Bowl math

[freescooter]

when I first saw this, I thought it was the upcoming Hartford Courant article about how UConn lost money on its bowl game. Even though there isn’t one yet.

 

[huskymedic]

Independence Bowl (Dec. 23)
BYU vs. UConn

 

[Ajs120102]

Kent State got eliminated. Good result

 

[wheelerdog]

Including UConn, there are 64 bowl eligible teams.

4 more will come from these head to head matchups

Southern Miss/ULMonroe
Georgia Southern/Marshall
Ball State/Miami(OH)
Oklahoma/Texas Tech

68 teams for 82 spots

 

[Kolumbo]

Broncos leading the Chpipawas by 2. Can they hold on?!

 

[Ajs120102]

Broncos leading the Chpipawas by 2. Can they hold on?!

Big night for UConn. 2 MAC teams eliminated.

 

[Jimdish255]

Broncos leading the Chpipawas by 2. Can they hold on?!

Yes they can!

 

[HuskyAlum012]

Including UConn, there are 64 bowl eligible teams.

4 more will come from these head to head matchups

Southern Miss/ULMonroe
Georgia Southern/Marshall
Ball State/Miami(OH)
Oklahoma/Texas Tech

68 teams for 82 spots

Good looks on those 4 matchups. Agree with the 68.

 

[wheelerdog]

Including UConn, there are 64 bowl eligible teams.

4 more will come from these head to head matchups

Southern Miss/ULMonroe
Georgia Southern/Marshall
Ball State/Miami(OH)
Oklahoma/Texas Tech

68 teams for 82 spots

Sorry ULMonroe only has 4 wins

So right now we’re at 67/82.

Two elimination games Saturday. Missouri/NMSU and UTEP/FIU

 

[HuskyAlum012]

Sorry ULMonroe only has 4 wins

So right now we’re at 67/82.

Two elimination games Saturday. Missouri/NMSU and UTEP/FIU

Missing FAU v Middle Tenn St though.

 

[HuskyAlum012]

Here is where I have all the math right now. So far there are 63 (+UConn as 64) bowl eligible teams for 82 spots. There are 4 matchups with 5 win teams going against each other.

FAU v Middle Tenn St (both 2 games remaining)
Georgia Southern v Marshall (both 2 games remaining)
Ball State v Miami(OH) (both 1 game remaining)
Oklahoma v Texas Tech (both 2 games remaining)

This brings us to 67 (+UConn as 68) teams that are guarenteed to get enough wins.

There are two matchups between 4 win teams this weekend that will eliminate 2 teams from possibility.

FIU v UTEP
NMSU v Missouri

Therefore out of the 34 teams that can get to bowl eligibility atm, only 27 (plus UConn) are vying for the remaining 15 spots. I think those odds are pretty good.

(My math is 34 total 4/5 win teams - 4 (auto berths from 5 win matchups) - 3 (teams auto eliminated from the 2 4 win matchups + loser of Ball State v Miami(OH)) = 27

 

[ThabeetDown]

Here is where I have all the math right now. So far there are 63 (+UConn as 64) bowl eligible teams for 82 spots. There are 4 matchups with 5 win teams going against each other.

FAU v Middle Tenn St (both 2 games remaining)
Georgia Southern v Marshall (both 2 games remaining)
Ball State v Miami(OH) (both 1 game remaining)
Oklahoma v Texas Tech (both 2 games remaining)

This brings us to 67 (+UConn as 68) teams that are guarenteed to get enough wins.

There are two matchups between 4 win teams this weekend that will eliminate 2 teams from possibility.

FIU v UTEP
NMSU v Missouri

Therefore out of the 34 teams that can get to bowl eligibility atm, only 27 (plus UConn) are vying for the remaining 15 spots. I think those odds are pretty good.

(My math is 34 total 4/5 win teams - 4 (auto berths from 5 win matchups) - 3 (teams auto eliminated from the 2 4 win matchups + loser of Ball State v Miami(OH)) = 27

You must be an account or an actuary with all this number crunching

 

[HuskyAlum012]

Here is where I have all the math right now. So far there are 63 (+UConn as 64) bowl eligible teams for 82 spots. There are 4 matchups with 5 win teams going against each other.

FAU v Middle Tenn St (both 2 games remaining)
Georgia Southern v Marshall (both 2 games remaining)
Ball State v Miami(OH) (both 1 game remaining)
Oklahoma v Texas Tech (both 2 games remaining)

This brings us to 67 (+UConn as 68) teams that are guarenteed to get enough wins.

There are two matchups between 4 win teams this weekend that will eliminate 2 teams from possibility.

FIU v UTEP
NMSU v Missouri

Therefore out of the 34 teams that can get to bowl eligibility atm, only 27 (plus UConn) are vying for the remaining 15 spots. I think those odds are pretty good.

(My math is 34 total 4/5 win teams - 4 (auto berths from 5 win matchups) - 3 (teams auto eliminated from the 2 4 win matchups + loser of Ball State v Miami(OH)) = 27

Piggie backing off this, these 9 highlighted 4 win teams will have an incredible hard time getting to 6 wins (just look at their opponents). So really, I think it is going to be 18 + UConn vying for 15 spots. Really like our chances.

 

[huskymedic]

Assisted access <<

 

[PPKChamp]

While I agree ESPN hates us to a degree, we're very marketable to the average CFB fan because of our story, so we will be in a bowl. We bring eyeballs to ESPN which brings dollars to ESPN, which is all they care about.

OK, what makes you think ESPN "hates" us? they don't hate us, they ONLY like those teams that they perceive will benefit ESPN. That's it, there is no focus to screw us over, if they can find a path that will increase their bottom line, that is the path they will take. It is OUR job to show them they were wrong, that are value is greater than they thought....So win games, go to Bowls, drive eyeballs to content and they will come back to us...

 

[shizzle787]

Updated bowl math (projected bids by league):
AAC: 7
ACC: 9
Big 12: 8
B1G: 9
C-USA: 5
Indies: 3 (not including UConn or Army)
MAC: 6
MW: 8
Pac-12: 7
SEC: 10
Sun Belt: 7

Total: 79

That leaves us three spots.

As of now, we are in.

 

[HuskyAlum012]

Need someone to lay it out for me. Show your work. I’m too drunk to taste this chicken

 

[Huskydog45]

Found this link….Great summary…..shows the 64 teams who are bowl eligible and the 20 who need one mode win to get one the remaining 18 spots…..just checked the results from today.

7 have lost
6 have won
7 games still playing

So based on this, if 2 or more of these teams don’t win a remaining game, UConn would one of the 82 teams with a .500 or better record. So odds look pretty good that they will be one of the 82 teams.

Bowl math

when I first saw this, I thought it was the upcoming Hartford Courant article about how UConn lost money on its bowl game. Even though there isn’t one yet.

www.the-boneyard.com

 

[Huskydog45]

Actually my math is bad….there are 43 bowl games…..so it appears there will be less than 86 teams with a .500 or better record as this link indicates there are 84 teams that still can be .500 and likely there will be less than that number.

 

[shizzle787]

Actually my math is bad….there are 43 bowl games…..so it appears there will be less than 86 teams with a .500 or better record as this link indicates there are 84 teams that still can be .500 and likely there will be less than that number.

There are 41 bowl games. The title game doesn't count, and the Celebration bowl is for HBCU FCS programs.

 

[Huskydog45]

This is the link

Bowl-Eligible College Football Teams (After Week 13)

Here's a list of the college football teams that are bowl eligible for the 2022-23 season.

athlonsports.com

 

[Ajs120102]

73 bowl eligible teams with 14 due or die matchups. Buffalo likely in as they need to face akron so more like 74

 

[HuskyAlum012]

73 bowl eligible teams with 14 due or die matchups. Buffalo likely in as they need to face akron so more like 74

We are included in the 73 number I assume?

 

[HuskyAlum012]

73 bowl eligible teams with 14 due or die matchups. Buffalo likely in as they need to face akron so more like 74

I count 16 5 win teams. Only 1 matchup between 2 5 win teams which guarentees that 73 to get to 74. 14 teams vying for 8 more spots

 

[Ajs120102]

I count 16 5 win teams. Only 1 matchup between 2 5 win teams which guarentees that 73 to get to 74. 14 teams vying for 8 more spots

Will about 5-6 games with the likes of Georgia vs Georgia tech. Vanderbilt vs Tennessee. Stuff like that. So not terrible