Bowl math

[HuskyAlum012]

CFB bowl projections: 14 games this week could vault 5-win teams into bowls

Projecting the 2022 college football bowl games.

theathletic.com

Latest The Athletic projection has UConn in the Cure Bowl in Orlando v. UNLV (12/16)

Overall a lot of “what ifs”:

-> Currently there are 74 teams eligible for bowl games. Tonight, the winner of Miami-Ohio vs. Ball State becomes No. 75. This week, there are 14 other games that could vault five-win teams into the postseason. They range from Florida Atlantic (5-6) beating Western Kentucky (7-5) at home to Auburn (5-6) winning at Alabama. In reality, only a few of those games will send the victors to the postseason.

We project only 80 bowl-eligible teams this year. When it comes to a five-win team earning a bowl bid, it’s all about their APR (Academic Progress Rate). The top two projected five-win teams based on APR are Rice (currently 5-6) and UNLV (currently 4-7). But if Missouri (5-6) beats Arkansas (6-5) or Michigan State (5-6) beats Penn State (9-2), they’ll go bowling, too. <-

Curious on the math of the 74....

 

[AzHusky]

For you guys back east I hope it is some place like Myrtle Beach, but not so much for me. I looked yesterday for the cost of airfare and it is over $800 dollars for me from Phoenix.

 

[Stinger92860]

Another Myrtle Beach projection but against Western Kentucky

Who would Tim Boyle root for?

 

[Stinger92860]

Curious on the math of the 74....

Could it include the teams which make the CFP?

 

[huskymedic]

Schedule of bowl-eligibility matchups to keep an eye on this weekend:

Tue, Nov 22
---------------

7pm, ESPN+
Ball State (5-6) @ Miami (OH) (5-6)
Line: Miami (OH) by 3

 

[Buffett10]

Who would Tim Boyle root for?

Uconn since Tim has a connection here

 

[mymustang]

Direct flights from New Haven on Avelo

The flight down on the 18th is only $39

 

[huskyblooz]

Who would Tim Boyle root for?

think he played for Eastern Kentucky.

 

[BugsyCT]

Miami-Ohio gets the bowl bid. Scored two late TDs and won 18-17.

(and yes, we know it doesn't affect UConn)

 

[huskymedic]

 

[RSTuthill]

UConn fans would travel in great numbers to Myrtle Beach. Perhaps also to Orlando. Mobile? Not so much.

 

[J187Money]

I'll be watching that one live after an awesome tailgate at Hard Rock. My daughter lives in Fort Lauderdale, and this will be our second Thanksgiving week down there with a Miami game/tailgate in the mix. She even sent me a nice Hurricanes polo.
The tailgate scene there is pretty crazy. Big Latin beats, crazy partying. Sure better than the tailgate/party scene at Michie this past weekend. West Point is a beautiful school with incredible scenery, but the stadium....meh. And no beer inside? Meh. Oh....and running out of beer at the two beer stands (outside the gates) by halftime? Unbelievable. Apparently they put football before beer there...maybe that's why they won.
I know there is the core anti-Rentschler group here, but we have it pretty good.

You can leave and go back in though. So if your tailgate is within walking distance...

 

[Scrutineer]

UMass announcement from this past August

Don't you love the use of "robust" by the marketing gurus? Sounds a lot less "robust" than UConn and CBSSN.

The "robust slate" is all ESPN3 and ESPN+ except for one game on the ESPN networks in each of the years 2023 and 2024.
"Adding the postseason to an already robust slate of programming offerings featuring the Minutemen across our platforms, ESPN networks will be the destination for UMass fans."

As previously announced, ESPN will provide live coverage for all five Massachusetts football home games from McGuirk Alumni Stadium this season, with the Sept. 17 home opener against Stony Brook set to air on ESPN3. The remainder of the home contests are subject to the standard 12-day selection process throughout the season to stream on ESPN3 or ESPN+.

In the 2023 and 2024 seasons, at least one Massachusetts football home game will be televised on ESPN networks in addition to streaming.

 

[drayenob]

Breeze is 98 round trip non-stop Bradley to Charleston. Leave on Friday, come back on Tuesday

 

[Da_Aisijimo_Gou]

If UConn goes to the Myrtle Beach bowl at Coastal Carolina's stadium (Conway, SC), the Wilmington, NC airport is also reasonably convenient distance-wise (~85 miles, yet non-highway).

 

[Scrutineer]

UConn fans would travel in great numbers to Myrtle Beach. Perhaps also to Orlando. Mobile? Not so much.

Touring the Battleship Alabama and the short drive to Biloxi's casinos aren't attractive options for free time?
Picture yourself next to a mock up of one of the 16 inch gun projectiles..........2700 pounds that would go 24 miles, and think how exhilarating it would be to ride one like Slim Pickens.............

 

[Scrutineer]

Link to article showing all bowl payouts (well, almost all).

College Football Playoff Payouts 2024-2025

How much do teams make for the College Football Playoff? We've got the 2023-24 revenue distribution plan plus payouts from past years.

businessofcollegesports.com

 

[BugsyCT]

Only game today that could affect our bowl chances is underway: Arkansas (6-5) at Missouri (5-6) on CBS.

 

[Chin Diesel]

UConn fans would travel in great numbers to Myrtle Beach. Perhaps also to Orlando. Mobile? Not so much.

You don't stay in Mobile. You stay on Orange Beach or Gulf Shores in Alabama or Biloxi, MS. Maybe hit up Fairhope, AL.

Throw in a night on Dauphin St in Mobile and you are in/out for a good time overall.

 

[Tdaley]

Only game today that could affect our bowl chances is underway: Arkansas (6-5) at Missouri (5-6) on CBS.

Missouri beats Arkansas to become bowl eligible.

 

[BugsyCT]

Missouri beats Arkansas to become bowl eligible.

Well, that doesn't help much. One more bowl bid gone.

 

[Austin316]

View attachment 81016

Yes please!!

 

[Bomber36]

CBS has us in the Lending Tree Bowl.

College Football Bowl Projections 2025-26

CBS Sports experts select the college football teams they believe will make the NCAA National Semifinals at the end of the 2025 season and give projections for each game.

www.cbssports.com

 

[UCFBfan]

Yes please!!

View attachment 81109

You'll need to factor in baggage and a whole lot of smaller fees but yeah, that's a solid price.

 

[Austin316]

You'll need to factor in baggage and a whole lot of smaller fees but yeah, that's a solid price.

Yeah those bags aren’t cheap with Avelo… but still cheaper than any other airline and factoring in hotel, etc.

 

[BugsyCT]

Early games today to kep an eye on that affect our bowl bid hopes:

12pm, ESPN
Georgia Tech (5-6) @ Georgia (11-0)
Line: Georgia by 36

12pm, ESPN+
New Mexico St (4-6) @ Liberty (8-3)
Line: Liberty by 24

12pm, CBSSN
Western Kentucky (7-5) @ Florida Atlantic (5-6)
Line: Western Ky by 7 1/2

1pm, ESPN+
Kent State (4-7) @ Buffalo (5-5)
Line: Buffalo by 4 1/2

2pm, ESPN+
Rice (5-6) @ North Texas (6-5)
Line: North Texas by 14

 

[thatguyed]

If UConn goes to the Myrtle Beach bowl at Coastal Carolina's stadium (Conway, SC), the Wilmington, NC airport is also reasonably convenient distance-wise (~85 miles, yet non-highway).

Florence, SC is also an option, about as far away as Wilmington, NC. Both are ~90 minutes. Charleston is about 2.5 hours.

 

[huskyblooz]

Liberty getting destroyed by NM State!! C'mon Freeze!

 

[huskymedic]

Early games today to kep an eye on that affect our bowl bid hopes:

12pm, ESPN
Georgia Tech (5-6) @ Georgia (11-0)
Line: Georgia by 36

12pm, ESPN+
New Mexico St (4-6) @ Liberty (8-3)
Line: Liberty by 24

12pm, CBSSN
Western Kentucky (7-5) @ Florida Atlantic (5-6)
Line: Western Ky by 7 1/2

1pm, ESPN+
Kent State (4-7) @ Buffalo (5-5)
Line: Buffalo by 4 1/2

2pm, ESPN+
Rice (5-6) @ North Texas (6-5)
Line: North Texas by 14

 

[BugsyCT]

Can NM State get bowl eligible at 5-6? This is their last game, no?