IMO Breanna should start instead of Doty, if only to provide stability and guidance to the "second" team. If you have a 5 on the floor consisting of Mo, BB, Tuck, Breanna and Kiah while athletic and full of promise it does not look like a totally organized unit. Put CD in there instead of Breanna and suddenly you have 2 units who are full with scorers and everything else.
I don't think there is anyway that Breanna starts ahead of Caroline. Geno is not going to yank one of his senior captains from the starting lineup. What is a real possibility is Breanna starting in the spot vacated by Tiff instead of Kaleena. Not promoting a sophomore to the starting lineup is not the same thing as pulling a senior from the starting lineup in Genos world. Geno will do this for better rotational balance, but the players have to force their hands for this scenario to play out. I would say there is about a 45% chance that Breanna starts instead of Kaleena.
1. Breanna and Morgan both have to be ready to play. This an almost certainity to give their talent and just as importantly their background. Both were members of multiple USA Basketball teams and faced good competition in organized high school play, particularly for Morgan.
2. Kiah has to be meeting Geno's expectations for her consistent effort. Next year if she's not meeting his expeUSctations he will just give her playing time to somebody else and let that motivate her. Kiah, Breanna, and Morgan all have to be playing in a way that demands playing time. Given what Kiah has shown this year plus the motivating of competing with other talented posts everyday should make this a very likely scenario.
3. Moriah takes some time to adapt to playing UConn style basketball and earn Geno's complete confidence. This is somewhat likely in my opinion because Moriah doesn't come to UConn with the same experiences that are typical of UConn recruits that have success understanding the system quickly. Moriah didn't play at an elite high school and her home school team didn't play against those elite high school teams either like many of the other UConn players. She also hasn't played on any USA Basketball teams, and not having the same high school experience as many of the other guards probably didn't help her. She just comes to UConn without the advantage that someone like Kaleena came to UConn with having played on 3 USA basketball teams and gone to Mater Dei for high school. Moriah is going to play and make an impact because of her talent level, but it will almost certainly be a harder transition than it was for others. Now she may take to it like a duck to water once she is finally really exposed to it, but based on what I have seen of her I expect a transition period.
If those scenarios play out then I believe Geno will start Breanna to balance the rotation. Geno doesn't play 2 units, but it will be really hard to find quality playing time for Breanna, Morgan, and Kiah if all three are coming off the bench. Given that situation Geno will start Breanna and have primarily Kiah back up Stef and Morgan primarily back up Breanna. Kaleena will continue to come off the bench giving him a guard he really trusts and scoring punch off the bench that he likes. Moriah will play, but he won't be dependent on her as his guard off the bench. And Brianna Banks will have a chance to work into the rotation at least against non-competitive teams. The big thing is that the only way to effectively play 4 posts in a rotation is to start 2 of them. The post players have to force Geno's hand for Kaleena not to start, but I see it as a possibility unlike the last several years when the starting lineup was fairly obvious going into each season.
