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It matters, but even the best coaches can't win without a QB. It's arguable. The coaches don't make the plays, don't make quick decisions on the field. The QB is likely the single most impactful position across all of team sports, and likely not close. I'd argue in the NFL coaches are much more expendable than a great QB, and there are far fewer great QB's than great/solid coaches. Andy Reid was 1-4 in playoffs with Alex Smith.I’m not a football guy, but it seems to me that it would be the sport where coaching has the biggest relative impact on success. That being said, the players do the winning and losing at the end of the day.
Take a look at Manning as another example. He, like Brady, was an on field coach once seasoned. He went right to Denver and won another SB with Gary Kubiak. Brady won a SB with Bruce Arians. These coaches did jack squat before Manning & Brady.