Val Ackerman on the future of college athletics & conference realignment | Page 8 | The Boneyard

Val Ackerman on the future of college athletics & conference realignment

Conference realignment has been exactly that.
It’s been taking the ‘perceived’ value and dropping the rest.

UConn, USF and Cincy were all BCS schools that got cut out.
ACC took their choices, WVU went Big 12 and rest went to AAC.

Same for Pac12. OSU and WSU were left out. If ACC is targeted it’s likely schools will be cut out.

Every conference has those schools. Obviously, being in the P2 helps until those conferences start looking inward.

Years from now UConn will be to ACC as Penn State was to Big East.
But you're mixing up 2 different things. There is the dismantling of a conference, which leads to cherry picking (eg, the PAC12 falling apart). And then there's a fully formed and viable conference kicking someone out. I don't think the latter has happened since the old Big East did it to Temple.

For an ACC - Big East merger to make sense, you would need to do the latter...
 
Not really, because football games are 80% of the value of the media rights contract. So the mere fact that Wake Forest is playing someone has more value than Villanova playing anyone.
... but playing them in football doesn't have the same value as playing someone else in football. That's my point. So if a team is missing out on the opportunity to play against a better team from a more populated area in order to play Wake Forest, then by definition, they are losing...
 
aaaaand this popped up on my feed, those AI bastards. I know it aint happenin' but I like the map. I say 2 divisions of 14 each. Each division has 9 football and 5 basketball only. screw ND.


As purely an academic exercise...

This plan would be fine...but I prefer the changes below. I know it's old-fashioned, but I think there is value in geographic continuity.

1. Tell ND that it's full membership or no membership. (they will opt for no membership)
2. Swap Creighton for Memphis.
3. Swap SMU for West Virgina.
4. Swap Cal for Cincinnati.
5. Swap Stanford for Central Florida.

Boston CollegeCentral Florida
CincinnatiClemson
ConnecticutDuke
LouisvilleFlorida State
MemphisGeorgia Tech
PittsburghMiami
SyracuseNorth Carolina
VirginiaNorth Carolina State
Virginia TechWake Forest
West Virginia
GeorgetownButler
ProvidenceDePaul
Seton HallMarquette
St. John'sXavier
Villanova
 
If the ACC did anything, they would cherry-pick, like they did the last time. And there is one school they could cherry-pick right now, and they haven't done it.

They would cherry pick. They did cherry pick. And they’re done with it.

It’s a fever dream to actually think the ACC would merge with the Big East. They can’t even hold a conference tournament with all of the schools now but they’re going to add 11 more? Just hold a five round conference tournament in small city, North Carolina? lol

Some people here are just wishcasting so hard.
 
They would cherry pick. They did cherry pick. And they’re done with it.

It’s a fever dream to actually think the ACC would merge with the Big East. They can’t even hold a conference tournament with all of the schools now but they’re going to add 11 more? Just hold a five round conference tournament in small city, North Carolina? lol

Some people here are just wishcasting so hard.
Come on Fishy. What else do we have to do while trying to kick the elusive football

Big East - ACC Merger according to Kolumbo

Every member is guaranteed a minimum 1X Revenue Share depending on revenues for the year. X is determined by total revenue payouts for the conference divided by total shares. Total shares based on number of programs in each Tier. Tiers of Membership and the number of shares each member receives shall be as follows:

1.0X = Basketball Membership (Georgetown, Villanova, etc)
4.0X = Football Membership (UConn, UNC, etc)
CBX = Football & Basketball Combo Membership Bonus (UConn, UNC, etc)
PBX = Performance bonuses for programs that deliver the goods (UConn, Clemson, etc). This could be very complicated but a way for the good programs to earn more while the bottom feeders get bare minimum

A typical Scenario would be Clemson and UConn may end up with 5.0X plus various bonuses while Butler and depaul would receive 1.0X.
Conference Tournament could have 1 or 2 play-in rounds at locations such as Chicago, Charlotte, Miami, Philly on a rotating basis. Final rounds at MSG of course.
 
Come on Fishy. What else do we have to do while trying to kick the elusive football

Big East - ACC Merger according to Kolumbo

Every member is guaranteed a minimum 1X Revenue Share depending on revenues for the year. X is determined by total revenue payouts for the conference divided by total shares. Total shares based on number of programs in each Tier. Tiers of Membership and the number of shares each member receives shall be as follows:

1.0X = Basketball Membership (Georgetown, Villanova, etc)
4.0X = Football Membership (UConn, UNC, etc)
CBX = Football & Basketball Combo Membership Bonus (UConn, UNC, etc)
PBX = Performance bonuses for programs that deliver the goods (UConn, Clemson, etc). This could be very complicated but a way for the good programs to earn more while the bottom feeders get bare minimum

A typical Scenario would be Clemson and UConn may end up with 5.0X plus various bonuses while Butler and depaul would receive 1.0X.
Conference Tournament could have 1 or 2 play-in rounds at locations such as Chicago, Charlotte, Miami, Philly on a rotating basis. Final rounds at MSG of course.

As long as we acknowledge that it is fantasy, we’re fine.
 
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Just because K said the BE and ACC should merge, doesn’t mean it will happen.

BE’s WBB demise is the canary in the coal mine. The private Catholics are not going to be competitive athletic programs and MBB is not getting better.
 
Well, yes it is when you consider that the ACC doesn't play against all conference mates in football. So... if you're playing against Wake in football instead of playing Pitt or Stanford, then you're losing there too...
I highly doubt that Duke or their fans would feel like they're losing out by playing Wake as opposed to the others you listed. Duke has a long history of competition with Wake. Pitt and Stanford? Not so much. I suspect that most Duke Fans would probably not give a rip if they ever played Pitt or Stanford again.
 
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Just because K said the BE and ACC should merge, doesn’t mean it will happen.

BE’s WBB demise is the canary in the coal mine. The private Catholics are not going to be competitive athletic programs and MBB is not getting better.
BE is only good at MBB and It's not even a real "power" Basketball conference. People just say that because it's been consistently good but there's no way that lasts. Schools like BC and Wake drag the ACC down, why would they want to merge with a conference full of those types? If anything, they will cherry pick

The day we get 2 or less schools in you'll see how fast the public narrative turns against us. I remember when the A10 got 6 schools in like 10 years ago
 
Just because K said the BE and ACC should merge, doesn’t mean it will happen.

BE’s WBB demise is the canary in the coal mine. The private Catholics are not going to be competitive athletic programs and MBB is not getting better.
Oh it's happening. Of course it's happening. Coach K said so.

BE is only good at MBB and It's not even a real "power" Basketball conference. People just say that because it's been consistently good but there's no way that lasts. Schools like BC and Wake drag the ACC down, why would they want to merge with a conference full of those types? If anything, they will cherry pick

The day we get 2 or less schools in you'll see how fast the public narrative turns against us. I remember when the A10 got 6 schools in like 10 years ago
True, the Big East is not very good at football. The more I think about it though, I don't think the Big East wants to merge with the ACC because the ACC probably doesn't make as much for basketball as the Big East does.

The Big East doesn't have quantity but it has quality. Yes, bcu is a drag on the ACC but it would also be a drag on the Big East. Kick bcu to the curb and maybe a merger makes sense.
 
... but playing them in football doesn't have the same value as playing someone else in football. That's my point. So if a team is missing out on the opportunity to play against a better team from a more populated area in order to play Wake Forest, then by definition, they are losing...
I hear you, but Villanova does not play FBS football. That's why, for the purposes of a media rights contract, Wake Forest has more value than Villanova.
 
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But you're mixing up 2 different things. There is the dismantling of a conference, which leads to cherry picking (eg, the PAC12 falling apart). And then there's a fully formed and viable conference kicking someone out. I don't think the latter has happened since the old Big East did it to Temple.

For an ACC - Big East merger to make sense, you would need to do the latter...
I’m not mixing things up. Temple being kicked wasn’t realignment. That was non performance and the other schools tired of subsidizing poor AD management.
Realignment is schools/conferences working with media partners to maximize value. When a school or two leave a conference, they are the perceived value. The schools left behind are left out.

If the ACC and Big East were to agree on some type of merger, it would be with a new media deal, a new conference, and new members. At the least, it would be ACC swallowing BE. The likelihood of all 11 BE schools being invited to that deal would be small. I wouldn’t equate that to what Temple went through.
 
I hear you, but Villanova does not play FBS football. That's why, for the purposes of a media rights contract, Wake Forest has more value than Villanova.
No, it really doesn't. Of course Wake has more total cost than Villanova because you are grouping football and basketball together. That's the error. His point is a program could play Villanova in basketball which is greater than Wake basketball. Then it could play a much better football team than Wake. Combined it is a much better total overall value. With Wake, you are stuck playing Wake football which is a loss compared to better football programs.

It's like saying we're getting a Volkswagen plus a Toyota prius which cost more than a Mercedes. But what you really want is a Mercedes plus another Mercedes.
 
No, it really doesn't. Of course Wake has more total cost than Villanova because you are grouping football and basketball together. That's the error. His point is a program could play Villanova in basketball which is greater than Wake basketball. Then it could play a much better football team than Wake. Combined it is a much better total overall value. With Wake, you are stuck playing Wake football which is a loss compared to better football programs.

It's like saying we're getting a Volkswagen plus a Toyota prius which cost more than a Mercedes. But what you really want is a Mercedes plus another Mercedes.
Lol, no it's actually not like saying that at all. Broadcast partners are paying for content. One less football team means 6 less games to broadcast. "Cost" isn't the focal point to of the analysis, "revenue" is.
 
I highly doubt that Duke or their fans would feel like they're losing out by playing Wake as opposed to the others you listed. Duke has a long history of competition with Wake. Pitt and Stanford? Not so much. I suspect that most Duke Fans would probably not give a rip if they ever played Pitt or Stanford again.
I'm not talking about feelings. I'm talking about money...
 
I hear you, but Villanova does not play FBS football. That's why, for the purposes of a media rights contract, Wake Forest has more value than Villanova.
But for the purposes of this discussion, we're talking about a "mixed" division. So a part of the division would play football and the other part wouldn't. The only way that works is if you concentrate the football teams that draw the most eyeballs and have them all play each other. The additional basketball teams would give additional value from an 18 or 20 game schedule.

Bottom line... this is all fantasy and it doesn't work. And eventually, UConn needs to leave to a better conference...
 
I’m not mixing things up. Temple being kicked wasn’t realignment. That was non performance and the other schools tired of subsidizing poor AD management.
Realignment is schools/conferences working with media partners to maximize value. When a school or two leave a conference, they are the perceived value. The schools left behind are left out.

If the ACC and Big East were to agree on some type of merger, it would be with a new media deal, a new conference, and new members. At the least, it would be ACC swallowing BE. The likelihood of all 11 BE schools being invited to that deal would be small. I wouldn’t equate that to what Temple went through.
What you are describing is not cherry picking. It's dissolving 2 conferences to make a 3rd. And doing so would require the individual members of each conference to all vote on their own dissolution. If a sizeable amount of teams are left out, then what is their incentive to vote against their own interests??

They wouldn't...
 
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They would cherry pick. They did cherry pick. And they’re done with it.

It’s a fever dream to actually think the ACC would merge with the Big East. They can’t even hold a conference tournament with all of the schools now but they’re going to add 11 more? Just hold a five round conference tournament in small city, North Carolina? lol

Some people here are just wishcasting so hard.

They wouldn’t merge to hold a nice conference tournament, so that doesn’t matter, and cherry picking wouldn’t accomplish anything. The ACC and/or Big 12 have to make a big move, or they concede to the P2.
 
I'm not talking about feelings. I'm talking about money...
What money is there in Stanford Football? The market? Nobody in the Bay Area cares about Stanford Football. If they did their ACC Deal wouldn’t be for pennies on the dollar. If we switch to streaming it is even less attractive. Next to nobody is going to pay for the opportunity to watch Duke play Stanford. A fair number of fans from both Duke/Wake would seek this game out in football and basketball.
 
They wouldn’t merge to hold a nice conference tournament, so that doesn’t matter, and cherry picking wouldn’t accomplish anything. The ACC and/or Big 12 have to make a big move, or they concede to the P2

If they wanted to do something "big", the ACC and B12 could merge. Not sure that would work but it would make more sense than anything involving the Big East.
 
But for the purposes of this discussion, we're talking about a "mixed" division. So a part of the division would play football and the other part wouldn't. The only way that works is if you concentrate the football teams that draw the most eyeballs and have them all play each other. The additional basketball teams would give additional value from an 18 or 20 game schedule.

Bottom line... this is all fantasy and it doesn't work. And eventually, UConn needs to leave to a better conference...
I'm not sure I agree with that premise, but assuming it's correct then if you're replacing Wake, you would replace them with another football score not a basketball school. The inescapable fact is that football schools have more value than basketball schools. You and I may not like that fact, but that doesn't make it any less true.
 
What money is there in Stanford Football? The market? Nobody in the Bay Area cares about Stanford Football. If they did their ACC Deal wouldn’t be for pennies on the dollar. If we switch to streaming it is even less attractive. Next to nobody is going to pay for the opportunity to watch Duke play Stanford. A fair number of fans from both Duke/Wake would seek this game out in football and basketball.
If you think nobody in the bay area cares about Stanford, then you're really going to love how many eyeballs Wake Forest commands...
 
I'm not sure I agree with that premise, but assuming it's correct then if you're replacing Wake, you would replace them with another football score not a basketball school. The inescapable fact is that football schools have more value than basketball schools. You and I may not like that fact, but that doesn't make it any less true.
We both agree on the fact that football schools typically have more value. This exercise (an exercise in futility, by the way) is merely one that asks how a Big East - ACC merger could maximize value if one were to happen (which it won't).

And the only way to do it is to jettison the super small market teams (like Butler) and/or the teams where the market is already covered (like Wake Forest, arguably only the 4th most popular school in NC, and Charlotte might be approaching them)...
 
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We both agree on the fact that football schools typically have more value.

If by "typically" you mean, always, then we do agree.

There is a mistaken sense held exclusively by Big East school fans, and some on the board, that, while they acknowledge that football normally has more value than basketball, there is some exception for schools in the Big East, probably driven by the fond recollection of games played 30 years ago. It doesn't exist.
 
If by "typically" you mean, always, then we do agree.

There is a mistaken sense held exclusively by Big East school fans, and some on the board, that, while they acknowledge that football normally has more value than basketball, there is some exception for schools in the Big East, probably driven by the fond recollection of games played 30 years ago. It doesn't exist.
Well, it's not always.

If you believe the numbers that Nova put out there (private, but reported somewhere in the 40 - 50 million in athletic department revenue), that would put them 15 million dollars more revenue than a school like Bowling Green... and that's while having an FCS squad instead of an FBS. So no, it's not always...
 
Well, it's not always.

If you believe the numbers that Nova put out there (private, but reported somewhere in the 40 - 50 million in athletic department revenue), that would put them 15 million dollars more revenue than a school like Bowling Green... and that's while having an FCS squad instead of an FBS. So no, it's not always...
Yeah, it's always. The proof is the fact that they are in the big east rather than in a conference (unless you believe that Villanova is refusing to except a P4 payout, or that the P4 is benignly, leaving the school that could have merely by the asking how did the goodness of its heart.)

Just FYI,
IMG_6227.jpeg

Keep in mind that that is just conferenced distributions and not other revenue, such as ticket sales, merchandise sales, contributions, etc.
 
But you're mixing up 2 different things. There is the dismantling of a conference, which leads to cherry picking (eg, the PAC12 falling apart). And then there's a fully formed and viable conference kicking someone out. I don't think the latter has happened since the old Big East did it to Temple.

For an ACC - Big East merger to make sense, you would need to do the latter...
People forget that Temple was kicked out because it didn't meet NCAA's rolling requirement for 15,000 attendance. I'm not aware of any school being kicked out of any conference for performance.
 
Yeah, it's always. The proof is the fact that they are in the big east rather than in a conference (unless you believe that Villanova is refusing to except a P4 payout, or that the P4 is benignly, leaving the school that could have merely by the asking how did the goodness of its heart.)

Just FYI,
View attachment 107355
Keep in mind that that is just conferenced distributions and not other revenue, such as ticket sales, merchandise sales, contributions, etc.
It's not always. I just showed you why. I showed you that an FCS "basketball school" from the Big East had 15 million more in revenue than a MAC school with an FBS football team. Even when you correct for the difference in tv contract, Villanova is earning more overall...
 
It's not always. I just showed you why. I showed you that an FCS "basketball school" from the Big East had 15 million more in revenue than a MAC school with an FBS football team. Even when you correct for the difference in tv contract, Villanova is earning more overall...
It is always. I just gave you two reasons why reasons why.

Our discussion has probably gone as far as it can. I think we both understand where the other is coming from. By the way, as always, I appreciate you as a poster here for many reasons, but not in the least that you can have a conversation without name-calling. It's good to talk to an adult. Catch you after the game.
 
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