The thing is we just can't be certain on any numbers. They are reporting everthing a Covid death in some states. If you were already in heart failure or had a week to live with cancer and you test positive for Covid, you are listed as a Covid death. Other areas seem to be underreporting.
It would seem the numbers would be higher because there looks to be excess deaths but we also know people are dying at home from other diseases because they're scared to got to hospitals because of Covid.
There are a whole bunch of different things going on.