Week 17 preview (Feb. 28–Mar. 6) | Page 5 | The Boneyard

Week 17 preview (Feb. 28–Mar. 6)

TheFarmFan said:
To be clear, I actually don't care as much about blemishes as I do about good wins -- especially good road wins. I'm on the record as caring much more about good wins than bad losses, because I think good wins, and especially good road wins, says much more about a team's potential to make a post-season run. Anyone can have an off night (SCAR at Missouri) or a bad matchup (Stanford losing to Texas at home). Not anyone can beat great teams away from home in different time zones and unfamiliar and hostile environments.

In that sense, I would rank the B1G Ten as follows:
Michigan: wins include neutral vs. Baylor; home vs. Maryland, Iowa, and Indiana; at Ohio St and Maryland
Iowa: wins include vs. Michigan, Indiana, Nebraska, UCF; at Indiana and Nebraska
Maryland: wins include home vs. Baylor, Indiana, Nebraska; away at Iowa
Indiana: wins include neutral vs. Maryland; home vs. Maryland and Nebraska; away at Ohio St
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And your rankings come pretty darn close to the committee's, except they had Maryland ahead of Iowa (as of 5 days ago). And that'd be completely logical if the losses are ignored. But Iowa frankly looked anemic for the first half-plus of the season, including getting blown out by Duke and a loss to IUPUI. Bad losses have to count for something.
 
Maryland has had a really interesting year. I know they had some injuries but they’re a far cry from the Terps team of 20-21 that a handful of folks had pegged as a title favorite before Vic Schaefer did his thing.

With the talent and potential on their roster, they’ll always be a team you don’t want to see on your side of the bracket, but the offense isn’t what it was. They’ve added back Reese, who has been by far their best player all season long, but the results haven’t been there. (The B1G is, to be fair, significantly more competitive this year).

I like Brenda and her team and they could still make a Final Four and I wouldn’t be shocked.
 
Plebe said:
But this is what I'm saying. Who deserves to be higher? It's a comparison game and the resumes outside the top 10 are all very flawed or weak in one way or another. (Even some of the top 10 resumes are problematic, as you know.)

Maryland at least has a win over Baylor (now a top 5 team) and they don't have any bad losses. I sure as heck like their resume better than Tennessee's or any of the other teams that might be considered to move ahead of them. Arizona was deservedly ahead of them until they lost to like 4 bubble teams in a row.
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That's why I know it's tough on the committee as not all Q1 wins are created equal.

Maryland is actually 5-8 in NET Q1 wins/losses (3-8 in RPI Q1 wins); NET ranking = 13; RPI ranking = 10
Iowa State is 4-5 in Q1 wins/losses; NET ranking = 11; RPI ranking = 7

Some teams below them as of the recent reveal:

Oklahoma is 8-5 Q1 in wins/losses (with 2 wins over Baylor); NET ranking = 34; RPI ranking = 12


Not among the Top 16 recent reveal:

Oregon is 8-8 in Q1 wins/losses; NET ranking = 12; RPI ranking = 17

Georgia is 7-6 in Q1 wins/losses; NET ranking = 27; RPI ranking = 28

Notre Dame is 6-7 in Q1 win/losses; NET ranking = 20; RPI ranking = 19

So, I must be missing something as I thought there was supposed to an emphasis on Q1 wins. Maybe the committee penalizes a team more for a bad loss than they do for a Q1 win. Or, perhaps they still value RPI rankings more than anything else . . .


The NET Nitty Gritty Report for NCAA Women's College Basketball | WarrenNolan.com

The NET Nitty Gritty Report for 2022 NCAA Women's College Basketball. This Is a Duplication of the Report Used by the Tournament Selection Committee to Determine At-Large Teams with Quadrants
www.warrennolan.com www.warrennolan.com
 
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TheFarmFan said:
To be clear, I actually don't care as much about blemishes as I do about good wins -- especially good road wins. I'm on the record as caring much more about good wins than bad losses, because I think good wins, and especially good road wins, says much more about a team's potential to make a post-season run. Anyone can have an off night (SCAR at Missouri) or a bad matchup (Stanford losing to Texas at home). Not anyone can beat great teams away from home in different time zones and unfamiliar and hostile environments.

In that sense, I would rank the B1G Ten as follows:
Michigan: wins include neutral vs. Baylor; home vs. Maryland, Iowa, and Indiana; at Ohio St and Maryland
Iowa: wins include vs. Michigan, Indiana, Nebraska, UCF; at Indiana and Nebraska
Maryland: wins include home vs. Baylor, Indiana, Nebraska; away at Iowa
Indiana: wins include neutral vs. Maryland; home vs. Maryland and Nebraska; away at Ohio St
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Gotcha. Everyone have different ways to look at things. I appreciate this breakdown.
 
Louisville is rolling deep up here at the Coliseum. About 15 Miami fans give or take
 
TerpWomenFan said:
This season. When you score 51 points after you averaged 90 points last season, something is wrong. The only good news was the good play from Ashley Owusu.
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I was being facetious... I should have ended with a ;)
 
Rhode Island lost to St. Joe's in the A10 quarterfinal. That might be a loss they couldn't afford.
 
Ky stomping LSU

Tenn is gonna play Bama and KY to get to finals.
 
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Vowelguy said:
Ky stomping LSU

Tenn is gonna play Bama and KY to get to finals.
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SEC is just so lowkey soft. They might get 9 teams into the tournament but when that's your path to the conference final it's just SOFT.
 
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Holy schnikeees. 1.9 left, and I just looked at hubby and said, Miami gonna make it. OMG.

And just realized that L'ville didn't score in the last 5:45? That's stunning.
 
Cubaj for Tech is warning up.. Seems like she is good to go.

BRS24 said:
Holy schnikeees. 1.9 left, and I just looked at hubby and said, Miami gonna make it. OMG.

And just realized that L'ville didn't score in the last 5:45? That's stunning.
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I didnt realize it was that bad..... Wow.
 
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If anyone is interested in seeing the game winner.

 
I just knew Louisville was gonna foul before the shot.. They had fouls to give.

 
Hailey Van Lith when the horn went off:

1646443500317.png
 
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