UConn opens as 33 point underdog at Utah State in Week 0 | Page 2 | The Boneyard

UConn opens as 33 point underdog at Utah State in Week 0

I think we will lose but not by 29. If we somehow win this game, that would mean either Utah State is far worse than people assume or UConn is going to be really good next year. Aka I don’t think it’s going to happen.
 
billybud said:
To win on a Utah bet...tthe score would have to be beyond 40-7....33 points is a lot to overcome.
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I understand how point spreads work. We're booty against the spread the last several years.
 
History Geek said:
True. I should have said he didn’t have the portal available to him. My gut is that Mora has used the portal very well and will yield tangible dividends this year. But since my gut has been so wrong lately, I need to see it with my own eyes.
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I'm with you brother... my glass half full mindset through all of this has been leaning towards glass half empty as of late...Let's see what happens this upcoming Fall..
 
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Jimdish255 said:
I need to see who Utah State has coming back on the offensive line and at quarterback. If it's not something special then the spread is waay too high.
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They return their QB Bonner (who will amazingly be in his 7th season of college football, between COVID year, injury year and a normal RS) and 4/5ths of the offensive line. They replaced departed receivers with a pair of P5 transfers.
 
Obviously there are a lot of question marks surrounding a 1 win team breaking in a new QB, multiple coaches, and losing their best player on D. Throw in difficult conditions to adjust to with altitude, and I see where the large number is coming from. That said 33 points is a huge # for USU to cover. They have their own question marks as well, not to mention not wanting to put too much on film for Alabama. I refuse to believe that this team will be worse than an Edsall led program. I don’t see UConn threatening to win but I could see them keeping it within 4 touchdowns.
 
USU lost their best offensive player in Devin Thompkins, WR. They also lose a bunch of dudes on defense I believe. This spread seems....aggressive. There's value there methinks.

Separately-here's their QB. Anyone wanna hazard a guess on how many years of eligibility he has remaining? For the life of me this looks like he could get another 2 seasons which would give him 7(!)

www.sports-reference.com

Logan Bonner College Stats, School, Draft, Gamelog, Splits | College Football at Sports-Reference.com

Check out Logan Bonner's College Stats, School, Draft, Gamelog, Splits and More College Stats at Sports-Reference.com
www.sports-reference.com www.sports-reference.com
 
ktuck911 said:
I'm with you brother... my glass half full mindset through all of this has been leaning towards glass half empty as of late...Let's see what happens this upcoming Fall..
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I will always keep the faith. That’s the way I’m wired
 
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Rich said:
Separately-here's their QB. Anyone wanna hazard a guess on how many years of eligibility he has remaining? For the life of me this looks like he could get another 2 seasons which would give him 7(!)
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This will be his 7th season. He redshirted with Ark. State in 2016 (before the redshirt rule allowed you to play 4 games (which wasn't in place until 2018))... he got an extra year as an injury redshirt after getting hurt in 2019. Then an extra year for COVID to get him 7.


They did replace the departed WR with a couple of guys from P5 programs (one from Bama and one from Maryland).
 
ScottVib said:
This will be his 7th season. He redshirted with Ark. State in 2016 (before the redshirt rule allowed you to play 4 games (which wasn't in place until 2018))... he got an extra year as an injury redshirt after getting hurt in 2019. Then an extra year for COVID to get him 7.


They did replace the departed WR with a couple of guys from P5 programs (one from Bama and one from Maryland).
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36 TD passes last year! How many years do we need to add together, going backwards, to get to 36 TD passes? I watched a couple of their games last year, he was very good. Maybe this year will be the year we finally get an air attack back.
No matter the results of game 1, I can't wait for the first home game with our new team!

TIME FOR THE REVOLUTION TO BEGIN!!!!!
 
billybud said:
just sayin'...33 point looks like a good Husky bet..
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The spread has been dropping because people are putting money on us to cover. Fade the public. We didn't cover several 30+ point spreads last year.
 
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phillionaire said:
The spread has been dropping because people are putting money on us to cover. Fade the public. We didn't cover several 30+ point spreads last year.
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Ok, so your take is the public doesn’t know anything and the coaching staffs from last year and this year have similar game plans? Do I have that right?
 
CONN78SEJ said:
Ok, so your take is the public doesn’t know anything and the coaching staffs from last year and this year have similar game plans? Do I have that right?
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Phil is just pointing out a simple winning formula for the past decade.

Needless to say I hope this is the year the formula fails.
 
phillionaire said:
The spread has been dropping because people are putting money on us to cover. Fade the public. We didn't cover several 30+ point spreads last year.
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I gamble and I have a rule - never place a bet against a UCONN opponent. If I did not have that rule Utah State -29 looks like a good bet to cover -27 would be a no brainer though
 
CONN78SEJ said:
Ok, so your take is the public doesn’t know anything and the coaching staffs from last year and this year have similar game plans? Do I have that right?
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No he is saying UCONN has been abysmal against the spread the last several years.
 
I don't gamble but I see why the line is what it is.. going almost cross country in an opener with so much uncertainty. I'm buying into Mora pretty heavily now - I seriously think that UConn put more effort into their coaching search than some NFL teams (Jets, for example - although they certainly upgraded their roster) - but no one outside of Connecticut is going to jump all in on Mora and what's going on without results.

I'd probably take UConn with the spread if I had to put money on this game but I'd also avoid this game if I was taking gambling seriously. Utah State can be notoriously slow to start against lesser opponents - but also that's a pretty decent home field advantage they have there and they had a nice second half of the year last year.
 
billybud said:
To win on a Utah bet...tthe score would have to be beyond 40-7....33 points is a lot to overcome.
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UConn is definitely giving up more than 40. Competent top 25 teams give up 40 points in conference games.

The only question on the 33 point spread is if you think UConn can get their point total in to the 20's. If you don't think UConn can score at least 20, take Utah St.
 
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CONN78SEJ said:
Ok, so your take is the public doesn’t know anything and the coaching staffs from last year and this year have similar game plans? Do I have that right?
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My take is that I made a lot of money betting against us because I have eyes and until they see something different I’m not changing my strategy.
 
huskysupporter said:
I gamble and I have a rule - never place a bet against a UCONN opponent. If I did not have that rule Utah State -29 looks like a good bet to cover -27 would be a no brainer though
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I get suckered into taking the over on win totals every season because there's no way we win fewer than 2.5 games and I have to make my money back somehow
 
phillionaire said:
I get suckered into taking the over on win totals every season because there's no way we win fewer than 2.5 games and I have to make my money back somehow
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I feel pretty good about the over on 2.5 (I think they will win 3-4 games this year). Central isn't close to HC or Yale and UMass is at home this year and hopefully most of the coaching staff won't have covid that day. That's 2 wins. Getting another win on that schedule is likely. They played 9 post-season teams last year (counting Holy Cross.. and i believe they all won at least 1 bowl/post season game)... that won't happen this year. The non-post season teams were Yale (win), UMass (coaching staff has covid, depleted roster) and Vandy (BS Pass Interference call). They'll get 3 this year.
 
Buffett10 said:
We still have the same DC as last yr so that’ll be a similar game plan with no disguising pre-snap
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Maybe... I actually liked the way the defense played the last couple of games in the first few series (Clemson and Houston games both had some major improvement on defense in first halves) - but they looked bad at the end because we had a D-III offense and the defense was on the field forever. I'm actually worried that the losses on the D-Line make our defense worse than last year... but at least they won't be on the field 75% of the game this year.

Hopefully they do more disguising/changing sets now that they have a far more experience group at LB/DB with the transfers and guys with snaps under the belt. They are going to have to. They aren't going to automatically win the line of scrimmage the first 3 or 4 series of the game anymore (like they did against Fresno St, Clemson, Houston... not Purdue or Army though! LOL)
 
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