Wins needed to make 2021 NCAA tourney | Page 2 | The Boneyard

Wins needed to make 2021 NCAA tourney

Palatine said:
11.6 strike outs a games bu UConn hitters. That's terrible. It's even worse in college ball where so many errors occur and any contact can get you on base. This looks like it will be a season long problem.
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Things can change over a short period of time in baseball - I will bet that it will be down to under 6 in a few weeks
 
Hope you're right. But this is nowhere near where a top team should be.
 
Haven't been following closely due to focus on hoops and even hockey. Is this start somewhat disappointing? Feels that way to me, but again, haven't been paying close attention. I thought we played well vs UVA.

TT provides an opportunity, need to get at least 2. Really need to dominate the Northeast games and Big East.
 
HuskyHawk said:
Haven't been following closely due to focus on hoops and even hockey. Is this start somewhat disappointing? Feels that way to me, but again, haven't been paying close attention. I thought we played well vs UVA.

TT provides an opportunity, need to get at least 2. Really need to dominate the Northeast games and Big East.
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Somewhat disappointing. We have been in every game so the one and two run losses hurt. Lots of positives to be had but also many things still left to iron out. The non conference slate haa been challenging but UConn has shot itself in the foot on chances to win each of these games. My fear is when the schedule gets softer that we may play down to our competition but that remains to be seen.
 
Tough night for UConn sports. Another 1 run loss for the baseball team, and a 3 point loss for hoop team. Many players on baseball team have not played up to their capabilities as of yet. Last night I think we lost the Creighton game because whole team ( minus Sanogo) did not play up to their capabilities. I reaaly feel the baseball team will turn it around, and we will have a good to very good season. Some of these 1 run games have to start going our way. Also feel the same about hoop team. Looking for a real nice run in NCAA.

Go Huskies!!!

current record........... season goal
1 - 3 / .250% ........ 2 - 5 / .285% - Top 15 (out of Conf)
3 - 4 / .429 ........ 8 - 4 / .667 - Over Top 15 ( out of Conf)
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 18-10 / .642 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 4 - 7 / .364 ...... 41 - 24 / .631
(2) ? ....... < 50 RPI
(3) Not yet applicable ........ Top 2 Big East
 
Trying to change Mojo. Not updating list till after next 2 games. Bad weekend so far for UConn sports. Lets hope it changes with Hockey game, Nice bracket for hoop team and a Baseball turn around.

Go Huskies!!!
 
.-.
Sorry have not updated in a bit. Was hoping for a victory, and then update. After a loss or a losings streak, I am sometimes not motivated to update chart. Looking for a successful weekend for baseball team and hoop teams. Last weekend was a tough one, for baseball, men's hoop and hockey.

Baseball teams (obviously) needs to get on a winning streak. I think we are talented enough to do it. Just seems like things have not come together as of yet. I have a feeling this is the weekend we start.

Go Huskies !!!


current record........... season goal
1 - 6 / .143% ........ 2 - 5 / .285% - Top 15 (out of Conf)
3 - 4 / .429 ........ 8 - 4 / .667 - Over Top 15 ( out of Conf)
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 18-10 / .642 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 4 - 10 / .286 ...... 41 - 24 / .631
(2) ? ....... < 50 RPI
(3) Not yet applicable ........ Top 2 Big East
 
huskymedic said:
Heading to the weekend... UConn’s RPI is #99. St. Joseph’s is #2 😉.
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Who would have bet on those rankings at beginning of season. Great opportunity to get some wins vs #2 ( currently) RPI team. Big weekend
 
ucjoet said:
Who would have bet on those rankings at beginning of season. Great opportunity to get some wins vs #2 ( currently) RPI team. Big weekend
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Ah, the joys of early baseball season RPI, even more so in this pandemic year where a number of teams have barely started playing if at all. I believe St. Joe's has played and won 4 games, and none of them against big name baseball schools. Still, road wins for UConn would be a valuable commodity.
 
Much needed win. Lets get another one tomorrow before hoop game. I will start posting RPI after this weekend.

Go Huskies !!!

current record........... season goal
1 - 6 / .143% ........ 2 - 5 / .285% - Top 15 (out of Conf)
4 - 4 / .500 ........ 8 - 4 / .667 - Over Top 15 ( out of Conf)
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 18-10 / .642 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 5 - 10 / .333 ...... 41 - 24 / .631
(2) ? ....... < 50 RPI
(3) Not yet applicable ........ Top 2 Big East
 
Another 1 run loss. We are now 3-9 in 1 or 2 run games. If we were 6-6 in those games, our overall record would be 8-8. What a different feeling we would have right now. Can't say that the 17th game of season is a must win, but winning tomorrow would be a small step (winning a weekend) in hopefully turning this season around.

Lets first get a hoop win tonight.

Go Huskies !!!

current record........... season goal
1 - 6 / .143% ........ 2 - 5 / .285% - Top 15 (out of Conf)
4 - 5 / .444 ........ 8 - 4 / .667 - Over Top 15 ( out of Conf)
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 18-10 / .642 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 5 - 11 / .313 ...... 41 - 24 / .631
(2) ? ....... < 50 RPI
(3) Not yet applicable ........ Top 2 Big East
 
.-.
Nice easy, quick victory. Much needed series win. Maybe today is game we turn season around.

Go Huskies !!!

current record........... season goal
1 - 6 / .143% ........ 2 - 5 / .285% - Top 15 (out of Conf)
5 - 5 / .500 ........ 8 - 4 / .667 - Over Top 15 ( out of Conf)
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 18-10 / .642 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 6 - 11 / .353 ...... 41 - 24 / .631
(2) ? ....... < 50 RPI
(3) Not yet applicable ........ Top 2 Big East
 
@ucjoet - I know you were worried about site security issues w/ Warren Nolan. He's another option that appears to be readily accessed w/o subscription? Quick comparison shows it tracks Warren Nolan.

d1baseball.com

D1Baseball's RPI Nitty Gritty

Follow along with the most accurate college baseball RPI updated daily as the Road to Omaha continues.
d1baseball.com d1baseball.com
 
huskymedic said:
@ucjoet - I know you were worried about site security issues w/ Warren Nolan. He's another option that appears to be readily accessed w/o subscription? Quick comparison shows it tracks Warren Nolan.

d1baseball.com

D1Baseball's RPI Nitty Gritty

Follow along with the most accurate college baseball RPI updated daily as the Road to Omaha continues.
d1baseball.com d1baseball.com
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Thank you. Appreciate the info. My email was hacked a few months back. Lost all my work contacts and emails. Was able to restore almost everything, but it was a nightmare. So now I am skeptical of anything even slightly fishy. Thanks again
 
With the help of Huskymedic, I now will be updating the RPI. The RPI (29th) is only criteria we are in green. I know it is still very early, but at least it is something. Have CCSU (258) today and 3 with URI (18) this weekend. Obviously would love a sweep. But a win today and 2 of 3 from URI would work.

Really need to go on a little winning streak. This weekend could tell us a lot of how season will trend.

Go Huskies !!!

current record........... season goal
1 - 6 / .143% ........ 2 - 5 / .285% - Top 15 (out of Conf)
5 - 5 / .500 ........ 8 - 4 / .667 - Over Top 15 ( out of Conf)
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 18-10 / .642 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 6 - 11 / .353 ...... 41 - 24 / .631
(2) 29 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) Not yet applicable ........ Top 2 Big East
 
huskymedic said:
Very early but...

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That definitely helps explain UConn being No. 27 in the RPI right now, together with playing all their games on the road with the exception of a couple neutral site games.
 
.-.
Did what we needed to do yesterday, got a win. Great pitching led the day. Hopefully that continues, and also our bats get hot this weekend. Stating the obvious, need to get wins under our belt. Thinking that should happen, with schedule easing up a bit. Our RPI is currently 25, and SOS at #3.

Lets win ( or sweep) series this weekend.

Go Huskies !!!

current record........... season goal
1 - 6 / .143% ........ 2 - 5 / .285% - Top 15 (out of Conf)
5 - 5 / .500 ........ 8 - 4 / .667 - Over Top 15 ( out of Conf)
1 - 0 / 1.000 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 18-10 / .642 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 7 - 11 / .389 ...... 41 - 24 / .631
(2) 25 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) Not yet applicable ........ Top 2 Big East
 
... and it starts:




1. (15) Pittsburgh^
2. Michigan*
3. Georgia
4. Connecticut*

Other teams of note: Texas Tech - National 5 seed. USM - 3 seed, Coastal Carolina - 3 seed, Bryant - 4 seed and BC - 2 seed.
 
Nice comeback victory. We are on a modest 3 game winning streak. Never easy to win a doubleheader, but man would that be nice. In the last 7 games we are averaging just under 8.5 runs per game. If we can keep this up, we should win a good majority of upcoming games.

I made a couple of changes to chart. For some reason I thought we were originally scheduled to play St. Joes 5 times. But I guess I was wrong. So I changed stats in "Over Top 15 (out of conf)" line. I also added the SOS as a line item.

Go Huskies !!!

current record........... season goal
1 - 6 / .143% ........ 2 - 5 / .285% - Top 15 (out of Conf)
5 - 5 / .500 ........ 6 - 4 / .600 - Over Top 15 ( out of Conf)
2 - 0 / 1.000 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 18-10 / .642 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 8 - 11 / .421 ...... 41 - 24 / .631
(2) 19 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) Not yet applicable ........ Top 2 Big East
(4) SOS - 5
 
ucjoet said:
Nice comeback victory. We are on a modest 3 game winning streak. Never easy to win a doubleheader, but man would that be nice. In the last 7 games we are averaging just under 8.5 runs per game. If we can keep this up, we should win a good majority of upcoming games.

I made a couple of changes to chart. For some reason I thought we were originally scheduled to play St. Joes 5 times. But I guess I was wrong. So I changed stats in "Over Top 15 (out of conf)" line. I also added the SOS as a line item.

Go Huskies !!!


current record........... season goal
1 - 6 / .143% ........ 2 - 5 / .285% - Top 15 (out of Conf)
5 - 5 / .500 ........ 6 - 4 / .600 - Over Top 15 ( out of Conf)
2 - 0 / 1.000 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 18-10 / .642 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 8 - 11 / .421 ...... 41 - 24 / .631
(2) 19 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) Not yet applicable ........ Top 2 Big East
(4) SOS - 5
Expand ...

You are right, Saint Joe's was originally scheduled to play UConn five times this season. The Hawks were originally scheduled to play two games at UConn next Thursday and Friday at the start of the Easter weekend. However, those games got cancelled, and now UConn is playing three games against UMass instead of the two that were originally scheduled.
 
.-.
Clutch HR by Pat Winkel to get another much needed win. Lets sweep this doubleheader ( and series).

Go Huskies !!!
current record........... season goal
1 - 6 / .143% ........ 2 - 5 / .285% - Top 15 (out of Conf)
5 - 5 / .500 ........ 6 - 4 / .600 - Over Top 15 ( out of Conf)
3 - 0 / 1.000 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 18-10 / .642 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 9 - 11 / .450 ...... 39 - 24 / .619
(2) 20 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) Not yet applicable ........ Top 2 Big East
(4) SOS - 8
 
Anytime you win 3 of 4 games in a week, you should be satisfied. But with opportunity to go 4 of 4, I was a little let down after yesterday's loss. I realize we have played a very difficult early season schedule. But we have dug ourselves into a hole, and we need to get wins to turn this season around ( stating the obvious).

If my math is correct we have 38 regular season games left. I am going to breakdown season into 3 sections, with win goals for each section. I did not take into account who we are playing in each section 9little lazy this morning). If we reach or exceed these goals , we will be on track to meet my (unscientific) goal of 37 regular season wins. The record we would achieve if we meet these goals is 28 - 10 (.739%) over next 38 games. Seems like a lofty goal, but doable if everything starts to come together.

Go Huskies !!!

Intermediate Goals
(1) 9 - 4 ....... 0 - 0 (next 12 games)
(2) 9 - 3 ....... 0 - 0 (middle 13 games)
(3) 10 - 3 ....... 0 - 0 ( last 13 games)

current record........... season goal
1 - 6 / .143% ........ 2 - 5 / .285% - Top 15 (out of Conf)
5 - 5 / .500 ........ 6 - 4 / .600 - Over Top 15 ( out of Conf)
3 - 1 / .750 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 18-10 / .642 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 9 - 12 / .429 ...... 39 - 24 / .619
(2) 21 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) Not yet applicable ........ Top 2 Big East
(4) SOS - 8
 
ucjoet said:
Anytime you win 3 of 4 games in a week, you should be satisfied. But with opportunity to go 4 of 4, I was a little let down after yesterday's loss. I realize we have played a very difficult early season schedule. But we have dug ourselves into a hole, and we need to get wins to turn this season around ( stating the obvious).

If my math is correct we have 38 regular season games left. I am going to breakdown season into 3 sections, with win goals for each section. I did not take into account who we are playing in each section 9little lazy this morning). If we reach or exceed these goals , we will be on track to meet my (unscientific) goal of 37 regular season wins. The record we would achieve if we meet these goals is 28 - 10 (.739%) over next 38 games. Seems like a lofty goal, but doable if everything starts to come together.

Go Huskies !!!


Intermediate Goals
(1) 9 - 4 ....... 0 - 0 (next 12 games)
(2) 9 - 3 ....... 0 - 0 (middle 13 games)
(3) 10 - 3 ....... 0 - 0 ( last 13 games)

current record........... season goal
1 - 6 / .143% ........ 2 - 5 / .285% - Top 15 (out of Conf)
5 - 5 / .500 ........ 6 - 4 / .600 - Over Top 15 ( out of Conf)
3 - 1 / .750 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 18-10 / .642 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 9 - 12 / .429 ...... 39 - 24 / .619
(2) 21 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) Not yet applicable ........ Top 2 Big East
(4) SOS - 8
Expand ...

UConn may have 38 games left on the schedule, but that is 3 over the NCAA limit of 56 regular season games. I expect that they over scheduled on the assumption there will be either rainouts or Covid problems at some point. If not, then I would guess that the game against Rhode Island and the two games against Northeastern will get cancelled at some point.

Once UConn gets into Big East play. they will have several five game weeks. To make some headway, the Huskies will probably need to go 4-1 in those weeks. As usual, the Huskies need to win the vast majority of their midweek games, even though those games are not quite as weak as they have been in the past. UConn needs Pat Gallagher to become something of a reliable starter, and assuming that he gets moved to the weekends once the four game Big East weekends start up, they will need someone else to fill the midweek starting role. And obviously there is the question of what will happen to Joe Simeone's spot in the weekend starting rotation, as UConn obviously needs better than what they have gotten from that spot so far. Not sure who that will be at this point, but it always seems that some pitchers do develop a bit more reliability as the season progresses. Hopefully that will happen this season as well.
 
As Huskymedic stated in another thread, it is always nice to beat BC. But more importantly it was a win, and we desperately need every win possible. Great pitching and finally the last few innings were stress free. Important series with UMass this weekend. We need at minimum to win 2.

From info DBmill stated above regarding number of games, I am changing chart again. I am taking out the 3rd section of our intermediate goals and recalculating some of the other percentages. Will revisit the final third of season, once we see how schedule shakes out.

Go Huskies !!!

Intermediate Goals
(1) 9 - 4 ....... 1 - 0 (next 12 games)
(2) 9 - 3 ....... 0 - 0 (middle 13 games)

current record........... season goal
1 - 6 / .143% ........ 2 - 5 / .285% - Top 15 (out of Conf)
5 - 5 / .500 ........ 6 - 4 / .600 - Over Top 15 ( out of Conf)
4 - 1 / .750 ......... 8 - 3 / .727 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 19- 9 / .678 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 10 - 12 / .455 ...... 37 - 23 / .617
(2) 21 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) Not yet applicable ........ Top 2 Big East
(4) SOS - 12
 
huskymedic said:
... and it starts:




1. (15) Pittsburgh^
2. Michigan*
3. Georgia
4. Connecticut*

Other teams of note: Texas Tech - National 5 seed. USM - 3 seed, Coastal Carolina - 3 seed, Bryant - 4 seed and BC - 2 seed.
Expand ...

This weeks BA projections:

www.baseballamerica.com

2021 NCAA Baseball Tournament Projected Field Of 64 (3/31/21)

In this projection, the ACC and SEC both receive 10 bids, and both conferences have teams just on the wrong side of the bubble.
www.baseballamerica.com www.baseballamerica.com

1. (15) Florida^
2. Florida State
3. Florida Atlantic
4. Connecticut*

Other teams of note: Texas Tech - National 5 seed. USM - 2 seed, Bryant - 4 seed, Northeastern- 4 seed and BC - “First Four Out” category
 
ucjoet said:
As Huskymedic stated in another thread, it is always nice to beat BC. But more importantly it was a win, and we desperately need every win possible. Great pitching and finally the last few innings were stress free. Important series with UMass this weekend. We need at minimum to win 2.

From info DBmill stated above regarding number of games, I am changing chart again. I am taking out the 3rd section of our intermediate goals and recalculating some of the other percentages. Will revisit the final third of season, once we see how schedule shakes out.

Go Huskies !!!

Intermediate Goals
(1) 9 - 4 ....... 1 - 0 (next 12 games)
(2) 9 - 3 ....... 0 - 0 (middle 13 games)

current record........... season goal
1 - 6 / .143% ........ 2 - 5 / .285% - Top 15 (out of Conf)
5 - 5 / .500 ........ 6 - 4 / .600 - Over Top 15 ( out of Conf)
4 - 1 / .750 ......... 8 - 3 / .727 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 19- 9 / .678 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 10 - 12 / .455 ...... 37 - 23 / .617
(2) 21 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) Not yet applicable ........ Top 2 Big East
(4) SOS - 12
Expand ...

Here is another oddity of the schedule this season. If UConn does not have any cancellations of games due to weather or pandemic for the rest of the season (yes, that is a big if), it looks like the Huskies will only have three more midweek games this season. If this is the case, I would think the two games against Northeastern and the game against Rhode Island in May would be cancelled in order to observe the 56 NCAA mandated limit on regular season games. This is due to the Big East scheduling four game weekends in conference play.
 
.-.
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