Updated Bracketology (3/8) | Page 3 | The Boneyard

Updated Bracketology (3/8)

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tcf15 said:
Keep going back to this post...not sure who the OP was, but this is what he said:

So I have posted before an article saying that the selection committee looks at 6 rankings:
  • RPI
  • KPI
  • BPI
  • Pomeroy
  • Sagarin
  • LRMC
And I posted some research that if you averaged those six rankings last year, you would have correctly identified every at large team.

Currently, you have to be in the Top 50 of the six-rank average to get an at-large bid. There are 36 at-large bids, 12 conference champs in the Top 50, plus SMU/Louisville.​

As of right now, here is how UConn ranks in each one of those:

RPI: 58
KPI: 46
BPI: 30
Pomeroy: 31
Sagarin: 33
LRMC: 31

Average: 38
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Update from Tuesday...

RPI: 45
KPI: 34
BPI: 30 (does not include Cinci win)
Pomeroy: 29
Sagarin: 34 (does not include Cinci win)
LRMC: 36 (does not include Cinci win)

Average: 34.67
 
tcf15 said:
Update from Tuesday...

RPI: 45
KPI: 34
BPI: 30 (does not include Cinci win)
Pomeroy: 29
Sagarin: 34 (does not include Cinci win)
LRMC: 36 (does not include Cinci win)

Average: 34.67
Expand ...

Lowest at large last year was around mid to high 40 average. With two games max to play, UConn isn't falling that far. It's insane anyone has UConn close to the bubble. RPI puts UConn in and every other metric has UConn higher. Just absurd.
 
This morning on SportsCenter Joe lunardi said that our win over Cinci doesn't guarentee we're in! Said it gets us maybe just in the bubble.??? He also said That Temple is not a lock if they lose to us. I don't know if he's just trying to create a little drama/excitement for his segment but if he's not, he's a tool!
 
Doggie Style said:
This morning on SportsCenter Joe lunardi said that our win over Cinci doesn't guarentee we're in! Said it gets us maybe just in the bubble.??? He also said That Temple is not a lock if they lose to us. I don't know if he's just trying to create a little drama/excitement for his segment but if he's not, he's a tool!
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I honestly don't think Lunardi has adapted quick enough to the committee's new emphasis on advanced metrics.

That said, let's just win the whole thing.

I don't think Temple is a lock by any means. If we beat them, now that Tulsa shat the bed, it's probably just UConn and Cincy.
 
Doggie Style said:
This morning on SportsCenter Joe lunardi said that our win over Cinci doesn't guarentee we're in! Said it gets us maybe just in the bubble.??? He also said That Temple is not a lock if they lose to us. I don't know if he's just trying to create a little drama/excitement for his segment but if he's not, he's a tool!
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I think your absolutely right!
He's creating drama for ratings........... and he's a tool!
 
.-.
tzznandrew said:
I honestly don't think Lunardi has adapted quick enough to the committee's new emphasis on advanced metrics.

That said, let's just win the whole thing.

I don't think Temple is a lock by any means. If we beat them, now that Tulsa shat the bed, it's probably just UConn and Cincy.
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Right? I dont think I'll be able to take lising to Temple 5 times in a row. Just win.
 
tcf15 said:
Update from Tuesday...

RPI: 45
KPI: 34
BPI: 30 (does not include Cinci win)
Pomeroy: 29
Sagarin: 34 (does not include Cinci win)
LRMC: 36 (does not include Cinci win)

Average: 34.67
Expand ...

Sagarin up to 31.
 
gwhuskyfan said:
Palm has us in 7/10 game vs providence
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Now that's more like it.

Have to figure lunardi has been told you have a job here for life, so up until your last prediction which everyone will grade you on, just drive ratings.
 
the ncaa likes to make money, bet we end up in the NYC pod.
 
Doggie Style said:
This morning on SportsCenter Joe lunardi said that our win over Cinci doesn't guarentee we're in! Said it gets us maybe just in the bubble.??? He also said That Temple is not a lock if they lose to us. I don't know if he's just trying to create a little drama/excitement for his segment but if he's not, he's a tool!
Expand ...

Our power numbers will suffer with a neutral court loss to Temple (they're still low in the margin of victory metrics like KenPom, #83). For example, we dropped 13 KenPom spots when we lost at home to Temple the first time (only 3 on the road, guessing it would be more like 6 on neutral).

There's still the possibility of 4-5 bid thieves remaining. The bubble could shrink considerably.

We've put ourselves in a good position, but the combined factors above mean we're not safe.
 
.-.
auror said:
Our power numbers will suffer with a neutral court loss to Temple (they're still low in the margin of victory metrics like KenPom, #83). For example, we dropped 13 KenPom spots when we lost at home to Temple the first time (only 3 on the road, guessing it would be more like 6 on neutral).

There's still the possibility of 4-5 bid thieves remaining. The bubble could shrink considerably.

We've put ourselves in a good position, but the combined factors above mean we're not safe.
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Naw, we're safe even with a loss - just look at the respective #s for the other bubble teams. We're well aware of our weaknesses, but not theirs (and we're putting too much stock in Lunardi's spew).

It's just about seeding now.

This guy called the whole tourney correctly last season, and has us not even close to the bubble: http://nropp.com/project68-16.html
 
Matrim55 said:
Naw, we're safe even with a loss - just look at the respective #s for the other bubble teams. We're well aware of our weaknesses, but not theirs (and we're putting too much stock in Lunardi's spew).

It's just about seeding now.

This guy called the whole tourney correctly last season, and has us not even close to the bubble: http://nropp.com/project68-16.html
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I like this guy: he's right on about Oregon State, South Carolina, and Saint Bonaventure. Also, he's got St. Joe's as an 11.

He says what I say, so I know I can trust him! :)
 
Just watched the Bilas crew who had us as 1 of 8 teams for 4 spots. Is cincy in? I missed that part.
 
The pundits that actually use metrics to create the field say UConn has a chance at the 7 line with a win today. @d1scourse

Foreshadowing- 7 in the east vs. the 2 of Nova at Barclays....
 
partyATkemba said:
The pundits that actually use metrics to create the field say UConn has a chance at the 7 line with a win today. @d1scourse

Foreshadowing- 7 in the east vs. the 2 of Nova at Barclays....
Expand ...

If we beat them again, Jay Wright gets fired. Book it.
 
.-.
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