Bowl math | Page 5 | The Boneyard

Bowl math

With 3 teams winning, we are now at capacity.

Only 1 team left with a chance

Even if New Mexico makes it, I think unlikely that 8-4 UConn is left out.


+10.5 Auburn
+10 ULM
+3 NCSt
+3 Cincinnati
+2.5 AppSt

+1 Coastal

-1 Kansas
-1.5 Mich St
- 3 New Mexico
-11 UNT
 
With 3 teams winning, we are now at capacity.

Only 1 team left with a chance

Even if New Mexico makes it, I think unlikely that 8-4 UConn is left out.


+10.5 Auburn
+10 ULM

+3 NCSt
+3 Cincinnati
+2.5 AppSt

+1 Coastal

-1 Kansas
-1.5 Mich St

- 3 New Mexico
-11 UNT

And only 1 of the 5 P4 schools won. Helps our cause.
 
Western Michigan , Toledo, Fresno, and New Mexico probably at the bottom
With UConn

The MW may not care if defector Fresno gets placed
The Sun Belt also has more teams eligible than are covered by their guaranteed tie-ins. I'm not sure a 6-6 Coastal Carolina or South Alabama is going to look more attractive than 8-4 UConn.
 
The Sun Belt also has more teams eligible than are covered by their guaranteed tie-ins. I'm not sure a 6-6 Coastal Carolina or South Alabama is going to look more attractive than 8-4 UConn.
The southern schools have the built in advantage of bowl proximity in most cases, which will generally help with ticket sales.

May depend on who thd other team is.

What’s the lowest rung Sun belt bowl?
 
The Sun Belt also has more teams eligible than are covered by their guaranteed tie-ins. I'm not sure a 6-6 Coastal Carolina or South Alabama is going to look more attractive than 8-4 UConn.

Both SA and CC host bowl games at their stadiums. That doesn’t mean they get picked there but I would bet against those 2 not ending up somewhere.
 
I think this just shows our AD needs to get us a Bowl tie-in, I know UMass had their own as an independent. One more eligible team and we could've been screwed

Sooner or later we need to get into a conference if we want the security of bowl tie-ins, TV revenue sharing, etc. But that means either playing a G5 conference schedule with a G5 conference that would take us as football-only, or continuing to hold out hope that CR will keep shifting and we finally get an invite into a P4 conference for all sports. For that to happen, the football program needs to win consistently and prove it is worth something on its own to other conferences (independent of our hoops program or other sports). The B12 keeps snubbing us based on our weak football reputation (and probably Northeast culture bias too).
 
I think there is a good chance that the bowls largely come to an end. With a 12 team playdown (and I would not be surprised if that number increases over time), kids opting out in droves, and the marginal economics for most of these bowls - why continue with them?
 
I think there is a good chance that the bowls largely come to an end. With a 12 team playdown (and I would not be surprised if that number increases over time), kids opting out in droves, and the marginal economics for most of these bowls - why continue with them?
As long as they get sufficient TV ratings, they will continue.
 
My conclusion from reading all this discussion is that UConn will definitely be invited to a bowl and that which one will be determined on next Sunday or shortly after? Why not sooner? Is UConn likely to be playing a conference champion or runner-up? Guessing not, although perhaps a G5 conference champion or runner up. Are all bowl invites held in abeyance until next Sunday?
 

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