Men - Wins Needed for a 2025 At Large Bid | Page 6 | The Boneyard

Men Wins Needed for a 2025 At Large Bid

In all candor, even if we were to win every remaining game until the conference tournament, fall short there but perform as well as logically possible without winning the tournament, I'm not sure someone would be able to convince me that we warrant an at large bid.

We need to win as many games as we can for seeding in the BE tournament, then take home that trophy.
If following the "at large bid" details correctly, win every game rest of regular season would be 41-18 for regular season and win 24 of 25 to end season. RPI in low 30's, no quad 4 loses and winning record in quad 2 (more quad 1 wins than 8 teams ranked ahead of UConn). Seems pretty solid to me, but then I'm a pretty casual baseball fan and pretty easy to convince myself when want something to be true.
 
UConn's next games are at home against Butler, which currently has the worst RPI among Big East teams.
 
Fourth straight weekend with a Big East sweep. Have now won 17 of last 18. Very impressed with how we have turned this season around.

Go Huskies!!!

current record........... season goal
9 - 10/ .474% ........ 12 - 7 / .631% - National
7 - 4/ .636........ 10 - 5 / .667 - Northeast

14 - 4 / .778 ...... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tournament

Post season Criteria
(1) 30 - 18/ .625..... 39 - 20 / .661
(2) 36...... < 50 RPI
(3) 11…….. < 10 Conf RPI
(4) 1st…… Top 2 BE
 
If following the "at large bid" details correctly, win every game rest of regular season would be 41-18 for regular season and win 24 of 25 to end season. RPI in low 30's, no quad 4 loses and winning record in quad 2 (more quad 1 wins than 8 teams ranked ahead of UConn). Seems pretty solid to me, but then I'm a pretty casual baseball fan and pretty easy to convince myself when want something to be true.
I think if they win out the regular season they will be in the NCAAs. Frankly, I think one more loss and they’re still probably o.k., but I won’t be comfortable if they go 0-2 in the Big East Tourney. The last seven games are all at home, and six are against very poor teams. Doesn’t mean they can’t lose one of those — it’s baseball — but if they keep playing well they’re in good shape.
 
Any chance with no week games this week, and manageable home series vs Butler/Maine left, that we line some of our best pitching up to be able to face Northeastern? That win can get us in.
I'm guessing they will use Cooke against Butler, but limit the pitch count hopefully using him Friday or Saturday so they can start him against Northeastern
 
I think if they win out the regular season they will be in the NCAAs. Frankly, I think one more loss and they’re still probably o.k., but I won’t be comfortable if they go 0-2 in the Big East Tourney. The last seven games are all at home, and six are against very poor teams. Doesn’t mean they can’t lose one of those — it’s baseball — but if they keep playing well they’re in good shape.
Wins over Vanderbilt, UNC and 2 against Miami will weigh heavily in our favor.
 
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I'm guessing they will use Cooke against Butler, but limit the pitch count hopefully using him Friday or Saturday so they can start him against Northeastern

It would be nice if Cooke can be the starting pitcher against Northeastern, but we will have to see how things go in the series against Butler. Of course, Butler is a contender for being the worst baseball team in the Big East, but whether or not Cooke gets to start against Northeastern will depend on how the series against Butler goes and whether the coaching staff find they need to use him in order to win those games.

With the way UConn has been playing and winning so many games of late, I'm thinking UConn has a pretty good chance of making the NCAA Tournament assuming they keep on winning much more than they lose.
 


-> Phil: Creighton wins the Big East tournament. Who would get the At large bids Xavier or UConn? Any chance they’d let 3 BE teams in?

Kendall Rogers: If Creighton won the auto bid, my feeling as of today is that UConn and Creighton make the field and Xavier would be on the outside looking in. WTS — XU could greatly improve its chances by winning the Creighton and Penn State series on the road. Win those two and it would be tough, I think, to keep Billy OC’s club out of the tourney. <-
 

CORVALLIS, ORE.
1Oregon State (14)
2Oklahoma
3Connecticut*
4Nevada*

Just keep winning…

As for the Big East, Xavier also makes it into the Tournament, Creighton does not in this particular projection. We'll see what happens this weekend when Xavier and Creighton have a 3 game series with each other.
 
It would be nice if Cooke can be the starting pitcher against Northeastern, but we will have to see how things go in the series against Butler. Of course, Butler is a contender for being the worst baseball team in the Big East, but whether or not Cooke gets to start against Northeastern will depend on how the series against Butler goes and whether the coaching staff find they need to use him in order to win those games.

With the way UConn has been playing and winning so many games of late, I'm thinking UConn has a pretty good chance of making the NCAA Tournament assuming they keep on winning much more than they lose.
Depends what Cooke you get. The staff is playing to win that specific midweek. Whatever it takes.
 
Depends what Cooke you get. The staff is playing to win that specific midweek. Whatever it takes.
Obviously they want to beat Northeastern, but if you had to lose 1 game out of these last 7 that is the one that would do the least damage to their RPI.
 
Obviously they want to beat Northeastern, but if you had to lose 1 game out of these last 7 that is the one that would do the least damage to their RPI.
From an RPI standpoint, I don’t think it matters. I think if you go 6-1 against a particular schedule, it doesn’t matter where the one loss is. Beating Northeastern would be a boost helping us to overcome a loss to Butler or Maine, while losing to Northeastern won’t have a terrible effect but then we get nothing positive from the other 6 wins. But if I’m wrong someone can correct me.

Whether the Committee cares more about a strong win or a horrible loss, who knows.
 
From an RPI standpoint, I don’t think it matters. I think if you go 6-1 against a particular schedule, it doesn’t matter where the one loss is. Beating Northeastern would be a boost helping us to overcome a loss to Butler or Maine, while losing to Northeastern won’t have a terrible effect but then we get nothing positive from the other 6 wins. But if I’m wrong someone can correct me.

Whether the Committee cares more about a strong win or a horrible loss, who knows.
I do think a NE win could have weight when seeding comes. It strengthens our resume.
 

CORVALLIS, ORE.
1Oregon State (14)
2Oklahoma
3Connecticut*
4Nevada*

Just keep winning…

Conway, S.C.
1. (12) Coastal Carolina^* (Sun Belt)
2. Alabama (SEC)
3. Connecticut* (Big East)
4. High Point* (Big South)

* Xavier as the #3 in the Clemson S.C Regional*
 

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