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The main event tonight, of course, is SC-LSU. I'm expecting SC to deliver not necessarily a blowout, but a clear win by a sizable margin -- in the 15-20 range. If I'm wrong about this one, I'll have to rethink a lot of my assumptions going into this season. My prediction, hazy though it may be, is SC 86 - LSU 68.
I think SC's guards are more than capable of containing LSU's, and they are likely to run them ragged given the depth of Dawn's bench. And in my view the front court matchups heavily favor SC. Angel thrives when she's bigger than the opponents and struggles against mobile bigs. Dawn will have Kamila concede the outside jumper to Angel or maybe have Watkins or Kitts switch out on her. Kamila is capable of shutting down everything else in the paint. And Watkins, Kitts and Feagin are more than enough to completely frustrate Morrow. We might even see Jah and Walker get some good minutes before the 4th quarter. Foul trouble will not be a problem for SC, but it may well be for LSU.
And the final intangible: the game is @ LSU. This may be one of those rare moments when the home court isn't an advantage. The pressure is entirely on LSU to avoid being embarrassed at home. The noise of the home crowd may well inspire SC to even greater efforts -- and the silence, if they bust the game open on the first half, even more so. If I were Dawn, I might tell my team, "You hear all those boos? That's how you know you're doing great."
I think SC's guards are more than capable of containing LSU's, and they are likely to run them ragged given the depth of Dawn's bench. And in my view the front court matchups heavily favor SC. Angel thrives when she's bigger than the opponents and struggles against mobile bigs. Dawn will have Kamila concede the outside jumper to Angel or maybe have Watkins or Kitts switch out on her. Kamila is capable of shutting down everything else in the paint. And Watkins, Kitts and Feagin are more than enough to completely frustrate Morrow. We might even see Jah and Walker get some good minutes before the 4th quarter. Foul trouble will not be a problem for SC, but it may well be for LSU.
And the final intangible: the game is @ LSU. This may be one of those rare moments when the home court isn't an advantage. The pressure is entirely on LSU to avoid being embarrassed at home. The noise of the home crowd may well inspire SC to even greater efforts -- and the silence, if they bust the game open on the first half, even more so. If I were Dawn, I might tell my team, "You hear all those boos? That's how you know you're doing great."
I could drive an hour down to Binghamton and watch them play for $8, I guess. They have a cooler mascot. 
