UConn Football o/u 3.5 wins for the Season. Thoughts? | Page 3 | The Boneyard

UConn Football o/u 3.5 wins for the Season. Thoughts?

If Pindell is the real deal we might get 4 wins in September.

I'm no expert, but I just watched the "2016 valley of the sun bowl" on Youtube and Pindell looks like the real deal to me. Very instinctive, great feel for the pass rush, and can throw accurately on the run. I think we got ourselves a heck of a QB. Crank the hype machine up to 11.
 
whaler11 said:
Yeah such negativity.

The market of people who invest real time and money are betting against UConn winning 4 games.

So we get a dozen people in a row saying that's crazy they will win 5 games minimum.

The same threads happen every year and it's the same posts - they will go over easy blah hlah blah. Then that doesn't happen and we rinse and repeat.

You and the other posters don't know more than the market. If over 3.5 is +140 - guess what there is a real reason no matter what you think.
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So what, honestly so what. I forget the "so-called" experts are never wrong. I'll bet you they win over 3.5 and I'll put a $100 dollars on it.
So put your money where your negative attitude is.
 
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uconnbill said:
So what, honestly so what. I forget the "so-called" experts are never wrong. I'll bet you they win over 3.5 and I'll put a $100 dollars on it.
So put your money where your negative attitude is.
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'So what?'

It's fine if you want to be a blindly optimistic - but really why would you want to be willfully ignorant?
 
Interesting people aren't really giving us a chance vs UVA. Mendenhal had success with 28 yr old virgins and we beat them last year. Year two with privileged secessionists I think we still get them. Another year where 3 of the more winable games on our schedule our "P5"
 
Duncan Idaho said:
Agree 100%. just hoping for good execution from the O. Concerned about the injuries to the D. Been reading up on the 335 stack and some on coach Crocker. Looking forward to the opening game.
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I think that this is a difficult team to predict. If Pindell is the answer at qb, we may be looking at 6 wins. Lots of questions to be answered on offense, but I expect the line to be better and qb has been upgraded. I'm optimistic and thankful for the coaching change. Kudos to ad Dave.
 
I'll be hammering the over on this if my book has this line.
 
The argument isn't that 4 wins is unattainable. The betting line at 3.5 pretty much cements that fact.

I think we can get there - but people that know a lot more than me think its pretty much even money at best, that we don't.

You could look at the season prediction threads every year since the Fiesta Bowl when these over/unders come out and 90% of the board has the same take. They are undervaluing us. When has that actually been the case since Edsall left?

I don't gamble - but to me - putting a bet on a JUCO QB, a new (though competent) staff, the oline, the loss of our two biggest offensive/defensive playmakers (Thomas/Obi) and a thin defense, wouldn't be a no brainer.

I love Edsall, but I'm strongly in the wait and see camp, although with an optimistic attitude due to HCREv1.0 tenure.
 
ConnHuskBask said:
The argument isn't that 4 wins is unattainable. The betting line at 3.5 pretty much cements that fact.

I think we can get there - but people that know a lot more than me think its pretty much even money at best, that we don't.

You could look at the season prediction threads every year since the Fiesta Bowl when these over/unders come out and 90% of the board has the same take. They are undervaluing us. When has that actually been the case since Edsall left?

I don't gamble - but to me - putting a bet on a JUCO QB, a new (though competent) staff, the oline, the loss of our two biggest offensive/defensive playmakers (Thomas/Obi) and a thin defense, wouldn't be a no brainer.

I love Edsall, but I'm strongly in the wait and see camp, although with an optimistic attitude due to HCREv1.0 tenure.
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Damn dude we don't need this negativity. ;)
 
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ConnHuskBask said:
The argument isn't that 4 wins is unattainable. The betting line at 3.5 pretty much cements that fact.

I think we can get there - but people that know a lot more than me think its pretty much even money at best, that we don't.

You could look at the season prediction threads every year since the Fiesta Bowl when these over/unders come out and 90% of the board has the same take. They are undervaluing us. When has that actually been the case since Edsall left?

I don't gamble - but to me - putting a bet on a JUCO QB, a new (though competent) staff, the oline, the loss of our two biggest offensive/defensive playmakers (Thomas/Obi) and a thin defense, wouldn't be a no brainer.

I love Edsall, but I'm strongly in the wait and see camp, although with an optimistic attitude due to HCREv1.0 tenure.
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I already bet the over, but this is the right way to look at it. I like our chances of getting to 4, but I really wouldn't be shocked if we don't get there considering the question marks you mentioned.
 
Ultimately whether we get to 3 or 4 wins is inconsequential to me in the long run.

As I said with the Diaco era, I was more concerned about how the team looked and how they were prepared. With Diaco that lasted all of 1 game with the idiotic 2 QB system. Starting Starter QB and Red Zone Back-Up Starter.

I can rest assured Randy will not pull that stunt.
 
sportsart said:
If you want to compare RE 2.0 to the stupid twins and Dicko, be my guest.

Last year's team was really a 5 win team but, well, you know.

One less win with a highly competent coach staff should not be a problem.
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Last year was 6-7 win team. Not 5. Navy UCF ECU maybe Syracuse were all winnable with competent coaching. Not Bill Belechek. Merely competent.
 
whaler11 said:
'So what?'

It's fine if you want to be a blindly optimistic - but really why would you want to be willfully ignorant?
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Not blindly, just have faith in the coaching staff after the Diaco debacle. Asking for four wins or more is not a huge task as you seem to make it.
I have no delusions of grandeur, but I don't have the negative attitude you display here daily
 
uconnbill said:
Not blindly, just have faith in the coaching staff after the Diaco debacle. Asking for four wins or more is not a huge task as you seem to make it.
I have no delusions of grandeur, but I don't have the negative attitude you display here daily
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You should go back to 2nd grade and learn how to read because what you are saying here is not even close to what I have posted.
 
whaler11 said:
No one has ever gone broke fading the Boneyard.

This exercise every year everyone says no way they don't go over and then 5 of the last 6 they haven't...
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but... but... I got nothing.
 
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uconnphil2016 said:
Usually I get what you're saying when it comes to Vegas money vs board perception, but exactly how accurate can a Vegas line be in a year where we have an entirely new coaching staff and a new QB? We won't win less than three games, and given the number of variables involved we could win more and I wouldn't be terribly surprised. I'm not expecting to go bowling at all, but it's not like a four win season is that ridiculous of an idea. There's precedent from UCF that an abysmal team can quickly turn into a 6 win team in this conference if infused with competent quarterback play
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It's an argument, good or bad, if you're trying to talk yourself into the over. I think people need to count to ten and preface all comments with either "I'm a fan and I think..." or "I'm a gambler and I think...". This board kind of proves that fans are gamblers and gamblers are fans..
 
RSTuthill said:
Don't think Disco was messing around with Maine. UConn was simply very poorly coached. Disco woulda given his left uno what to have won 55-0.
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We did dominate that game physically and were comfortable until two late big plays made it close. If we didn't have an ultra-conservative, lets win 10-7 philosophy, those late plays would not have mattered.
 
sportsart said:
Watch the first drive of the game. You will like what you see.

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Loved that first drive. He really gets the ball out quickly and can throw on the run. That first pass into the end zone was a bad call. Foot clearly in when he gained control of the ball.
 
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UConn Esq said:
I'm a big sports betting guy. I saw UConn's regular season win over/under is 3.5 this year with a payout at +140, which for those unfamiliar generally means that Vegas money does not believe UConn gets 4 wins. Buuut that also opens the door to a favorite payout for me. I am curious what the BY thinks for football wins this year. I see home games against Holy Cross, Boston College and ECU - all very winnable. And a bunch of secondary games that we could win. You guys know the schedule and the team better than I do - I generally stick to the basketball board. I am curious on everyone's thoughts. I am not asking if we have a great season, make a bowl, debate Edsall etc... just simply can a good argument be made that we win 4 games.

Not trying to stir up any negative comments here I am just trying to do some research on the bet. If this has already been discussed I apologize and just ask to be pointed in the right direction.

Would love some good insight from you guys! Thanks in advance!
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If I can figure out how to do it, I'd do it. I have a sports book dot ag account to play hypothetical hold 'em (real gambling is against the rules). I just checked and the option on UConn wins isn't available. Is this because they've already played a game?
 
temery said:
If I can figure out how to do it, I'd do it. I have a sports book dot ag account to play hypothetical hold 'em (real gambling is against the rules). I just checked and the option on UConn wins isn't available. Is this because they've already played a game?
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Yeah you have to get season prop bets in before their first game
 
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