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Bowl math

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UCFBfan said:
There are a lot of major fanbases in that group below the line. Wow! Barring big upsets, it looks like Auburn, GTech, and likely Mich St will be out. Miami is possible but not sure how good Pitt is.
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Yes, but it’s not the Auburns and GTechs that anyone thinks we’ll be chosen over. It’s 6-6 teams from smaller conferences who will be bowl eligible and not protected by contract.
 
It you project every single reasonable underdog to win and get eligible, then it would be 83. Assuming Ga tech doesn't beat Georgia, Vandy doesn't beat Tennessee etc.

So the odds are pretty darn good we make the cut.
 
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HuskyAlum012 said:
Need someone to lay it out for me. Show your work. I’m too drunk to taste this chicken
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Your name is obviously not Dr. Quinn or Medicine Woman since you ain't no wussie!
 
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Ball State vs. Miami winner is in
Ga Southern vs. App St winner is in.

That leaves 7 spots. 12 additional teams need one win.

Miami (5) vs Pitt
Georgia Tech(5) vs Georgia
Michigan State(5) vs Penn St
FAU (5) vs Western Kentucky
Rice(5) vs N Texas
UAB(5) vs La Tech
UTEP (5)vs UTSA
Buffalo(5) vs Akron and Kent St
Missouri (5) vs Arkansas
Vandy(5) vs Tenn
So Miss (5) vs UL Monroe
Louisiana (5) vs Texas St.
 
wheelerdog said:
Ball State vs. Miami winner is in
Ga Southern vs. App St winner is in.

That leaves 7 spots. 12 additional teams need one win.

Miami (5) vs Pitt
Georgia Tech(5) vs Georgia
Michigan State(5) vs Penn St
FAU (5) vs Western Kentucky
Rice(5) vs N Texas
UAB(5) vs La Tech
UTEP (5)vs UTSA
Buffalo(5) vs Akron and Kent St
Missouri (5) vs Arkansas
Vandy(5) vs Tenn
So Miss (5) vs UL Monroe
Louisiana (5) vs Texas St.
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Imo we are in good position
 
Updated (number of guaranteed bids/possible bids in parentheses):
AAC: 7/7
ACC: 9/11
B1G: 9/10
Big 12: 8/8
C-USA: 4/8
Indies: 3/4 (not including us)
MAC: 4/6
MW: 7/7
Pac-12: 7/7
SEC: 10/13
SB: 4/7

Total: 72/88

There are 10 spots left.
 
My question is, are the Huskies allowed to practice during the next two weeks? The guys in rehab might well use that time productively.
 
  • 10 spots left, 17 teams (New Mexico State at 4 wins could schedule their postponed game and get to six).
  • Since two teams play each other this week that actually means 9 spots for 15 teams as one will become eligible and one will drop out of possibility.
  • Buffalo should have two games to make it as their game this week was snowed out, so they are likely.
  • Georgia is playing Georgia Tech which is a likely L for GT
  • Vandy should get beaten by Tennessee
  • New Mexico State faces a pissed off Liberty and then would need to reschedule a missed game on a short notice and win, so that is unlikely.
  • Leaves you at 8 spots for 10 teams if the scenarios above play out.
  • We are talking about teams that are less than .500 so in all likelihood it appears there will probably be a few teams short of bowl eligible teams, which would make us an automatic in.
 
RSTuthill said:
My question is, are the Huskies allowed to practice during the next two weeks? The guys in rehab might well use that time productively.
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Coach said no practice this week and practice next week.
 
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RSTuthill said:
My question is, are the Huskies allowed to practice during the next two weeks? The guys in rehab might well use that time productively.
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Dizzy21 said:
Coach said no practice this week and practice next week.
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These are the official NCAA guidelines:

Postseason
1. If there is a two week or less period of time between the final regular season game or conference championship game (for participating institutions) and the next bowl or postseason game, then inseason practice recommendations remain in place.
2. If there is greater than two weeks between the final regular season game or conference championship game (for participating institutions) and the next bowl or postseason game, then recommendation to:
a. Allow up to three practices per week of live contact (two of which should be live contact/thud).
b. Add three days of non-contact/minimal contact practices in a given week.
c. Ensure the day preceding and following live contact/tackling should be noncontact/minimal contact or no football practice.
d. Ensure one day per week of no football practice.
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I guess the question is, what is a "participating institution"? I'm guessing it's simply qualifying, otherwise Mora wouldn't be holding practices before the official announcement of bowl teams on Dec. 4.
 
storrsroars said:
These are the official NCAA guidelines:



I guess the question is, what is a "participating institution"? I'm guessing it's simply qualifying, otherwise Mora wouldn't be holding practices before the official announcement of bowl teams on Dec. 4.
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To me that reads that a participating institution in the conference championship game. I do not believe it actually says who qualifies to practice in there, just the practice guidelines for those who practice.
 
Dizzy21 said:
  • 10 spots left, 17 teams (New Mexico State at 4 wins could schedule their postponed game and get to six).
  • Since two teams play each other this week that actually means 9 spots for 15 teams as one will become eligible and one will drop out of possibility.
  • Buffalo should have two games to make it as their game this week was snowed out, so they are likely.
  • Georgia is playing Georgia Tech which is a likely L for GT
  • Vandy should get beaten by Tennessee
  • New Mexico State faces a pissed off Liberty and then would need to reschedule a missed game on a short notice and win, so that is unlikely.
  • Leaves you at 8 spots for 10 teams if the scenarios above play out.
  • We are talking about teams that are less than .500 so in all likelihood it appears there will probably be a few teams short of bowl eligible teams, which would make us an automatic in.
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This time of year, make up games are highly unlikely.
 
SubbaBub said:
This time of year, make up games are highly unlikely.
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Yeah, that is true, but I believe the MAC has intentions of scheduling Buffalos for sure as that just happened this weekend because of the storm. New Mexico State unlikely.
 
HuskyAlum012 said:
This is I think where we stand right now, if everyone below the bolded line loses, we get an automatic berth. Make note that either Ball St/Miami (OH) are also guarenteed to lose.

View attachment 80875
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What do you mean? That ALL of them below the line have to lose for UConn to be assured of an invite? Or only one?
 
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RSTuthill said:
What do you mean? That ALL of them below the line have to lose for UConn to be assured of an invite? Or only one?
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We just need 8 teams total from the list to lose. The list is just filtered by whose opponents have the best record as I felt They have the best chance of losing
 
huskymedic said:
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I'm not going to be picky about a bowl but I really hope we get a weekend one. Any of those December 17 ones that we were being projected for. 3:00 on a Friday, the week before XMas? Yikes for getting off work
 
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HuskyAlum012 said:
This is I think where we stand right now, if everyone below the bolded line loses, we get an automatic berth. Make note that either Ball St/Miami (OH) are also guarenteed to lose.

View attachment 80875
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Updated the spreadsheet with the latest DraftKings odds of each game. Looks like 12/17 5 win teams are underdogs and 9/17 are heavy underdogs (+200 or greater). Appears Vegas likes our chances at getting the necessary losses to guarentee that bowl.
1669039917406.png
 
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