Who ya got - The Derby?

[8893]

Nice read:

Stopwatches and Mint Juleps: 17 Years on the Derby

 

[Waquoit]

Nice read:
Stopwatches and Mint Juleps: 17 Years on the Derby

"The Derby is a day of pomp and ceremony marbled with a touch of “decadence and depravity,” as witnessed by Hunter S. Thompson". Link to that classic article here.

 

[Deepster]

I liked Irish War Cry until he drew the 17th slot. No horse has ever won from that slot, if I'm correct. I'll probably go with a bit of a bomb with Girvin and Thunder Snow.

 

[Alum86]

Placed mine and family bets at the swanky Winners in New Britain.
Have bets all over the board, most for McCraken, and Desormeaux' horse. And the cyclops horse. Ladies sentimental towards him

 

[Fishy]

Post time is 6:51 if you are too ADD to sit still waiting.

 

[Kathy]

Patch - missing left eye just like my dog

 

[August_West]

Post time is 6:51 if you are too ADD to sit still waiting.

Shocker it's not 646

 

[Chin Diesel]

Post time is 6:51 if you are too ADD to sit still waiting.

Perfect timing.

Walked in to hotel room, turned on TV and they had run the first 100m or so.

 

[8893]

Buffalo Trace was the big winner here.

 

[superjohn]

Always dreaming.

 

[Waquoit]

Thunder Snow for the win

They don't call me Mr. Lucky for nothing.

 

[mauconnfan]

They don't call me Mr. Lucky for nothing.

What happened to Thunder Snow?

 

[Hans Sprungfeld]

Nice read:

Stopwatches and Mint Juleps: 17 Years on the Derby

I've only got Oaks to go by ("Nobody goes to Derby; it's too crowded") but the paragraph about people with poor pacing who go from glamour to gutter rings quite true, most notably on the infield apart from the swells in the stands.

 

[Fishy]

What happened to Thunder Snow?

They brought a horse who lives in the desert to run through puddles. His walnut-sized brain did not approve of the change of scenery. Or he's auditioning for the rodeo.

 

[methodology]

My brother lucky hit his trifecta bet believe he said it paid 8k

 

[Alum86]

The 1 horse Lee was a longshot and
Helped with the exacta/tri

 

[Dream Jobbed 2.0]

His motha was a mudder

 

[methodology]

The 1 horse Lee was a longshot and
Helped with the exacta/tri

Lee was 33-1 and midway 40-1. 2 long shots made the payout juicy

 

[NielsisGood]

Those four all have the style that tends to win this race.

I think Classic Empire is a pretty good horse. The problem is that he's crazy - I was at Saratoga when he tried to kill his jockey in the Hopeful. He refused to work for a few weeks this spring - and then he won the Arkansas. I think he's underprepared, but he's 8-1 right now and I'll bet him and hope that this is a day he feels like running.

Really not crazy about the odds on some of them - I liked Irish War Cry, Gunnavera and figured I could get an insane price on the one-eyed horse. But 5-1, 9-1 and 15-1 were not quite what I was hoping for.

We'll see how the day goes.

I will never get the appeal of following horse racing this closely.

 

[methodology]

I will never get the appeal of following horse racing this closely.

It's how you handicap. Horses just like pitchers go through good and bad stretches. Once you have a good feel for how they are training and how they perform in certain conditions and lengths you can determine what horses are under and over valued and bet accordingly. Also helps if you frequent the same track a lot and get to see then train or talk to the trainers. It's a very interesting sport to get into if you have the interest

 

[Walker11]

It's how you handicap. Horses just like pitchers go through good and bad stretches. Once you have a good feel for how they are training and how they perform in certain conditions and lengths you can determine what horses are under and over valued and bet accordingly. Also helps if you frequent the same track a lot and get to see then train or talk to the trainers. It's a very interesting sport to get into if you have the interest

Horse racing befuddles me as well but I am no one to judge as I like some weird stuff. Are there folks who love horse racing that don't also love to gamble?

 

[methodology]

Horse racing befuddles me as well but I am no one to judge as I like some weird stuff. Are there folks who love horse racing that don't also love to gamble?

Doubtful. Don't know of anyone who follows house racing that doesn't gamble or invest in horses

 

[NielsisGood]

Doubtful. Don't know of anyone who follows house racing that doesn't gamble or invest in horses

Big fan of gambling and dfs. Can't imagine there's the same level of statistical analysis in horse racing that there is in baseball though.

 

[Waquoit]

I will never get the appeal of following horse racing this closely.

It's a great game. Like watching a murder mystery. Instead of looking at the clues to see whodunit, you try to figure out who's going to do it.

 

[Deepster]

It's how you handicap. Horses just like pitchers go through good and bad stretches. Once you have a good feel for how they are training and how they perform in certain conditions and lengths you can determine what horses are under and over valued and bet accordingly. Also helps if you frequent the same track a lot and get to see then train or talk to the trainers. It's a very interesting sport to get into if you have the interest

Rain and mud are the great equalizers. You can track and predict whatever you want but throw some rain in the mix and it's all a wild guess.