Bowl math | Page 2 | The Boneyard

Bowl math

Hey,

UConn has only beaten one team with a winning record. And we have no quality quarterback play. We have some bright spots on this roster. But does this Husky team pass the eye test as a bowl team?

UMass is NOT a guaranteed victory now. They played Georgia this week so that may up their play against us next week.

Possibility: We may not be considered for a bowl this year.

Father Demo
 
Hskies4Ever said:
UConn doesn’t have to share their bowl money with a conference this time around. Will still need to sell tickets, but it won’t be as bad as other times.

They are entitled to any pool bowl and won’t be at the bottom of the list for any of those, especially at 9-3 or 8-4. We will be in, but the bottom line: keep winning.
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No attack but you may need to catch up on our football situation. As I stated we have never made a dollar on football. Conference or not.
That and the basketball teams loose money also.
I'll let you to the searches. Mrytle Beach Bowl got UConn a 50K payout and just under a mill to attend. Most all bowl games are conferance affiliated, thus if we get a bowl it will be like we have seen all season. You have to not only play the opponent but again as we saw today the officials. Sad but true.
My group would again love to travel to a bowl game but only on a level playing field. Just as today we will be at the club with a bar tailgate and beverage and watch the UMass game. Then the same for a possible bowl of little signifigance.
 
businesslawyer said:
Add to that he’s getting more exposure, more money, playing against better competition and we never really figured out whether he was a tall slot receiver or an undersized TE and never really utilized his talents to the fullest, and I don’t think he’s second guessing himself.
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All points taken, I just keep seeing NC State fall apart, Plus I miss seeing him in Blue/White.
 
Shizzle787:

With 82 schools going bowling (including the CFP participants) and 134 schools in FBS, we need 52 schools to have at least 7 losses to go bowling.

Currently, 30 have already hit the 7 loss mark.

The following schools have six losses:

Wake Forest
Kansas win
Houston
UCF
Arizona
utah
UCLA v USC
MSU won
Northwestern
Maryland
La Tech
New Mexico idle
Oregon State won
Auburn v TAMU
Kentucky lost
Old Dominion

The following schools have five losses:

USF won
UTSA won
North Texas lost
Virginia lost
Virginia Tech v Duke
BC won
NC State lost
Cal won
WVU won
Cincy lost
Michigan won
Wisconsin lost
USC v UCLA
Nebraska won
WMU lost
EMU lost
Fresno State v ColSt
Arkansas won
Florida won
Oklahoma won
Coastal Carolina lost
App State won
South Alabama won
UL Monroe lost

============

So far 10 of the six-loss teams have lost. 2 still playing.

9 of the 5-loss teams have lost. 2 to play.
 
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Cal just qualified for bowl game. I repeat what I said before on the site, Cal would be a great opponent for UConn in a bowl game. They are both about same quality of team. Hope Dave Benedict at least reaches out to them.
 
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Seems like things are not great.

Even if ucla, auburn, Fresno lose tonight, that means
42 teams with 7 losses
14 teams with 6

10 of those 14 would have to lose their final
Game to get to 52
 
LoyalFanCT said:
Cal just qualified for bowl game. I repeat what I said before on the site, Cal would be a great opponent for UConn in a bowl game. They are both about same quality of team. Hope Dave Benedict at least reaches out to them.
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I assure the people who have the least control are Dave Benedict and the cal athletic director and cal is sure as hell going to do nothing for us
 
By my count, there are now 41 seven-loss teams, and two more guaranteed next week (UVA v VT, EMU v WMU).

That leaves 9 to go. Not that I think it matters as I'm certain we're going bowling regardless.

Next week's schedule with early lines where available for the 11 other teams who could reach 7 losses:
Minn @ Wisc (-2)
NC State (+4) @ UNC
Kansas (+1) @ Baylor
TCU @ Cincy (+1.5)
Rutgers @ Mich St (-1)
Auburn (-11) @ Alabama
N. Texas @ Temple
New Mexico @ Hawai'i
Oregon St @ Boise
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia St.
Louisiana @ UL Monroe
 
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Patman said:
I assure the people who have the least control are Dave Benedict and the cal athletic director and cal is sure as hell going to do nothing for us
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That is ridiculous. Athletic directors may not be on the team selection committee for the bowl game but there is a lot of networking and politicking that gets teams into bowl games. Just waiting for someone to reach out to us is how we end up playing against teams that most people in Connecticut have never heard of (e.g. Marshall)
 
41 teams are out. We need 11 six-loss teams to lose next week.

Six loss teams:

UL Monroe
Coastal Carolina
Auburn
Oregon State
New Mexico
WMU
EMU
MSU
Wisconsin
Kansas
Cincy
NC State
North Texas
Virginia
Virginia Tech
 
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shizzle787 said:
41 teams are out. We need 11 six-loss teams to lose next week.

Six loss teams:

UL Monroe
Coastal Carolina
Auburn
Oregon State
New Mexico
WMU
EMU
MSU
Wisconsin
Kansas
Cincy
NC State
North Texas
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Seems like you’re excluding the 2 5-6 matchups mentioned earlier, no?
 
storrsroars said:
By my count, there are now 41 seven-loss teams, and two more guaranteed next week (UVA v VT, EMU v WMU).

That leaves 9 to go. Not that I think it matters as I'm certain we're going bowling regardless.

Next week's schedule with early lines where available for the 11 other teams who could reach 7 losses:
Minn @ Wisc (-2)
NC State (+4) @ UNC
Kansas (+1) @ Baylor
TCU @ Cincy (+1.5)
Rutgers @ Mich St (-1)
Auburn (-11) @ Alabama
N. Texas @ Temple
New Mexico @ Hawai'i
Oregon St @ Boise
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia St.
Louisiana @ UL Monroe
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The only two that smell like definite losses are Auburn and Oregon State.
 
gioff2323 said:
Seems like you’re excluding the 2 5-6 matchups mentioned earlier, no?
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The two games that guarantee a 7 loss team are UVA vs VT and EMU vs WMU. All four are in Shiz's list.
 
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RSTuthill said:
I edited to include N. Texas and Virginia. What do you think?
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Virginia doesn't matter because they are playing VaTech. One is automatically out. I think North Texas wins.
 
fwiw, Jerry Palm has us in the Boca Raton vs Rutty. Hero Sports also has us in Boca vs JMU. 247 Sports has us in Cure vs Vandy.
 
In your math for bowl eligible teams vs non-eligible teams for spots, are you accounting that 4 of eligible teams will lose in a play in game for the playoff, so they will not reach a bowl?
 
Briuconn said:
In your math for bowl eligible teams vs non-eligible teams for spots, are you accounting that 4 of eligible teams will lose in a play in game for the playoff, so they will not reach a bowl?
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82 teams will play in the postseason. 12 will play in the CFP. 70 will play in regular bowl games. Teams who lose in the CFP are done. They don't play an additional bowl game after.
 
It'd be only fitting for us to finally have a good season the same year it seems everyone else is having a decent season. Or is it just so much mediocrity that there are a bunch of 7-4/6-5 teams?
 
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LoyalFanCT said:
That is ridiculous. Athletic directors may not be on the team selection committee for the bowl game but there is a lot of networking and politicking that gets teams into bowl games. Just waiting for someone to reach out to us is how we end up playing against teams that most people in Connecticut have never heard of (e.g. Marshall)
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No, there really isn't. A lot of these bowl bids are fixed and while they may lobby in the end the bowls are the one who get to decide.

===

Let's say this is true. What's our offer? I know people here are loathe to trade basketball games for football games.
 
UCFBfan said:
It'd be only fitting for us to finally have a good season the same year it seems everyone else is having a decent season. Or is it just so much mediocrity that there are a bunch of 7-4/6-5 teams?
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i mean you're floating on a knife edge. A good well placed sneeze could switch teams year to year from 5-7 to 6-6 and vice versa
 
ZooCougar said:
Uh oh.

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This is a simplistic view of bowl spots as the reality is very complex. And, I don't think anyone can easily figure out where or if UConn will play in a bowl.

The bowl tie-ins are complicated by things like the old Pac 12 schools (in Big 10m Big 12, and ACC) Washington, Colorado, Cal, USC,... are eligible for this year's Pac 12 bowls. For example, Big 10 has 7 bowl tie-ins and 12 bowl eligible schools. But, you could get 4 playoff spots and USC and Washington going to Pac 12 bowls and then the Big 10 has an extra spot. And, there are bowls tied into "G5 schools", but conferences have some guarantees. Conference USA has 4 bowl tie-ins plus slots in the G5 pool, but they will only have 4 bowl eligible schools. Plus, the bowl situation will be impacted by schools going to the playoff as well.
 
UConnJim said:
This is a simplistic view of bowl spots as the reality is very complex. And, I don't think anyone can easily figure out where or if UConn will play in a bowl.

The bowl tie-ins are complicated by things like the old Pac 12 schools (in Big 10m Big 12, and ACC) Washington, Colorado, Cal, USC,... are eligible for this year's Pac 12 bowls. For example, Big 10 has 7 bowl tie-ins and 12 bowl eligible schools. But, you could get 4 playoff spots and USC and Washington going to Pac 12 bowls and then the Big 10 has an extra spot. And, there are bowls tied into "G5 schools", but conferences have some guarantees. Conference USA has 4 bowl tie-ins plus slots in the G5 pool, but they will only have 4 bowl eligible schools. Plus, the bowl situation will be impacted by schools going to the playoff as well.
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I think the first question is whether or not there will be a home for us. I don't even know what "G5 pool" is but I can accept its a new innovation, if we're not part of it then we sit outside and hope there aren't enough schools that qualify. If we are part of it then finishing 8-4 basically, I would imagine, guarantee us a place. If they have to choose on record we're 8-4, if they choose on prestige we bring better numbers than most as a national brand.
 
shizzle787 said:
41 teams are out. We need 11 six-loss teams to lose next week.

Six loss teams:

UL Monroe
Coastal Carolina
Auburn
Oregon State
New Mexico
WMU
EMU
MSU
Wisconsin
Kansas
Cincy
NC State
North Texas
Virginia
Virginia Tech
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So basically if I put ten bucks on each of these to win I’m basically making bank because it will screw us over
 
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