IMO, UConn’s chances hinge almost completely on the boards and whether they can get easy points. The conundrum they have is the best way to defensive rebound is to probably have Dorka and Edwards focus on boxing out and have the others crash for the ball but that precludes Uconn from pushing the ball which means playing half court against a very tough defense. So can Edwards and Dorka hold their own and keep SC 2nd chances to a minimum? If they can, IMO, Uconn has a very good chance.
As for TOs, I think as long as Uconn keeps them to mostly “dead” TOs i.e. ones that don’t lead to easy run outs but rather give Uconn a chance to set up their D, I don’t think they will be the factor many think they will be.