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You seem to misunderstand me. I am not saying the Big 12 will kill the basketball programs but being in the Big 12 when the Big 10 and SEC pull away from the NCAA will. No NCAA, no NCAA tournament will kill college basketball almost completely but I don't see UConn being part of the group of basketball schools those schools DO include, IF they include anyone else, when they create whatever it is they will have to create to replace the NCAA tournament, unless they are affiliated with a strong basketball conference which ,whatever leftovers from the Big 12 will be left will not make.There's a whole lot of presumptions in that statement.
Why would you believe that the basketball programs would be "killed" in the big 12? Right now the men's basketball program is widely viewed as the best program in college basketball. How moving to the big 12 change that?
Similarly, the women's basketball program is widely considered to be the best women's basketball program of all time. Move to the big east was never a good one for women's basketball because the big east conference, overall, hurts are ranking due to we competition. Part of the reason why our preseason is so difficult is to offset that.
The big 12 is widely perceived to be the strongest men's basketball conference. Playing in it would create potential for great matchups including, hopefully, an annual home and away game with Kansas. Games with perennial top 20 program Houston and reuniting an old sort of rivalry with Cincinnati would also be good for the men's program.
Similarly the big 12 would set up games for Connecticut versus Iowa, Baylor and reunite us with old conference mate UCF.
I understand that you don't care that in your hypothetical we are by the big 12 conference somehow fails infive years of big 12 membership (Which I believe is unlikely to the point of ridiculousness) would be worth $200 million to Connecticut. Reasonable people, however, I think would agree that $200 million to the university, into the state of Connecticut is enormously valuable.
Let's say that your hypothetical about the demise. The big 12 is correct, but you're off by five years. Then that 200 million becomes 400 million. The difference between what we make in the big east and what we would make in a power conference is enormous. More importantly, if the big 12 is somehow destroyed by the consolidation of power between the big 10 the SEC, certainly the big east would be destroyed before hand. In essence, affiliation with the power conference means that the universities athletic programs continue to remain viable. Those of us who have been fans for decades and want to be fans for many decades more realize that making 4 1/2 million dollars currently isn't sustainable. Think about this, our entire big east media distribution doesn't even pay for Dan Hurley salary.
Again 200 million, 400 million 1 billion dollars going to the university or the state of connecticut or the united states of america or the king of england doesn't make an iota of difference to me. THe athletic department will essentially be killed off by this move in under a decade.
Now you may think the Big 10 and SEC pulling away in all sports in unlikely. I'll entertain a non dooms day option for a moment because I think them pulling away in just football is potentially more likely. In which case, I think conferences would realign to make more sense regionally for non-football sports, in which case UConn could easily be left in the dust having alienated any conference that would make sense for UConn.
I just don't see any way going to the big 12 is anything but a death sentence for UConn athletics long term, even if maybe they do get to update a dorm or two because of the pay days.