Bowl math | Page 4 | The Boneyard

Bowl math

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UConn will be in a bowl. Especially if they end up 8-4. The brand is too big to ignore even with MBB's recent problems. Where there is money to be made, someone will want to make it.

MBB has no recent problems outside of CT. It's football season and not a single decision maker is thinking about the November hoops games. To those who decide bowl/conference/tv alignments, UConn is a two-time defending basketball champion brand, nothing more, nothing less.
 

Purple Stein

I like to sim things.
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This... I tend to believe that UConn is pretty well positioned when compared to the 6 win teams that will come out of G5 leagues; the 6-win SEC teams would be what would "scare" me from a knocked out perspective, but as of the end of last week there looked to be enough "open" bids that they wouldn't get them all.
It would be a crazy kick in the balls to watch a 6 win SEC team play their third string against Miami (OH) while we sit on the sidelines.

For this, and for several other reasons, UMass must be crushed.
 

BlueandOG

We are not amused.
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We will make a bowl for a few reasons:
  • The team has a strong record, exceeding the .500 win mark.
  • There are bowls that will welcome us to play there.
  • The fan base is dedicated and travels well.
  • The university is a national brand with a winning athletic department.
  • We have a great story, from terrible to pretty good, in a short timeframe.
UConn in a bowl will generate interest, which means it will generate revenue. Thanks to that, UConn football is bowling this year.
 
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We need 9 of the 12 to lose to guarantee a spot for all 6 or + teams.

1) Wisconsin goes down!
2) Oregon St loses !


7 of 10 remaining:
1) cinc
2) Kansas
3) unt
4) coastal car
5) app st
6) auburn
7) ULm
8) michst
9) NCSt
10) New Mexico
I will be rooting for Auburn just to see the Alabama fans lose it.
 
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We need 9 of the 12 to lose to guarantee a spot for all 6 or + teams.

1) Wisconsin goes down!
2) Oregon St loses !


7 of 10 remaining:
1) cinc
2) Kansas
3) unt
4) coastal car
5) app st
6) auburn
7) ULm
8) michst
9) NCSt
10) New Mexico

So bowl-eligible Saturday games to keep an eye on:

12pm
Kansas (5-6) at Baylor (7-4), ESPN2
Louisiana (9-2) at UL Monroe (5-6), ESPNU
North Texas (5-6) at Temple (3-8), ESPN+

2pm
Coastal Carolina (5-6) at Georgia St. (3-8), ESPN+

3:30pm
Auburn (5-6) at Alabama (8-3), ABC/ESPN+
Rutgers (6-5) at Michigan St. (5-6), FS1
NC State (5-6) at N. Carolina (6-5), ACCN

6pm
TCU (7-4) at Cincinnati (5-6), ESPN+
Appalachian St. (5-5) at GA Southern (7-4), ESPN+

11pm
New Mexico (5-6) at Hawaii (4-7)
 
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So bowl-eligible Saturday games to keep an eye on:

12pm
Kansas (5-6) at Baylor (7-4), ESPN2
Louisiana (9-2) at UL Monroe (5-6), ESPNU
North Texas (5-6) at Temple (3-8), ESPN+

2pm
Coastal Carolina (5-6) at Georgia St. (3-8), ESPN+

3:30pm
Auburn (5-6) at Alabama (8-3), ABC/ESPN+
Rutgers (6-5) at Michigan St. (5-6), FS1
NC State (5-6) at N. Carolina (6-5), ACCN

6pm
TCU (7-4) at Cincinnati (5-6), ESPN+
Appalachian St. (5-5) at GA Southern (7-4), ESPN+

11pm
New Mexico (5-6) at Hawaii (4-7)
Tough day to be a UConn fan - cheering for bama, Rutgers, unc, Baylor, temple and other dregs
 
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To give Saturday more focus, not all 6-6 teams are anywhere near the same in terms of being threats to take an open bowl spot from us. The P-4 schools — Auburn, Sparta, NC State — are. Some of the G-5 schools —UL Monroe and North Texas for example — are much less of a threat to take an open bowl slot from us.

That having been said, I’m not worrying about any of this until after our game with UMass is over.
 
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To give Saturday more focus, not all 6-6 teams are anywhere near the same in terms of being threats to take an open bowl spot from us. The P-4 schools — Auburn, Sparta, NC State — are. Some of the G-5 schools —UL Monroe and North Texas for example — are much less of a threat to take an open bowl slot from us.

That having been said, I’m not worrying about any of this until after our game with UMass is over.
we win they invent the weedeater tortilla bowl in Albuquerque new mexico for us. if we lose, they don't.

Weedeater tortillas, the only tortillas made for your dogs.
 
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So bowl-eligible Saturday games to keep an eye on:

12pm
Kansas (5-6) at Baylor (7-4), ESPN2
Louisiana (9-2) at UL Monroe (5-6), ESPNU
North Texas (5-6) at Temple (3-8), ESPN+

2pm
Coastal Carolina (5-6) at Georgia St. (3-8), ESPN+

3:30pm
Auburn (5-6) at Alabama (8-3), ABC/ESPN+
Rutgers (6-5) at Michigan St. (5-6), FS1
NC State (5-6) at N. Carolina (6-5), ACCN

6pm
TCU (7-4) at Cincinnati (5-6), ESPN+
Appalachian St. (5-5) at GA Southern (7-4), ESPN+

11pm
New Mexico (5-6) at Hawaii (4-7)

+10.5 Auburn
+10 ULM
+3 NCSt
+3 Cincinnati
+2.5 AppSt
+1 Coastal

-1 Kansas
-1.5 Mich St
- 3 New Mexico
-11 UNT
 
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+10.5 Auburn
+10 ULM
+3 NCSt
+3 Cincinnati
+2.5 AppSt
+1 Coastal

-1 Kansas
-1.5 Mich St
- 3 New Mexico
-11 UNT
Kansas and ULM lose but UNT wins
Need 5 of 7 to lose
 
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With 3 teams winning, we are now at capacity.

3 more teams in the running that could mean 3 eligible staying home

+10.5 Auburn
+10 ULM
+3 NCSt
+3 Cincinnati
+2.5 AppSt
+1 Coastal

-1 Kansas
-1.5 Mich St
- 3 New Mexico
-11 UNT
 
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With 3 teams winning, we are now at capacity.

3 more teams in the running that could mean 3 eligible staying home

+10.5 Auburn
+10 ULM

+3 NCSt
+3 Cincinnati
+2.5 AppSt
+1 Coastal

-1 Kansas
-1.5 Mich St

- 3 New Mexico
-11 UNT
just curious. Has there ever been a year where a team was eligible for a bowl and had to stay home?
 
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Cincy and Applesauce State down at the half. We're gonna find out if TCU has 30 more minutes of cold weather football left in them.
 
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With 3 teams winning, we are now at capacity.

3 more teams in the running that could mean 3 eligible staying home

+10.5 Auburn
+10 ULM

+3 NCSt
+3 Cincinnati
+2.5 AppSt
+1 Coastal

-1 Kansas
-1.5 Mich St

- 3 New Mexico
-11 UNT

The upside to this is that KU, Auburn & Mich St lost. Our chances are probably better to get a bid over G5 bowl-eligible schools rather than P4 bowl-eligible schools.
 

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