Can we get an updated AAC bracket? | Page 3 | The Boneyard

Can we get an updated AAC bracket?

McLovin said:
Tulsa, Tulsa, Tulsa, Tulsa, Wichita, Cincy, Houston in that order.
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I'm going to make a prediction Wichita beats Tulsa Sunday in Wichita. They're not great, but it's a very hostile environment, senior day and they're not used to playing in big games on the road for championships. I guess the question is if Cincy and Houston both win their games at home. I think Cincy has tie breaker they're 2 and 1 versus the two. Competitive conference.
 
don356 said:
I'm going to make a prediction Wichita beats Tulsa Sunday in Wichita. They're not great, but it's a very hostile environment, senior day and they're not used to playing in big games on the road for championships. I guess the question is if Cincy and Houston both win their games at home. I think Cincy has tie breaker they're 2 and 1 versus the two. Competitive conference.
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If Wichita, Cincy and Houston all win, and we win as well, we need SMU to win on the road to slot us in the 6 seed vs Tulsa at the 3 seed. Houston would be the 2 seed on our side of the bracket.
 
McLovin said:
If Wichita, Cincy and Houston all win, and we win as well, we need SMU to win on the road to slot us in the 6 seed vs Tulsa at the 3 seed. Houston would be the 2 seed on our side of the bracket.
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SMU is considered the only upset among those results but it's gotta be the most likely upset of the weekend (BPI gives smu a 44% chance of winning) plus USF is garbage (2-5 stretch)
 
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bendm said:
SMU is considered the only upset among those results but it's gotta be the most likely upset
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If SMU loses and all other results are the same as above, we get the 5 seed (which is amazing considering our start to conference play) on Wichita and Cincy side of the bracket. Not a terrible situation either.
 
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I do not want to see Houston again they’re the only team that really scares me even though we beat them yesterday
 
I'd prefer to get the ECU-Tulsa-Houston road to the finals than Tulane-Wichita-Cincy road
 
Wordbomar said:
I'd prefer to get the ECU-Tulsa-Houston road to the finals than Tulane-Wichita-Cincy road
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These are the scenarios that get us Tulsa in the 2nd round. All of these assume Wichita beats Tulsa (we cannot play Tulsa if Tulsa wins) and Cincy beats Temple.

KfK07uc.png
 
If Cincinnati loses we could get some tough USF -> Cincy -> Houston -> Wichita draws that would be good for bubble purposes but bad for our chances of winning the tournament.
 
Wordbomar said:
I'd prefer to get the ECU-Tulsa-Houston road to the finals than Tulane-Wichita-Cincy road
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Absolutely. It's weird because Tulsa is currently in first place in the conference and Houston is second, but neither really scare me. Both are good teams but I'm confident a UConn team that shows up can beat both.

Wichita State is a very well coached and hard playing team. They will not beat themselves and they will not get outworked. They scare me. Cincy I feel is our worst overall matchup. These are the two I want to avoid.
 
If SMU handles USF they have the head-to-head over us and there's no way we out-seed them; and the 6 seed will then be the best we can do. Wichita State is already a game ahead and have the head-to-head over us as well. Only chance is jumping Memphis, who plays Houston. If they lose and we handle Tulane, we will be tied both in conference record and in head-to-head; who gets the seed at that point? Overall record? If so that means nothing, and all we have to hope for is SMU losing
 
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Rocktheworld said:
If SMU handles USF they have the head-to-head over us and there's no way we out-seed them; and the 6 seed will then be the best we can do. Wichita State is already a game ahead and have the head-to-head over us as well. Only chance is jumping Memphis, who plays Houston. If they lose and we handle Tulane, we will be tied both in conference record and in head-to-head; who gets the seed at that point? Overall record? If so that means nothing, and all we have to hope for is SMU losing
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We would jump them due to record against Tulsa.
 
So where does that leave the Huskies now? Cinncy trailing by 14 at the half?

djk
 
I don't think there's a scenario out there that would put us against Tulsa in the 2nd round now. SMU was up by 9 with less than 2 minutes to go. Brutal.
 
Flahuskie said:
So where does that leave the Huskies now? Cinncy trailing by 14 at the half?

djk
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If Cincy loses and everyone who is supposed to win tomorrow does, it looks like this:

bracket_image.png
 
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I honestly do not care about finishing 5th. I would rather not be on Houston’s side of the bracket. Can we beat them again? Sure we can, but It will be tough to beat them twice in one week.
 
If we win and Memphis loses, we're 5. If we win and Memphis wins, we are 6. We aren't losing....

Edit- looks like WSU would also need to win for us to get the 5.
 
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Updated with the USF game.

Our chances for each seed...
Before:
5 seed31.67%
6 seed34.57%
7 seed33.75%

After:
5 seed59.76%
6 seed12.24%
7 seed28.00%
 
sorry if someone answered this but how is the 5 seed possible if we tie with Memphis in record?
 
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Ajs120102 said:
sorry if someone answered this but how is the 5 seed possible if we tie with Memphis in record?
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Head to head is tied then the other tie breaker is record against 1st place team, if that’s tied then proceed to 2nd, 3rd and so on.
 
Ajs120102 said:
sorry if someone answered this but how is the 5 seed possible if we tie with Memphis in record?
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We split with Memphis.. so the next tie-break comes down to the highest ranked team where there is a difference between the two records. That would be Tulsa.. we split, Memphis lost.
 
Get a Job said:
We could get an at-large out of this bracket. Wins over WSU, Houston, and close loss to Cincy. Or we could beat Cincy, and then it's moot.
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ZERO chance at an at large. None. Nada. Zip. Forget about it. Ain’t happening.
 
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