Can we get an updated AAC bracket?

[CTBasketball]

I mean, the last seven years they've had:

2019: MSU, final four
2018: Michigan, runner up
2015: Wisconsin, runner up
2015: MSU, final four
2014: Wisconsin, final four
2013: Michigan, runner up

No title, but that seems arbitrary when they've had three teams competing for the title and 3 more in the final weekend.

Winning a title is hard, and the big 10 has proven itself a good league.

I’m still thankful Kentucky beat Wisconsin in 2014...that would have been a horrendous matchup for us.

 

[tzznandrew]

Coming back to this. Just for comparison, in that same window of time:

2013: BE, BE, B10, MVC
2014: AAC, SEC, B10, SEC
2015: ACC, B10, SEC, B10
2016: BE, ACC, ACC, B12
2017: ACC, WCC, P12, SEC
2018: BE, B10, B12, MVC
2019: ACC, B12, SEC, B10

So, Final Fours:

B10: 6
SEC: 5
ACC: 5
BE: 4
B12: 3
MVC: 2
AAC: 1
P12: 1
WCC: 1

Title Games:
ACC: 4
B10: 3
BE: 3
AAC: 1
B12: 1
SEC: 1
WCC: 1

Titles:
ACC: 3
BE: 3
AAC: 1

Looks to me that the B10 is competing at the highest level as much as the ACC, and even had more Final Four teams, they just haven't cashed in. Hardly seems overrated.

 

[YearoftheHusky]

I know many of us, myself included, have been asking for Tulsa in the second round. However, if we are going to have to beat Houston or Cincinnati along the way anyway, wouldn't It be better to face them in round two given we have such a small roster? By round three or four, their legs are going to start getting tired. I’d rather try to pick them off with a relatively energized bunch. Thoughts?

 

[wheelerdog]

First, I know the Houston game is all that matters. But in a perfect world, we could get to the championship game, lose, and have five Q1 wins ( Florida Houston Tulsa and AAC quarter and semifinals. ) A very long shot.....

We now have two Q1 wins. For at least 24 hours

 

[YearoftheHusky]

Currently the five playing Tulane and then WSU.

 

[auror]

Updated with the UConn and Memphis wins.

Our chances for each seed...
Before:

5 seed	13.43%
6 seed	27.01%
7 seed	59.56%

After:

5 seed	31.67%
6 seed	34.57%
7 seed	33.75%

To play Tulsa...
Before:

Just 6 v 3 matchups	23.09%
Just 7 vs 2 matchups	3.39%
Sum of Tulsa matchups	26.48%

After:

Just 6 v 3 matchups	28.09%
Just 7 vs 2 matchups	10.51%
Sum of Tulsa matchups	38.60%

Pretty much equal chance at each seed now. Things went well for us tonight, obviosly.

 

[uconn1999]

6 seed = approx 10:30pm tip
Give me the #5 or #7

 

[Nebraskan18]

Who would you guys rather we play in the second round between the top 4 seeds? I personally would like to wait to play cincinnati in the final if possible

 

[McLovin]

Who would you guys rather we play in the second round between the top 4 seeds? I personally would like to wait to play cincinnati in the final if possible

Tulsa, Tulsa, Tulsa, Tulsa, Wichita, Cincy, Houston in that order.

 

[JimHurley]

Who would you guys rather we play in the second round between the top 4 seeds? I personally would like to wait to play cincinnati in the final if possible

I’d most rather play Memphis, Tulsa, or Houston in round 2. I feel that Wichita State and Cincinnati are our worst matchups.

 

[ChocRaisins]

Igbanu for Tulsa would walk into a Uconn matchup with sky high confidence after what he did the first two games.

 

[don356]

Tulsa, Tulsa, Tulsa, Tulsa, Wichita, Cincy, Houston in that order.

I'm going to make a prediction Wichita beats Tulsa Sunday in Wichita. They're not great, but it's a very hostile environment, senior day and they're not used to playing in big games on the road for championships. I guess the question is if Cincy and Houston both win their games at home. I think Cincy has tie breaker they're 2 and 1 versus the two. Competitive conference.

 

[navery12]

Need Tulsa to beat Wichita State on Sunday now

 

[McLovin]

I'm going to make a prediction Wichita beats Tulsa Sunday in Wichita. They're not great, but it's a very hostile environment, senior day and they're not used to playing in big games on the road for championships. I guess the question is if Cincy and Houston both win their games at home. I think Cincy has tie breaker they're 2 and 1 versus the two. Competitive conference.

If Wichita, Cincy and Houston all win, and we win as well, we need SMU to win on the road to slot us in the 6 seed vs Tulsa at the 3 seed. Houston would be the 2 seed on our side of the bracket.

 

[bendm]

If Wichita, Cincy and Houston all win, and we win as well, we need SMU to win on the road to slot us in the 6 seed vs Tulsa at the 3 seed. Houston would be the 2 seed on our side of the bracket.

SMU is considered the only upset among those results but it's gotta be the most likely upset of the weekend (BPI gives smu a 44% chance of winning) plus USF is garbage (2-5 stretch)

 

[McLovin]

SMU is considered the only upset among those results but it's gotta be the most likely upset

If SMU loses and all other results are the same as above, we get the 5 seed (which is amazing considering our start to conference play) on Wichita and Cincy side of the bracket. Not a terrible situation either.

 

[JB75]

I do not want to see Houston again they’re the only team that really scares me even though we beat them yesterday

 

[Wordbomar]

I'd prefer to get the ECU-Tulsa-Houston road to the finals than Tulane-Wichita-Cincy road

 

[auror]

I'd prefer to get the ECU-Tulsa-Houston road to the finals than Tulane-Wichita-Cincy road

These are the scenarios that get us Tulsa in the 2nd round. All of these assume Wichita beats Tulsa (we cannot play Tulsa if Tulsa wins) and Cincy beats Temple.

 

[auror]

If Cincinnati loses we could get some tough USF -> Cincy -> Houston -> Wichita draws that would be good for bubble purposes but bad for our chances of winning the tournament.

 

[JimHurley]

I'd prefer to get the ECU-Tulsa-Houston road to the finals than Tulane-Wichita-Cincy road

Absolutely. It's weird because Tulsa is currently in first place in the conference and Houston is second, but neither really scare me. Both are good teams but I'm confident a UConn team that shows up can beat both.

Wichita State is a very well coached and hard playing team. They will not beat themselves and they will not get outworked. They scare me. Cincy I feel is our worst overall matchup. These are the two I want to avoid.

 

[Rocktheworld]

If SMU handles USF they have the head-to-head over us and there's no way we out-seed them; and the 6 seed will then be the best we can do. Wichita State is already a game ahead and have the head-to-head over us as well. Only chance is jumping Memphis, who plays Houston. If they lose and we handle Tulane, we will be tied both in conference record and in head-to-head; who gets the seed at that point? Overall record? If so that means nothing, and all we have to hope for is SMU losing

 

[auror]

If SMU handles USF they have the head-to-head over us and there's no way we out-seed them; and the 6 seed will then be the best we can do. Wichita State is already a game ahead and have the head-to-head over us as well. Only chance is jumping Memphis, who plays Houston. If they lose and we handle Tulane, we will be tied both in conference record and in head-to-head; who gets the seed at that point? Overall record? If so that means nothing, and all we have to hope for is SMU losing

We would jump them due to record against Tulsa.

 

[Ajs120102]

SMU lost a buzzer beater to USF

 

[Flahuskie]

So where does that leave the Huskies now? Cinncy trailing by 14 at the half?

djk