Men - Wins Needed for a 2024 At Large bid | Page 5 | The Boneyard

Men Wins Needed for a 2024 At Large bid

ucjoet said:
I don’t necessarily disagree with your points, and value your analysis. Going 8-0, or 7-1 would be optimal. But if we go 5-3 rest of regular season and end up in BE tournament championship game, that would get us to 34 wins. I believe the Big East has a very good chance of getting two teams in. If that is true, we should be one of those 2 teams.

We still have much work to do. These next 5 games will be very interesting. We have been on a roll, that needs to continue for a few more weeks.

Go Huskies!!!
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It's tough to manage 3 game sweeps in baseball in general. As long as UConn keeps winning more than they lose they should be in pretty good shape for the post session. Also helping out in a potential at large bid is the way UConn has been dominating Big East conference series, and having taken the St. John's series. Also helps that the Big East has improved itself in baseball this season.
 


-> Who Helped Their Case:
… St. John’s: The Johnnies had about as good of a weekend as you can have as a bubble team for the NCAA tournament. They hosted another previous bubble team in Creighton, and did a clean sweep of the Bluejays, moving up 13 spots to 43. An RPI in the 40s is still somewhat problematic for a Big East team, but the Johnnies should be in as of today.

Who Hurt Their Case:​

… Creighton: The Bluejays were swept on the road by St. John’s this past weekend, and with that, they are going to have serious trouble even qualifying for the Big East tournament, which only has four teams in it. For now, the Jays are well behind fourth place Xavier. From an RPI standpoint, Creighton is sitting at 60, which is a five spot drop from last week. <-
 
Not much to say about today’s game. Need to rebound this weekend.

Post season Criteria
(1) 27 - 20/ .574.... 34 - 24 / .586
(2) 7 - 2 / .778….. 12 - 4 / .750
(3) 44... < 49Team RPI
(4) 7th........ < 8 Conf RPI
(5) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East
 
4-5 versus New England teams (BC, URI, UMass, Bryant, Central CT, Northeastern) will not inspire the committee to grant us an at-large bid. Northeastern will earn one before us. Win the BE tourney, or stay home………deservedly.
 
I am impressed that most of us here feel UConn will be fortunate to receive an At Large Bid, but most projections have us a a regional 2 seed. If we were on bubble, we probably would be projected as a 3 seed. Not sure if I agree with projections, but happy to see it
 
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huskymedic said:


Knoxville Regional:
  1. Tennessee (#3)
  2. UConn
  3. VaTech
  4. Niagara
Johnnies a three seed
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www.baseballamerica.com

2024 NCAA Baseball Tournament Bracket: Projected Field Of 64 (May 8)

Can Kentucky claim the No. 1 overall seed in the 2024 NCAA Tournament? Here's our latest bracket projection ahead of Selection Monday.
www.baseballamerica.com www.baseballamerica.com

Norman Regional:
  1. Oklahoma (#10)
  2. Dallas Baptist
  3. UConn*
  4. Lamar
Last Four In
61. Florida
62. Coastal Carolina
63. St. John’s
64. Indiana

First Four Out
65. Xavier
66. Utah
67. LSU
68. California

Next Four Out
69. Charleston
70. Georgia Tech
71. Illinois
72. Cincinnati
 
ucjoet said:
I am impressed that most of us here feel UConn will be fortunate to receive an At Large Bid, but most projections have us a a regional 2 seed. If we were on bubble, we probably would be projected as a 3 seed. Not sure if I agree with projections, but happy to see it
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I was about to make a similar statement, that with UConn being projected as a regional 2 seed, that it would seem that they are still in the running for an at large bid. Of course, a later projection had them as a regional 3 seed, but still apparently ahead of St. John's since St. John's is listed as one of the last 4 teams getting into the NCAA Tourney.

Probably helping UConn is that the Big East this year his risen to around 7 in conference RPI, and that UConn is currently in 1st place in the Big East standings. Also helps that UConn has not lost a Big East series this season, something that the Huskies need to keep doing.

Also helps that St. John's is currently projected as a regional 3 seed, one of the teams UConn has taken a series from this season in the Big East schedule.

Well, we'll have to see what happens during the last 7 regular season games for UConn, plus how they perform in the Big East Tournament.
 
huskymedic said:


Knoxville Regional:
  1. Tennessee (#3)
  2. UConn
  3. VaTech
  4. Niagara
Johnnies a three seed
Expand ...

Do these rankings reflect St. John’s loss to FDU last night? Maybe not? Either way it’s good to see there’s at least two bids.
 
dbmill said:
I was about to make a similar statement, that with UConn being projected as a regional 2 seed, that it would seem that they are still in the running for an at large bid. Of course, a later projection had them as a regional 3 seed, but still apparently ahead of St. John's since St. John's is listed as one of the last 4 teams getting into the NCAA Tourney.

Probably helping UConn is that the Big East this year his risen to around 7 in conference RPI, and that UConn is currently in 1st place in the Big East standings. Also helps that UConn has not lost a Big East series this season, something that the Huskies need to keep doing.

Also helps that St. John's is currently projected as a regional 3 seed, one of the teams UConn has taken a series from this season in the Big East schedule.

Well, we'll have to see what happens during the last 7 regular season games for UConn, plus how they perform in the Big East Tournament.
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Xavier is also in contention, one of the 1st 4 teams out at this point, so it is possible they could make the tourney as well if things go well for them.
 
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UConn baseball has been in the last 5 NCAA Tournaments, and since and including the 2010 season, has been in 9 NCAA Tournaments, and missed 4 tournaments in that time. Really hoping that UConn baseball can make it for 6 straight years by making it this season, since who knows what will happen next season.
 
Jimdish255 said:
Just noticed the next team we play is a one off return matchup against a tough Northeastern squad with some nice wins. That comes immediately after a 3 game road trip for both squads. Should be an interesting matchup with both teams looking for a post season opportunity. Things come at you fast.
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Northeastern is team that is clearly underrated nationally but it's embarrassing how badly we mailed that game in. And how are we a 2 seed and Northeastern a 3 seed? Does anyone watch any games?
 
Huskies are showing they are solid in three game series right now with Cooke throwing well for several weeks. Very few teams have solid 4s to bail them out in conference tourney/regional play if they lose early. Pen games and bringing aces back on short rest. Difference this year is the offense - bats go cold and they can’t run wild on the bases as in past years.
 
Rdkid said:
Huskies are showing they are solid in three game series right now with Cooke throwing well for several weeks. Very few teams have solid 4s to bail them out in conference tourney/regional play if they lose early. Pen games and bringing aces back on short rest. Difference this year is the offense - bats go cold and they can’t run wild on the bases as in past years.
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Yea and the timely hitting, although it’s gotten better the past two weekends. It’s unfortunate Morton can’t lead off again. He’s not a base stealer, although he’s the fastest player they have I believe. He steals bags but if his role could be to get on base/steal bunt plus the 8-10 hr, that’d be a luxury within the lineup. Unfortunately idt they can afford to do that. If the hitting with RISP continues to increase, they can play that way. The question is can the bats do that against the top staffs in the regionals and certainly if they get to a Super.

I’m not sure there’s a whole lot more that can be expected of the way the weekend guys have thrown the past month or so. If that continues, they’ll have a chance to get the 2 immediate victories in the regionals and patchwork a 3rd win to move on. I believe staying in the winners bracket is crucial for Uconn especially. Gotta get there first.
 
dbmill said:
UConn baseball has been in the last 5 NCAA Tournaments, and since and including the 2010 season, has been in 9 NCAA Tournaments, and missed 4 tournaments in that time. Really hoping that UConn baseball can make it for 6 straight years by making it this season, since who knows what will happen next season.
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Or the season thereafter
 
Nice rebound after Tuesday’s loss. As we have said before, this team is resilient. Need to keep stacking wins together. Finishing first in Big East regular season, will help us with At Large resume.

Post season Criteria
(1) 28. - 20/ .583.... 34 - 24 / .586
(2) 8 - 2 / .800….. 12 - 4 / .750
(3) 42... < 49Team RPI
(4) 7th........ < 8 Conf RPI
(5) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East
 
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d1baseball.com

D1 Digest: How Friday's action impacted postseason races • D1Baseball

Aaron Fitt examines how Friday's college baseball action affected the races for national seeds, host spots and at-large bids.
d1baseball.com d1baseball.com

“At-Large Candidates…

• Xavier won the opener of a huge Big East showdown series at Georgetown 9-7. The Musketeers are now 10-6 in the league and No. 26 in the RPI — and crucially, they are now 27-22 overall, creating some separation between themselves and the .500 line thanks to five straight wins. A Big East team with a mid-20s RPI feels like a very strong bet for an at-large bid, particularly if it can finish in the top three of the standings. Xavier is currently in fourth place, but just a half-game behind the Hoyas. That makes the next two games very big. <-
 
We have now won 9 of last 11, and 19 of last 23. The chart is all green below. Let’s get that sweep tomorrow.

Go Huskies!!!


Post season Criteria
(1) 29 - 20/ .592.... 34 - 24 / .586
(2) 9 - 2 / .818….. 12 - 4 / .750
(3) 40 .... < 49Team RPI
(4) 7th........ < 8 Conf RPI
(5) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East
 
d1baseball.com

D1 Digest: How Saturday's action impacted postseason races • D1Baseball

It was another massive day of college baseball action on Saturday. So, how did the results impact the postseason races around the country? Find out.
d1baseball.com d1baseball.com

Of note:

-> At-Large Candidates…

• Xavier has likely put itself in the field for now. The Musketeers have been impressive over the past couple of weeks, and clinched a series win over Georgetown on Saturday, 6-5 in 10 innings. With the win, the Musketeers are up yet another spot in the RPI to 25, along with a solid league mark of 11-6 to go with a 28-22 overall record and a No. 2 non-conference SOS. XU has put itself in a solid spot, and, by the way, hosts Oklahoma for a midweek game next week. That’s a big one!

• Cincinnati … a postseason team? For now, it looks likely to me. The Bearcats swept BYU on the road this weekend and are up to 50 in the RPI, which is a seven spot improvement overnight, and a 16-spot improvement week over week. Though the 50 RPI isn’t amazing, what is for Cincy is its Big 12 standing, which is fifth with a 16-11 record. Those are strong marks for Jordan Bischel’s club. If not for Skip Johnson, Bischel would be the slam-dunk Coach of the Year in the Big 12. <-
 
The good news is that UConn has not lost a Big East series yet this season. They have a 1 game lead over St. John's in the standings, and they have the tie breaker against them. St. John's closes the Big East schedule playing at home against Georgetown, that should be an interesting series.
 
Another series won, but really wanted a sweep. Need at Least 3 of next 4 games. Cinci would be a big win, then have to take care of business vs Butler.

Go Huskies!!!

post season Criteria
(1) 29 - 21/ .580.... 34 - 24 / .586
(2) 9 - 3 / .750….. 12 - 4 / .750
(3) 42.... < 49Team RPI
(4) 7th........ < 8 Conf RPI
(5) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East
 
D1Baseball still high on Big East:

d1baseball.com

D1Baseball Weekly Chat: May 13 • D1Baseball

Another big week of college baseball action is in the books, and our Kendall Rogers and Aaron Fitt take your burning questions about the Top 25 and postseason picture.
d1baseball.com d1baseball.com

IMG_0733.jpeg
 
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Disappointed we did not get game in today. Opportunity to win on road vs Big 12 team would have been beneficial.

I still believe if we win 2 ( hopefully 3) games vs Butler and we get to championship game of BE tournament, we are in.

That would give us a regular season BE Championship, and runner up finish in tournament. I believe that is good enough to get us in.

What does everyone else think?

Go Huskies!!!

post season Criteria
(1) 29 - 21/ .580.... 34 - 24 / .586
(2) 9 - 3 / .750….. 11 - 4 / .733
(3) 42.... < 49Team RPI
(4) 7th........ < 8 Conf RPI
(5) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East
 
ucjoet said:
Disappointed we did not get game in today. Opportunity to win on road vs Big 12 team would have been beneficial.

I still believe if we win 2 ( hopefully 3) games vs Butler and we get to championship game of BE tournament, we are in.

That would give us a regular season BE Championship, and runner up finish in tournament. I believe that is good enough to get us in.

What does everyone else think?

Go Huskies!!!

post season Criteria
(1) 29 - 21/ .580.... 34 - 24 / .586
(2) 9 - 3 / .750….. 11 - 4 / .733
(3) 42.... < 49Team RPI
(4) 7th........ < 8 Conf RPI
(5) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East
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I agree with you. If they win the season title and don’t win the BE tournament I think the Big East gets 2 teams into the tournament.
 
ucjoet said:
Disappointed we did not get game in today. Opportunity to win on road vs Big 12 team would have been beneficial.

I still believe if we win 2 ( hopefully 3) games vs Butler and we get to championship game of BE tournament, we are in.

That would give us a regular season BE Championship, and runner up finish in tournament. I believe that is good enough to get us in.

What does everyone else think?

Go Huskies!!!

post season Criteria
(1) 29 - 21/ .580.... 34 - 24 / .586
(2) 9 - 3 / .750….. 11 - 4 / .733
(3) 42.... < 49Team RPI
(4) 7th........ < 8 Conf RPI
(5) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East
Expand ...
I think a sweep vs. butler may solidify a bid. Who knows, aside from a complete collapse against Butler, they might already be considered an at-large. I know the conference championship matters but to what extent when determining UConn’s bid, idk. I don’t think yesterday’s effort hurt them even though they won’t technically benefit from the game.
 
ucjoet said:
Disappointed we did not get game in today. Opportunity to win on road vs Big 12 team would have been beneficial.

I still believe if we win 2 ( hopefully 3) games vs Butler and we get to championship game of BE tournament, we are in.

That would give us a regular season BE Championship, and runner up finish in tournament. I believe that is good enough to get us in.

What does everyone else think?

Go Huskies!!!

post season Criteria
(1) 29 - 21/ .580.... 34 - 24 / .586
(2) 9 - 3 / .750….. 11 - 4 / .733
(3) 42.... < 49Team RPI
(4) 7th........ < 8 Conf RPI
(5) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East
Expand ...
my biggest fear is Georgetown or St. John's wins the big east tournament and the committee picks Xavier as the 2nd team based solely off RPI.
 
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