The Official 2024 NY Mets Thread | Page 14 | The Boneyard

The Official 2024 NY Mets Thread

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I mean Pete is 29 - JD was 37 - I don’t think that’s a fair comparison. Theoretically Pete’s best years should be happening right now and over the next 3ish years.

My theory on Pete is he puts too much pressure on himself. You see it in something as light hearted as the home run derby, stands to reason in a walk year that he had that lemon booty all season knowing it was a big year for him personally and he struggled under that pressure. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see him sign a multi year deal, feel relaxed and bounce back to 40-45 home run Pete.

Now I don’t think we need to just sign him to some 10 year deal or something insane, but I know he’s a bit bat to replace. When he is up in the post season you know he can change the game in one swing. That’s a quality few guys have
 
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Stearns just talked to the media today to wrap up the season. Big takeaways are they want Alonso back (at the right price), they'll look to add multiple starting pitchers this offseason

  • Want Alonso back (at the right price)
  • Will look to add multiple SPs (TBD whether it's guys already here or external options)
  • TBD where Peterson, Megill, Butto fall in terms of SP or bullpen
  • Mauricio's rehab slower than expected
  • Heavily implies they'll be active in the FA market for Soto
  • There's mutual interest in a reunion with Sean Manaea
  • Will stay in touch with Jesse Winker about a return
 
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Alonso for me comes down to how much money Cohen wants to spend this year. If the budget is still 300M, then I don't overly care if he wants to overpay him. If the team is staying near the luxury tax and is closer to 230M then I think there are better ways to allocate the funds. I'd also let him go out and test FA and ask him to come back with his best offer. If it's 8/240, then wish him well. If it's 6/150 then sure bring him back.

I took a look at an article in the Athletic that ranks FA and gives a contract prediction. A few of them and my thoughts.

1. Soto 15/622 - Yes. HoF talents don't hit FA going into their age 26 season.
2. Burnes 7/247 - Probably yes...that feels steep but if they want an ace this seems like the way to go
3. Fried 6/174 - Depends on how his medicals check out but I don't hate this.
4. Alonso 7/204 - I don't think he's worth this and wouldn't be upset if the Mets passed.
5. Snell 3/105 - I love this type of deal. If Snell pitches a full season, he's a Cy Young threat. A bit of a gamble but only 3 years.
6. Manaea and Flaherty 3/68 - putting both here because the prediction is the same. I like both of these.

Semi-related, but I'd give the QO to Alonso, Manaea, and Severino. I don't think Severino is really worth the 21M or so but for 1 year it's fine and if he declines we get a pick back and, again, an overpay of a few million isn't going to hurt Cohen. He paid like 15M total to two catchers who aren't here anymore, not to mention Verlander and Scherzer.
 
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I wouldn't touch Burnes or Fried with a 40 foot pole at that price. I trust Stearns to spend wisely and end us up in the same spot for a lot less.
 
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I wouldn't touch Burnes or Fried with a 40 foot pole at that price. I trust Stearns to spend wisely and end us up in the same spot for a lot less.
Fried I agree with, curious what makes you say that about Burnes. No injury issues and is coming off 5 straight Cy Young caliber seasons
 
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I don’t believe in locking up any pitchers arm for that long and that much.
 
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So Severino, Manaea, Alonso get the QO. My guess is all 3 decline, though I wouldn't hate Severino taking it
 
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If I'm Severino, with this situation and the fact he actually had a really healthy season, I'd jump at 21m for next year.
 
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I’d like Severino on another 1 year deal. Not crazy about taking him on a 3/4 year deal. Manaea will command a multi year deal from someone I’m sure after this year. I wouldn’t hate it for the Mets - but also a little wary about too long of a deal given his age and how this year may have been his career best. How repeatable is that ?
 
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Hopefully not the last player to decide to move to Queens from the Bronx this off-season. Love this gamble


Can you help me understand this move? No starts since 2018, I guess since he generates ground-balls, that's enticing? Worst-case scenario, then Holmes becomes an overpriced reliever.
 
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Head scratcher to bring him in as a starter. Maybe he can be a swing/5th starter. Can't say I love it.
 
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Head scratcher to bring him in as a starter. Maybe he can be a swing/5th starter. Can't say I love it.
There's been a bunch of articles and analysis all off-season about him being the next guy who has the stuff to be a good SP. But even if it doesn't work you have a great 8th inning guy, there's no risk
 
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Can you help me understand this move? No starts since 2018, I guess since he generates ground-balls, that's enticing? Worst-case scenario, then Holmes becomes an overpriced reliever.
There's some good analysis on the motive in here

 
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I don’t hate it. So far the Mets have let Sevy sign elsewhere for 3/$67mil. They sign Montas at 2/$34 mil. Sign Holmes at 3/$38.

Last year they dipped in the bargain bin with Sevy, Manaea and Houser - 2 out of the 3 hit. This year it seems they are taking similar gambles with relatively short term deals on guys that have something to prove.
 

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