2018 wins needed for NCAA bid | Page 10 | The Boneyard

2018 wins needed for NCAA bid

ucjoet said:
Well everyone, below is last chart update of the year. If we were told at beginning of year that we would be in AAC championship game with very high hopes of hosting a regional, and doing this ( for a long stretch) without our best pitcher ( Cate), we would have all signed up for it.
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Heck, at the beginning of the year I would have been quite satisfied if UConn made the tournament, despite all the predictions of dark horse for Omaha over the winter. It's the baby steps thing for me. It wasn't as if the Huskies were regularly getting at large bids to the NCAA tourney over the years. For this team to be on the brink of getting a host seed despite Cate missing almost all of the AAC season, as well as going through the other pitching injuries the team had, well, I still find it to be an amazing accomplishment. So far this has been a tremendously successful season.
 
Postseason Snapshot: May 26 | D1Baseball.com


>>Hosts

SECURE TEAMS: Florida, Oregon State, Arkansas, Stanford, Ole Miss, Georgia, Clemson, North Carolina, Florida State, Stetson, Texas Tech, Minnesota

ON THE BUBBLE (IN): East Carolina, Texas, UConn, Auburn

ON THE BUBBLE (OUT): NC State, Coastal Carolina, Duke, Louisville

One change from yesterday: UConn replaces NC State as a host.

The Huskies climbed to No. 16 in the RPI after reaching the AAC tournament championship game, where it is currently playing ECU. At this point, we think both AAC finalists are on track to host, regardless of today’s outcome. UConn gives the field some geographic diversity, but that’s not the only reason it gets the edge over NC State, Coastal Carolina and Duke. Even if UConn loses today, it shouldn’t fall farther than No. 17 in the RPI, and Northern teams with that kind of RPI generally wind up hosting, assuming they performed well in conference. UConn is also 11-10 vs. the top 50, which is actually better than both NC State (9-8) and Duke (6-7), who have enormous geographic advantages over UConn when it comes to midweek scheduling, in particular.<<
 
D1Baseball has UCF as the last team getting at an large bid, which would mean the AAC gets 5 teams into the tourney.

Postseason Snapshot: May 26 | D1Baseball.com

>>64. UCF

The fact the Knights were winless in their conference tournament certainly plays a role here, but they still have better metrics than some of the other contenders out there. UCF has an RPI of 42 (which is down six spots from Sunday), along with a 10-15 mark vs. RPI Top 50 and a 22-19 record vs. RPI Top 100. The Top 100 mark is definitely respectable. Greg Lovelady’s club will be sweating it out on Monday.<<
 
So far, from the Northeast part of the country Army, Hartford, LIU Brooklyn, Canisius, and Columbia have earned auto bids. St. John’s is in the BE final today v Seton Hall, and will qualify either way (winning BE or at-large). Northeastern should get an at-large, but who the hell knows with the committee. Their RPI is 35, but got knocked out of their tourney before the final by Wagner. They should be hoping for all the favorites to win their conference tourneys today. Bryant spit the bit in their tourney, so their season is over.

Would be great if we had an all NE region of 1 UConn, 2 SJU, 3 Northeastern, 4 Hartford/LIU/Canisius. Long shot, but a boy can dream.
 
SAMCRO said:
So far, from the Northeast part of the country Army, Hartford, LIU Brooklyn, Canisius, and Columbia have earned auto bids. St. John’s is in the BE final today v Seton Hall, and will qualify either way (winning BE or at-large). Northeastern should get an at-large, but who the hell knows with the committee. Their RPI is 35, but got knocked out of their tourney before the final by Wagner. They should be hoping for all the favorites to win their conference tourneys today. Bryant spit the bit in their tourney, so their season is over.

Would be great if we had an all NE region of 1 UConn, 2 SJU, 3 Northeastern, 4 Hartford/LIU/Canisius. Long shot, but a boy can dream.
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Almost guaranteed that there will be a team shipped in from the southeast as there are looking to be 11 SEC teams and another half a dozen ACC teams.
 
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SAMCRO said:
So far, from the Northeast part of the country Army, Hartford, LIU Brooklyn, Canisius, and Columbia have earned auto bids. St. John’s is in the BE final today v Seton Hall, and will qualify either way (winning BE or at-large). Northeastern should get an at-large, but who the hell knows with the committee. Their RPI is 35, but got knocked out of their tourney before the final by Wagner. They should be hoping for all the favorites to win their conference tourneys today. Bryant spit the bit in their tourney, so their season is over.

Would be great if we had an all NE region of 1 UConn, 2 SJU, 3 Northeastern, 4 Hartford/LIU/Canisius. Long shot, but a boy can dream.
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Northeastern lost in CAA final to unc Wilmington Guys at D1 baseball think they're out
 
Since DIBaseball has Louisville as on the bubble for a host seed, does their loss in the ACC champ game help us a little in getting to host?
 
Why are Texas and Coastal better candidates than UConn for hosts? Just curioius. The numbers don’t look that much more impressive. Especially Texas...Do they really need 5 regionals in the Carolinas? I feel like that might work in our favor.
 
4in16 said:
Why are Texas and Coastal better candidates than UConn for hosts? Just curioius. The numbers don’t look that much more impressive. Especially Texas...Do they really need 5 regionals in the Carolinas? I feel like that might work in our favor.
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If we get left out over Texas/Coastal, it's likely due to Texas winning the Regular Season Championship of the #2 RPI conference and Coastal sweeping the SunBelt titles.
 
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4in16 said:
Why are Texas and Coastal better candidates than UConn for hosts? Just curioius. The numbers don’t look that much more impressive. Especially Texas...Do they really need 5 regionals in the Carolinas? I feel like that might work in our favor.
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I think the easy answer is:

They aren't.
 
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Guapo said:
I think the easy answer is:

They aren't.
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Coastal Carolina (despite losing to UConn earlier in the season) has consistently been ranked higher than UConn in all the polls for most of the year...
 
huskymedic said:
Coastal Carolina (despite losing to UConn earlier in the season) has consistently been ranked higher than UConn in all the polls for most of the year...
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True, but UConn beat them (as you said) and UConn's RPI is higher.

Add in geographic diversity and I still think UConn's argument is stronger.
 
Guapo said:
True, but UConn beat them (as you said) and UConn's RPI is higher.

Add in geographic diversity and I still think UConn's argument is stronger.
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Coastal Carolina strength of schedule is significantly higher...

I’m not rooting against UConn hosting, it’s just not necessarily a slam dunk over CC.
 
huskymedic said:
Coastal Carolina strength of schedule is significantly higher...

I’m not rooting against UConn hosting, it’s just not necessarily a slam dunk over CC.
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We'll never be able to compete with Southern schools when it comes to SOS.

Mid-week games vs South Carolina/Clemson/UNC/Wake instead of Hartford/CCSU/UMass-Lowell/Bryant.
 
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HawkHusky said:
We'll never be able to compete with Southern schools when it comes to SOS.

Mid-week games vs South Carolina/Clemson/UNC/Wake instead of Hartford/CCSU/UMass-Lowell/Bryant.
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Upon further reflection...

WE ARE DOOOOOOMED
 
HawkHusky said:
We'll never be able to compete with Southern schools when it comes to SOS.

Mid-week games vs South Carolina/Clemson/UNC/Wake instead of Hartford/CCSU/UMass-Lowell/Bryant.
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Bryant should not be in this list. They have an RPI of 88 this season, and they usually have a very good team, one of the best in New England. Boston College and Rhode Island are always solid in the RPI department as well.
 
D1Baseball still has UConn as on the bubble (in) for hosting the 1st round:

Postseason Snapshot: May 27 | D1Baseball.com

>>UConn held steady at No. 16 in the RPI after losing to East Carolina in the AAC tournament championship game. At this point, we think both AAC finalists are on track to host, but the Pirates now feel like a lock, with a No. 12 RPI and the tournament championship under their belts. UConn gives the field some geographic diversity, but that’s not the only reason it gets the edge over NC State, Coastal Carolina, Louisville and Duke. Northern teams with that kind of RPI generally wind up hosting, assuming they performed well in conference. UConn is also 11-9 vs. the top 50, which is actually better than NC State (9-8), Louisville (9-10) and Duke (6-7), who have enormous geographic advantages over UConn when it comes to midweek scheduling, in particular. And UConn is 22-13-1 against the top 100, which also compares favorably to those three ACC teams.<<
 
Sure, we're mostly homers, but it seems to me that it reinforces the narrative that northern teams are at an overall disadvantage in the pecking order if the NCAA forces the northeastern teams to travel all over the country to regionals. When they have the opportunity and the metrics work, they should give a little preference in favor of at least one northeastern host location. Forcing teams that have limited early season home scheduling options to travel again is just another disadvantage for the weather challenged northern teams.
 
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Guapo said:
Who is on the committee?
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Chris Del Conte (Texas)
Kevin Anderson (MD)
Whit Babcock (VA Tech)
Dave Blank (Elon)
Mike Buddie (Furman)
Joe Karlgaard (Rice)
Steve Robertello (Fresno St.)
Benjamin Shove (NEC)
Scott Sidwell (USF)
Ray Tanner (USCe)
 
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