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Bowl math

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Buffett10 said:
Miami had 98 yds of offense last week. I think Slovis can throw for 98 in his sleep
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Slovis can probably throw three picks in his sleep too. Canes did beat GaTech, which beat Pitt at home, so they've got that going for them.
 
Schedule of bowl-eligibility matchups to keep an eye on this weekend:

Tue, Nov 22
---------------

7pm, ESPN+
Ball State (5-6) @ Miami (OH) (5-6)
Line: Miami (OH) by 3


Fri, Nov 25
---------------

3:30pm, CBS
Arkansas (6-5) @ Missouri (5-6)
Line: Arkansas by 3


Sat, Nov 26
---------------

12pm, ESPN
Georgia Tech (5-6) @ Georgia (11-0)
Line: Georgia by 36

12pm, ESPN+
New Mexico St (4-6) @ Liberty (8-3)
Line: Liberty by 24

12pm, CBSSN
Western Kentucky (7-5) @ Florida Atlantic (5-6)
Line: Western Ky by 7

1pm, ESPN+
Kent State (4-7) @ Buffalo (5-5)
Line: Buffalo by 4

2pm, ESPN+
Rice (5-6) @ North Texas (6-5)
Line: North Texas by 13.5

3:30pm, CBS
Auburn (5-6) @ Alabama (9-2)
Line: Alabama by 21.5

3:30pm, CBSSN
UAB (5-6) @ Louisiana Tech (3-8)
Line: UAB by 17.5

3:30pm
UTEP (5-6) @ UTSA (9-2)
Line: UTSA by 18

4pm, FS1
Michigan St (5-6) @ Penn St (9-2)
Line: Penn St by 18

5pm, ESPN+
Southern Miss (5-6) @ Louisiana Monroe (4-7)
Line: Southern Miss by 3

5pm, ESPN+
Louisiana (5-6) @ Texas St (4-7)
Line: Louisiana by 5.5

6pm, ESPN+
Appalachian St (6-5) @ Georgia Southern (5-6)
Line: Appalachian St by 5.5

7:30pm, ABC
Tennessee (9-2) @ Vanderbilt (5-6)
Line: Tennessee by 14

8pm, ACCN
Pitt (7-4) @ -6.5 Miami (FL) (5-6)
Line: Pitt by 6.5
 
BugsyCT said:
7pm, ESPN+
Ball State (5-6) @ Miami (OH) (5-6)
Line: Miami (OH) by 3

6pm, ESPN+
Appalachian St (6-5) @ Georgia Southern (5-6)
Line: Appalachian St by 5.5
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I know this has been mentioned dozens of times but these 2 games have no impact on our bowl prospects. The winner in each game becomes eligible, and the loser is out. The outcome doesn’t matter.
 
Marbles90 said:
I know this has been mentioned dozens of times but these 2 games have no impact on our bowl prospects. The winner in each game becomes eligible, and the loser is out. The outcome doesn’t matter.
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Really? Why isn't App State already eligible?
 
Heartland said:
App State has 2 FCS wins but only one can count towards bowl eligibility, so they need another FBS win to get eligible
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Not sure that rule applies when #s get tight. See Army. I’m pulling for App State and every other team taking on a 5 win team. CFB has been the proverbial Lucy pulling the ball away just as we are ready to kick.
 
Not that it is of any consequence at all, but the idea of Myrtle Beach has a lot of attraction. Temps in the 50s or 60s instead of the 20s? A modest length non stop flight and perhaps extra flights added to accommodate demand? Hell yes, that sounds perfect. Too perfect actually. Might not happen but fun to dream.
 
theathletic.com

CFB bowl projections: 14 games this week could vault 5-win teams into bowls

Projecting the 2022 college football bowl games.
theathletic.com theathletic.com

Latest The Athletic projection has UConn in the Cure Bowl in Orlando v. UNLV (12/16)

Overall a lot of “what ifs”:

-> Currently there are 74 teams eligible for bowl games. Tonight, the winner of Miami-Ohio vs. Ball State becomes No. 75. This week, there are 14 other games that could vault five-win teams into the postseason. They range from Florida Atlantic (5-6) beating Western Kentucky (7-5) at home to Auburn (5-6) winning at Alabama. In reality, only a few of those games will send the victors to the postseason.

We project only 80 bowl-eligible teams this year. When it comes to a five-win team earning a bowl bid, it’s all about their APR (Academic Progress Rate). The top two projected five-win teams based on APR are Rice (currently 5-6) and UNLV (currently 4-7). But if Missouri (5-6) beats Arkansas (6-5) or Michigan State (5-6) beats Penn State (9-2), they’ll go bowling, too. <-
 
huskymedic said:
theathletic.com

CFB bowl projections: 14 games this week could vault 5-win teams into bowls

Projecting the 2022 college football bowl games.
theathletic.com theathletic.com

Latest The Athletic projection has UConn in the Cure Bowl in Orlando v. UNLV (12/16)

Overall a lot of “what ifs”:

-> Currently there are 74 teams eligible for bowl games. Tonight, the winner of Miami-Ohio vs. Ball State becomes No. 75. This week, there are 14 other games that could vault five-win teams into the postseason. They range from Florida Atlantic (5-6) beating Western Kentucky (7-5) at home to Auburn (5-6) winning at Alabama. In reality, only a few of those games will send the victors to the postseason.

We project only 80 bowl-eligible teams this year. When it comes to a five-win team earning a bowl bid, it’s all about their APR (Academic Progress Rate). The top two projected five-win teams based on APR are Rice (currently 5-6) and UNLV (currently 4-7). But if Missouri (5-6) beats Arkansas (6-5) or Michigan State (5-6) beats Penn State (9-2), they’ll go bowling, too. <-
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Curious on the math of the 74....
 
For you guys back east I hope it is some place like Myrtle Beach, but not so much for me. I looked yesterday for the cost of airfare and it is over $800 dollars for me from Phoenix.
 
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