UConn Football o/u 3.5 wins for the Season. Thoughts?

[UConn Esq]

I'm a big sports betting guy. I saw UConn's regular season win over/under is 3.5 this year with a payout at +140, which for those unfamiliar generally means that Vegas money does not believe UConn gets 4 wins. Buuut that also opens the door to a favorite payout for me. I am curious what the BY thinks for football wins this year. I see home games against Holy Cross, Boston College and ECU - all very winnable. And a bunch of secondary games that we could win. You guys know the schedule and the team better than I do - I generally stick to the basketball board. I am curious on everyone's thoughts. I am not asking if we have a great season, make a bowl, debate Edsall etc... just simply can a good argument be made that we win 4 games.

Not trying to stir up any negative comments here I am just trying to do some research on the bet. If this has already been discussed I apologize and just ask to be pointed in the right direction.

Would love some good insight from you guys! Thanks in advance!

 

[Chin Diesel]

We discussed this buried in another thread.

I'd jump all over it. I think winning money by betting UConn wins 4 games is easy money.

 

[huskymedic]

Here: USA Today Predicts All 130 FBS Teams' Records For 2017 Season

 

[UConn Esq]

Here: USA Today Predicts All 130 FBS Teams' Records For 2017 Season

Awesome, thank you!

 

[HawkHusky]

I really do think 5 wins is worst case this year.

Also, new coaches running high octane offense shock USF in Week 2.

 

[sportsart]

If Dicko can get 3 there is no way RE 2.0 can't get 4. No way, no how.

 

[SubbaBub]

Yeah, if you are thinking the under, stay home.

 

[Stinger92860]

We had 3 wins last year and lost to Navy because of Fiasco. We had close games against cuse and Virginia, anybody other than coach bob and we pull off a win in one of those games. I think we are looking at 5 wins minimum this year, with a chance to go bowling.

 

[blue93]

We had 3 wins last year and lost to Navy because of Fiasco. We had close games against cuse and Virginia, anybody other than coach bob and we pull off a win in one of those games. I think we are looking at 5 wins minimum this year, with a chance to go bowling.

The Virginia game was so close that we actually won it

 

[ConnHuskBask]

I don't bet and wouldn't even know where to if I could, but while I'm not expecting a miracle, I think given that we just have to beat Holy Cross - that getting 3 FBS wins is definitely doable.

 

[Stinger92860]

The Virginia game was so close that we actually won it

My bad lol....kills my whole premise. Go with the under.

 

[ktuck911]

I'll take the over... I see 5 wins minimum

 

[whaler11]

No one has ever gone broke fading the Boneyard.

This exercise every year everyone says no way they don't go over and then 5 of the last 6 they haven't...

 

[sportsart]

No one has ever gone broke fading the Boneyard.

This exercise every year everyone says no way they don't go over and then 5 of the last 6 they haven't...

If you want to compare RE 2.0 to the stupid twins and Dicko, be my guest.

Last year's team was really a 5 win team but, well, you know.

One less win with a highly competent coach staff should not be a problem.

 

[whaler11]

If you want to compare RE 2.0 to the stupid twins and Dicko, be my guest.

Last year's team was really a 5 win team but, well, you know.

One less win with a highly competent coach staff should not be a problem.

And the people who back their opinions with real money totally disagree with y'all.

You guys are completely ignoring the issues on defense. It's single ply office bathroom thin.

 

[HawkHusky]

And the people who back their opinions with real money totally disagree with y'all.

You guys are completely ignoring the issues on defense. It's single ply office bathroom thin.

Then I guess we'll be competitive in a lot of high scoring games. And even if we lose them, this season will be a helluva lot more entertaining. Don't ignore that issue.

 

[Stinger92860]

If you want to compare RE 2.0 to the stupid twins and Dicko, be my guest.

Last year's team was really a 5 win team but, well, you know.

One less win with a highly competent coach staff should not be a problem.

That's what I was trying to say but I failed miserably.

 

[Wildgopher]

I'm a big sports betting guy. I saw UConn's regular season win over/under is 3.5 this year with a payout at +140, which for those unfamiliar generally means that Vegas money does not believe UConn gets 4 wins. Buuut that also opens the door to a favorite payout for me. I am curious what the BY thinks for football wins this year. I see home games against Holy Cross, Boston College and ECU - all very winnable. And a bunch of secondary games that we could win. You guys know the schedule and the team better than I do - I generally stick to the basketball board. I am curious on everyone's thoughts. I am not asking if we have a great season, make a bowl, debate Edsall etc... just simply can a good argument be made that we win 4 games.

Not trying to stir up any negative comments here I am just trying to do some research on the bet. If this has already been discussed I apologize and just ask to be pointed in the right direction.

Would love some good insight from you guys! Thanks in advance!

Where is the best place to make such a wager?

 

[whaler11]

Then I guess we'll be competitive in a lot of high scoring games. And even if we lose them, this season will be a helluva lot more entertaining. Don't ignore that issue.

Entertaining has nothing to do with over 3.5 wins.

 

[HawkHusky]

Entertaining has nothing to do with over 3.5 wins.

Just trying to counterbalance all the negativity spewing from your posts.

 

[StoneyDawg]

Six wins and UConn goes bowling.

 

[whaler11]

Just trying to counterbalance all the negativity spewing from your posts.

Yeah such negativity.

The market of people who invest real time and money are betting against UConn winning 4 games.

So we get a dozen people in a row saying that's crazy they will win 5 games minimum.

The same threads happen every year and it's the same posts - they will go over easy blah hlah blah. Then that doesn't happen and we rinse and repeat.

You and the other posters don't know more than the market. If over 3.5 is +140 - guess what there is a real reason no matter what you think.

 

[TMB4405]

I would take the over. The line is set to equalize money. The perception of the market is we suck. I think we have 6-6 talent here. Therefore I would jump on this bet particularly at plus 140. As someone who has done well wagering sometimes you see certain lines that appeal for whatever reason. This feels like one of those to me.

 

[uconndogs]

I don't bet, but I watch a lot of UCONN football. I'm optimistic that Edsall and crew can fix this rail road after the mismanagement by the stupid twins and Crazy Bob.

But anyone who looks at that schedule and is assured of five wins is seeing something a lot differently than I am. We have totally new schemes on both sides of the ball. An untested QB at this level. Two starting LBs who probably won't start the season and a young secondary.

Granted, the offense would almost have to be better than last season simply because it's almost impossible to be worse. But, the defense could easily regress.

I'm optimistic about what the future holds, but I have no illusions about what this season could be. Edsall may need 2-3 seasons to fix this mess.

 

[upstater]

Looking at the schedule, I counted 4 wins. Going to be close on this bet.