Tennessee vs Notre Dame Analysis | The Boneyard

Tennessee vs Notre Dame Analysis

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doggydaddy

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This one was too good to pass up. The two most disliked teams on this board. Should be fun to watch and discuss afterwards.

Overview – Both ND and Tennessee come into this game hot. ND has won 13 in a row and Tennessee has won 9 in a row. Something obviously has to give. Last year ND beat Tennessee 72-44. Two years ago they beat Tennessee 73-59 in the elite eight.

Players lost – Tennessee – Stricklen, Johnson, Bass, Baugh, Manning.ND- Peters, Novosel, Mallory

Both teams lost a lot of points and rebounds from last years rosters. And both have not missed a beat. Credit to the coaching staffs and the players for performing as such a high level.
Players added - Tennessee – Graves, Carter, Jones, Moore, Phillips. ND - Loyd, Mabrey, Cable (missed her freshman season)

Graves has been a horse for Tennessee. 2nd leading scorer and 1st in rebounding. Carter is out for the season and losing her might be a problem with any foul trouble but it hasn't slowed down Tennessee at all. Phillips has made the occasional contribution and is a terrific athlete.

Loyd has been solid for ND with the occasional great performance (Baylor). Mabrey killed Uconn with her 2 threes but has not had any consistancy having an injury earlier in the season. Cable is contributing more and is shooting 39% on 3's.

PG – Massingale 5’7” SO (8.6 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 4.3 apg) vs Diggins 5’9” SR (15.5 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 5.6 apg)

Massingale has not performed like the top recruit that she was. She struggles both from the field and the 3 point line. She has a solid assist/to ratio. Diggins has turned it on lately but she has struggled shooting for much of the season. Difference here is defense. Massingale has difficulties keeping players in front of her and Diggins will take advantage of that.

Advantage Notre Dame

SG – Simmons 5’7” JR (17.6 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 2.1 apg) vs Loyd 5’11” FR (12.7 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 1.5 apg)

Simmons has really turned it around during this winning streak. Still taking the occasional bad shot, she has made a higher percentage of her shots the last 9 games. While she still doesn't get many assists, she has taken care of the ball. Loyd has her work cut out staying with Simmons. But Simmons will have the same problems in guarding Loyd.

Advantage Tennessee

SF – Spani 6’1” SR (9.6 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 1.1 apg) vs McBride 5’11" JR (14.2 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 2.2 apg)

Spani has also had a resurgance in the last 9 games. Shooting better and clearly feeling better. She is strong enough to stay with McBride, but not quick enough. She could get into foul trouble quickly.

Advantage Notre Dame

PF – Graves 6’2” FR (14.5 ppg, 8.8 rpg, 1.1 apg) vs Bracker 6’1” (5.8 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 1.4 apg)

Should be a good physical matchup. Graves has been just terrific this year and is a FOY candidate. Bracker has to stay tough to keep this matchup close, but Graves is just a force.

Advantage Tennessee

C – Harrison 6’3” SO (10.2 ppg, 8.8 rpg, 1.0 apg) vs Achonwa 6’3” (13.8 ppg, 9.3 rpg, 2.3 apg)

This should be a great matchup. Two improved posts going at it. Harrison is even more foul prone than Achonwa. It could be a problem for Tennessee. Harrison likes to take her shots from around the foul line out to close to the 3 point line. If it pulls Achonwa out of the paint, Graves could dominate.
Advantage Notre Dame

Bench – Tennesssee -Williams5’11” SR (5.4 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 2.6 apg),Jones 6’2” SO (4.9 ppg, 4.5 rpg, .8 apg)vs Wright6’2" (4.9 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 1.0 apg), Marbrey 5'11 (4.4 ppg, 1.1 rpg, 1.8 apg), Cable 5'11" (5.2 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 1.0 apg)

Total stats off the bench – Tennessee – 10.3 ppg, 7.5 rpg, 3.4 apg.ND14.5 ppg, 9.2 rpg, 3.8 apg

This game will be decided by the starters. But both teams could get some nice performances by Williams for Tennessee and Cable for ND.

Advantage - EVEN

Coaches – Holly Warlick vs Muffet McGraw

McGraw is a heck of a coach, and will do a great job in this game in both preparation and in-game adjustments. Warlick is doing a fine job. Her team is responding to her and they winning, although winning ugly at times.

Advantage - Notre Dame

Intangibles – Home court makes a difference. ND has recent history on their side.

Advantage Tennessee

Final analysis – It's a tale of two different styles. Tennessee needs to run, run and run some more and hit the boards. While they are playing better in the half court, ND will disrupt the Tennessee offense more often than not. ND runs terrific offense sets and Tennessee will have problems defending them. Now, will Notre Dame get to the line like they do against everyone else in TBA? If there is any arena that can prevent ND from getting to the line it's there. I'm really looking forward to this. One of the teams that I love to watch lose will lose. Sadly one will also win.

Final prediction – ND will disrupte Tennessee's offense enough and gets to the line just enough to win this game in a close battle.
 

meyers7

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Good job DD. Could be a good game to watch. Let's hope ND blows them out.
 

Jmpenn

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Good analysis DD. Posters on the Summitt agree that it is a very fair analysis. IMO it all comes down to mindset. I know Notre Dame will come in with confidence and will execute their game plan. The Lady Vols have to do the same or the game won't be close. TN should have been able to compete with Standord but the TN team that played Stanford I didn't even recognize. Sometimes I think teams can psych themselves out of the game. The Lady Vols have the talent to compete with Notre Dame and if they have the confidence and play as hard as ND then I think it will be a close game and one that TN can win.
 

Tonyc

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Its goning to come down to defense for Tenn. Dribble penetration by ND is critical and stopping it is critical for Tenn . Both teams have surpirsed me this season. Tenn is playing much better then I thought. We will see. Simmons has got to be under control and not just run down and jack up shots. ND is very disiplined. In the past especially in big games Tenn has gotten to the line more then their opponet. If that happens tonight ND could have problems.
 

RadyLady

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great stuff DD, thank you for the analysis. I can't for the life of me decide who I want to win. I would be happy if they played to a draw, but only after they beat the crap sandwich out of each other. :p
 

stwainfan

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I'd like our chances a little better if Burdick was playing. Having another player to rotate in. Tennessee has played very good at times just need to be more consistent.
 

RadyLady

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Hi Stwain.....it's a shame about her hand. Is there any news on how long she may be out - if at all?
 

UcMiami

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Nice analysis.
And Stwain - spot on with both teams exceeding expectations.
For TN specifically, I do not think you could have hoped for a better year this year. Holly has done a great job getting the team together - especially after that opening blip!
I think it also shows how dysfunctional the coaching situation was last year. I know that senior class got a lot of grief, but I think most of last year fell on the multi-headed coaching situation.
And whatever the 'politics' of the process were, it really was time for Pat to step aside and give Holly the reins.
 

stwainfan

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Hi Stwain.....it's a shame about her hand. Is there any news on how long she may be out - if at all?
Hi she is going to have it looked at today. If all is good she can be back next week.
 
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Tenn can score but their defense is suspect, ND will win by 15.
 

stwainfan

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The Irish team visited the Hall of Fame today.
 

Justavisitor

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Good analysis DD. Posters on the Summitt agree that it is a very fair analysis. IMO it all comes down to mindset. I know Notre Dame will come in with confidence and will execute their game plan. The Lady Vols have to do the same or the game won't be close. TN should have been able to compete with Standord but the TN team that played Stanford I didn't even recognize. Sometimes I think teams can psych themselves out of the game. The Lady Vols have the talent to compete with Notre Dame and if they have the confidence and play as hard as ND then I think it will be a close game and one that TN can win.


The confidence factor is huge. At the time of the Stanford game, they had just been humiliated by Baylor, so confidence was shaky at best. Now, they've had time to get many more wins against competitive teams and in hostile environments. Also, they understand their roles, where as, earlier in the season, the roles were not as clearly defined. This can only happen after playing many games together and gathering game film for evaluation. Coaches learn more about each of the players and players learn more about what's expected of them. Also, with the starting 5 logging many minutes together, chemistry is much improved. It should be a competitive game.
 
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Emotion is huge; banner raising night. ND has the ultimate emotion killer in college basketball (other than Griner) in Diggins. Ice in her veins.
 
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