comment.

And one other thing. Villanova’s best player has only been back for 2 games after missing the last 10 months with an Achilles tear. He’s just getting back into the flow of things but isn’t there yet, as evidenced by the fact that he’s shooting only 23% from the floor overall in those 2 games.
 
The top 4 spots in the BET are locked up. They are in no particular end of season order,but 1-4 will be Xavier, Marquette, Providence, and Creighton. So that leaves only 5th place at best for us.

A week ago, I would have agreed with you, Austin. But the Freemantle injury changes everything for Xavier. A team can’t lose its best player for a month and not feel the effects. They were lucky to get away with a win over Providence last night.

I expected us to be neck & neck with PC for the 4th spot. Depending on how badly X stumbles, we could be fighting PC for that 3-seed and that last bye.
 
Very interesting calculation. I have tickets to the final so if I extrapolate out we will be playing on Saturday as well.
You are very good at mathematics and statistics. No way we don't make the finals.
 
Start making Arby's plans. No reservations needed.


The Arby's not far from garden on 8th Ave near times square closes at 9PM. Otherwise Id be there. Do you think you are talking to an amateur here who doesnt know and plan for Arby's rendezvous' in the city?

Im gettting old but Im not at early bird special stage yet, like you. I still eat dinner at 11 PM.
 
A week ago, I would have agreed with you, Austin. But the Freemantle injury changes everything for Xavier. A team can’t lose its best player for a month and not feel the effects. They were lucky to get away with a win over Providence last night.

I expected us to be neck & neck with PC for the 4th spot. Depending on how badly X stumbles, we could be fighting PC for that 3-seed and that last bye.

They just beat the 2nd best team in the league without him during the first game he was out, with zero time to adjust. Xavier will be fine.

Ill bet you 50 dollars right now, to a UConn charity that we are not fighting PC for 3rd place. Let's get that done here.
Remain Calm All Is Well GIF


This is you.

And Freemantle is like the 4th best player on that squad. LOLOLOLOL!
 
Here’s one man’s best guess for how the teams finish at the end of the regular schedule. I’ve gone through the schedule game by game and have tried to account for the loss of Freemantle at Xavier and the return of Justin Moore at Villanova. With the caveat that many of these games are close & could go either way, here’s my best guess without doing tie breakers for seeding:
/
16-4 Creighton
16-4 Marquette
16-4 Providence
13-7 Xavier
12-8 UConn
11-9 Seton Hall
9-7 Villanova
6-10 Butler
6-10 St. John’s
4-16 DePaul
1-19 Georgetown

I’m probably wrong.
 
.-.

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