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Wins needed for a 2016 NCAA at large bid

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Much needed win today. Now on a modest 3 game win streak, The next 10 games can make or break our season. I figure if we need a minimum of 7 wins, but really hoping for 8 - 2. That would get us to 20 - 13. Five of the games are vs teams currently in top 50 RPI. Six of the games are at home. Start off at home this weekend vs Tulane, need to win the series .

Below is breakdown of following games

Tulane ( 3 H ) , RPI 49
Northeastern ( 1 A) , 225
Hartford ( 1 H ) , 33
Cinci ( 3 A ) , 140
Fairfield ( 1 H ) , 187
Bryant ( 1 H ) , 39



current record.. season goal


0 - 0 / .000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
4 - 2 / .667% ... 12 - 3 / .800 - Northeast games
8 -9/ .471 .... 10 - 7 / .588 - Other games



Post season Criteria

(1) 12-11 / .522 ..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 69.... <51- RPI


(3) Top 4 AAC - fourth

CHART Code

red = below goal
blue = at goal
green = above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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As we venture into conference play... here's Baseball America's Projected Field of 64;

From AAC @ this point - Houston, Tulane and East Carolina.

Missouri State, UCSB, Hartford and Bryant also projected.
 
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Great way to start weekend. Kay perfect game into 6th. Need to get let aast 1 today.


current record.. season goal


0 - 0 / .000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
1 - 0 /1 .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
4 - 2 / .667% ...12 - 3 / .800 - Northeast games
8 -9/ .471 .... 10 - 7 / .58 8 - Other games


Post season Criteria

(1) 13-11 / .542 ..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 66.... <51- RPI

(3) Top 4 AAC - fourth

CHART Code

red = below goal
blue = at goal
green = above goal
black = not yet applicable
 

4in16

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You put the Tulane W under AAC tournament instead of regular season. ;)

Great way to start weekend. Kay perfect game into 6th. Need to get let aast 1 today.


current record.. season goal


0 - 0 / .000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
1 - 0 /1 .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
4 - 2 / .667% ...12 - 3 / .800 - Northeast games
8 -9/ .471 .... 10 - 7 / .58 8 - Other games



Post season Criteria

(1) 13-11 / .542 ..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 66.... <51- RPI

(3) Top 4 AAC - fourth

CHART Code

red = below goal
blue = at goal
green = above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Game today cancelled and will not be made up. We have Northeastern(a), UHart (h) and 3 at Cinci. Really think we need 4 of 5 to get back on track.

Sorry for color problem below. Computer mouse not working well, The only item in green would be top 4 in AAC



current record ...... season goal

1 - 1 / .500 ..... 14 - 10 / .583 - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......2-2 / .500 - AAC tourney
4 - 2 / .667 ... 12 - 3 / .800 - Northeast games
8 -9/ .471 .... 10 - 7 / .588 - Other games


Post season Criteria

(1) 13-12 / .520..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 74.... <51- RPI

(3) Top 4 AAC - fourth

CHART Code

red = below goal
blue = at goal
green = above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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American_BSB4:16pm via TweetDeck
Updated standings headed into the weekend!
CgBpykMW8AMK3o7.jpg
 
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Sorry have been away for a while. Unfortunately had 2 funerals over last 7 - 10 days , of relatives of friends of ours.. So even though I have been following , was not up to posting updates. Glad to see we are on a 5 game inning streak. A win today plus 2 wins vs 2 beatable teams ( mid week), would be huge. Get us to 21 - 15, leading into a big series with ECU.

Need to keep winning to have any chance at an At Large bid. Put we would still have a decent chance at winning tourney, because there does not seem to be any unbeatable AAC teams.

Looking for a sweep today. Go Huskies


current record
. season goal

4 - 3 / .571 ..... 14 - 10 / .583 - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000 .2-2 / .500 - AAC tourney
6 - 3 / .667 ... 12 - 3 / .800 - Northeast games
8 -9/ .471 .... 10 - 7 / .588 - Other games



Post season Criteria

(1) 18-15 / .545..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 73.... <51- RPI


(3) Top 4 AAC - fourth

CHART Code

red = below goal
blue = at goal
green = above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Huge win today and a much needed sweep of a very good Houston team. Couple of observations below.

(1) We are in second place in AAC with a 5 - 3 record. Half game behind Cinci.

(2) We have the third best RPI in AAC at 65. Trailing only Tulane ( 63) and ECU (30).

(3) We currently have a 6 game winning streak. Did not check but I believe the longest of the year.

(4) I am placing the next 2 games in the must win category, if we are going to compete for an at large bid. Both games are away, which makes it more difficult. We are at UMass ( rpi 281) and UMass- Lowell (172). With these 2 wins it gets our record to 21 -15 before a big / important weekend series at ECU.

GO HUSKIES


current record
. season goal

5 - 3 / .625 ..... 14 - 10 / .583 - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000 .2-2 / .500 - AAC tourney
6 - 3 / .667 ... 12 - 3 / .800 - Northeast games
8 -9/ .471 .... 10 - 7 / .588 - Other games



Post season Criteria

(1) 19-15 / .559..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 65.... <51- RPI

(3) Top 4 AAC - second

CHART Code

red = below goal
blue = at goal
green = above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Wow, Could have won 2 yesterday vs #20 ECU. A win today would be huge. Seems like we are doing fine vs the better teams on schedule , then shot our self in foot vs teams we should beat. Only if we had 2 more wins from our Northeast games , we would have been at 23 - 15 and right on pace for an at large bid. Nothing we can do now put keep winning.



current record . season goal
6 - 4 / .600 ..... 14 - 10 / .583 - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000 .2-2 / .500 - AAC tourney
7 - 4 / .636 ... 12 - 3 / .800 - Northeast games
8 -9/ .471 .... 10 - 7 / .588 - Other games



Post season Criteria

(1) 21-17 / .553..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 64.... <51- RPI

(3) Top 4 AAC - second ( tied)

CHART Code

red = below goal
blue = at goal
green = above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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After 4 weeks of Conference Play...
plug.jpg

The hell w/ "at large bid" -- we can still win this puppy outright!;)
 
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UConn has another series to play against East Carolina, in Storrs during graduation weekend. That series will certainly be tough. The other three remaining series are against Memphis, UCF, and USF, the bottom three teams in the league. I would think those three series represent a batch of winnable games that could move the Huskies up the standings in the AAC.
 
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Two big wins yesterday, by that I mean games we just need to win. Also need to take care of business today, heading into a huge home series with ECU next weekend. We are inching closer to each Post Season Criteria goal below. There is no question we can win AAC tourney and get a bid, but would love to keep winning and place us in good shape for an At Large bid.



current record
. season goal

8 - 5 / .615 ..... 14 - 10 / .583 - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000 .2-2 / .500 - AAC tourney
8 - 4 / .667... 12 - 3 / .800 - Northeast games
8 -9/ .471 .... 10 - 7 / .588 - Other games



Post season Criteria

(1) 24-18 / .571..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 54.... <51- RPI


(3) Top 4 AAC - second ( tied)

CHART Code

red = below goal
blue = at goal
green = above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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After rain impacted weekend:
plug.jpg


Tulane coming in @ #16 in this weeks's D1Baseball.com Poll and ECU coming in @ #24
 
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http://www.baseballamerica.com/college/projected-field-of-64-may-4/#seyYYpklVUPxhh51.97

Tulane and ECU (both 2 seeds)

Last Four In: Long Beach State, Lamar, Arizona State, Maryland
First Four Out: Saint Mary’s, Notre Dame, Duke, Connecticut
Next Four Out: Louisiana Tech, Boston College, High Point, Pittsburgh

Bids By Conference
9: ACC, SEC
5: Pac-12
4: Big Ten
3: Big 12, Big West, Conference USA
2: American, Southland, Sun Belt, West Coast
1: A-10, A-Sun, America East, Big East, Big South, Colonial, Horizon, Ivy, MAAC, MAC, MEAC, Mountain West, Missouri Valley, NEC, OVC, Patriot, Southern, Summit, SWAC, WAC

New Hosts: Oklahoma State, Washington
New Auto Bid: Monmouth (MAAC)
New At-Lage Bids: Arizona State, Long Beach State, Maryland
Dropped Out: College of Charleston, Notre Dame, Saint Mary’s
 
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http://www.baseballamerica.com/college/projected-field-of-64-may-4/#seyYYpklVUPxhh51.97

Tulane and ECU (both 2 seeds)

Last Four In: Long Beach State, Lamar, Arizona State, Maryland
First Four Out: Saint Mary’s, Notre Dame, Duke, Connecticut
Next Four Out: Louisiana Tech, Boston College, High Point, Pittsburgh

Bids By Conference
9: ACC, SEC
5: Pac-12
4: Big Ten
3: Big 12, Big West, Conference USA
2: American, Southland, Sun Belt, West Coast
1: A-10, A-Sun, America East, Big East, Big South, Colonial, Horizon, Ivy, MAAC, MAC, MEAC, Mountain West, Missouri Valley, NEC, OVC, Patriot, Southern, Summit, SWAC, WAC

New Hosts: Oklahoma State, Washington
New Auto Bid: Monmouth (MAAC)
New At-Lage Bids: Arizona State, Long Beach State, Maryland
Dropped Out: College of Charleston, Notre Dame, Saint Mary’s

Wow! Baseball America is probably as respected a baseball periodical that there is. I wouldn't have guessed UConn being projected as just being out of the NCAA tourney. There is a real opportunity for the Huskies to make the tournament, that is, if they go off and win a bunch of games to close the regular season and then make some noise at the AAC tourney.
 
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Have 7 games left in regular season. For us to have a shot at an At Large Bid, we probably need to win a minimum of 5 of these game and make a run in AAC tourney. I realize we can very well win the tourney, but it would be nice if we can go on a season ending win streak and get consideration for an at large bid. Big home series with UCF this weekend.


current record
. season goal

8 - 9 / .471 ..... 14 - 10 / .583 - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000 .2-2 / .500 - AAC tourney
10 - 4 / .714... 12 - 3 / .800 - Northeast games
8 -9/ .471 .... 10 - 7 / .588 - Other games



Post season Criteria

(1) 26-22 / .542..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 79.... <51- RPI

(3) Top 4 AAC - fourth ( tied)

CHART Code

red = below goal
blue = at goal
green = above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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With the 4 game win streak we have going, it has given me more hope for a possible at large bid. Of course , I am hoping we win AAC tourney, then don't have to worry . Thinking we need the following to happen.

(1) Win at least 4 of next 5 regular season games.

(2) Get to AAC championship game. That would mean an extra 3 or 4 wins.

(3) Root against Houston doing well. As of right now they seem to have the 3rd best resume in AAC. If our records end up being relatively similar, I would hope us sweeping them would give us a tiebreaker advantage.


If this happens it would get us to a minimum of 35 wins. Also we would be a hot team at end of year ( winning 11 of 14).

Also even though it is great we come back in all these games, I would love to have some games less dependent on the last 4 innings.


current record . season goal
8 - 9 / .471 ..... 14 - 10 / .583 - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000 .2-2 / .500 - AAC tourney
10 - 4 / .714... 12 - 3 / .800 - Northeast games
10 -9/ .526 .... 10 - 7 / .588 - Other games


Post season Criteria

(1) 28-22 / .560..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 73.... <51- RPI


(3) Top 4 AAC - fourth

CHART Code

red = below goal
blue = at goal
green = above goal
black = not yet applicable


Go Huskies
 

FfldCntyFan

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Does anyone know what the resolution will be with regards to the two games that were postponed? Will they be discarded or will an attempt (neutral site?) be made to play them?
 
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