Something to keep an eye on in regards to Virus and AAC tournament | Page 2 | The Boneyard

Something to keep an eye on in regards to Virus and AAC tournament

In grad school, my professor was on a conference call with superintendents, Lamont, CIAC officials, mayors, etc. just now.
Dont be shocked by what is on the table...
 
Palatine said:
In 2009 the H1N1 virus killed 12,000 Americans (according to the CDC) and we played to a packed house in the final four at Ford Field. The final had an attendance of 71,000.
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Preliminary studies suggest that COVID-19 is 20% more infectious than Swine Flu (H1N1) and 4-6x more deadly. So both more contagious and more deadly.

So sure. Let's do the same thing that killed 12,000 people instead of taking more precautions.
 
.-.
Mister P said:
Just hook up with someone who has Lyme disease and your Corona virus worries are over.
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... yeah dry cough, fever, sore throat, thought it was corona but it appears just to be plain ol' tuberculosis. (picked the wrong month for hand surgery?)

yeah i work in research university and the professors, doctors et al are of two camps; don't worry it's OK, and PANIC. i'm in the former, the frau in the latter.
 
auror said:
Preliminary studies suggest that COVID-19 is 20% more infectious than Swine Flu (H1N1) and 4-6x more deadly. So both more contagious and more deadly.

So sure. Let's do the same thing that killed 12,000 people instead of taking more precautions.
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you sure about that? only asking because i understand this stuff (bio-statistics and all that) and it doesn't comport with my understanding at all. corona viruses are generally not as virulent or persistent as influenza.
 
boba said:
you sure about that? only asking because i understand this stuff (bio-statistics and all that) and it doesn't comport with my understanding at all. corona viruses are generally not as virulent or persistent as influenza.
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Currently estimated COVID-19 R0 is 2.2-3 and H1N1 was 1-4-1.8. CFR of H1N1 was ~0.5 and COVID-19 has been estimated anywhere from 1.6 to 3.2

Would love to believe otherwise, though, so if you can put me at ease feel free.
 
auror said:
Currently estimated COVID-19 R0 is 2.2-3 and H1N1 was 1-4-1.8. CFR of H1N1 was ~0.5 and COVID-19 has been estimated anywhere from 1.6 to 3.2

Would love to believe otherwise, though, so if you can put me at ease feel free.
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At this point, data set is woefully incomplete to make any solid estimates/comparisons. Especially the fatality rate. Lots of suggestive evidence as it’s travelled outside of China that it will be lower than what you listed. Time will tell though.

Even if it’s only 1.5x more fatal than flu and a bit more contagious, it’s a serious issue because we don’t have a vaccine nor any reliably active medication to target it yet.
 
DaveHuskiesFan said:
If this happens I will knock on the door of the guy in Westchester County that has it. Force him to give me Coronavirus and then personally visit every BOT member to give it to them.
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as I understand it, he is in ICU at Columbia Presbyterian, maybe he will be happy to see a visitor
 
auror said:
Currently estimated COVID-19 R0 is 2.2-3 and H1N1 was 1-4-1.8. CFR of H1N1 was ~0.5 and COVID-19 has been estimated anywhere from 1.6 to 3.2

Would love to believe otherwise, though, so if you can put me at ease feel free.
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Why aren’t kids catching this? I haven’t heard any numbers regarding children getting this.
 
.-.
Martin said:
Why aren’t kids catching this? I haven’t heard any numbers regarding children getting this.
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The data from China shows that they definitely do catch it. But symptoms are usually more mild, with almost no deaths compared to 15% death rate above 80.

There was a report that some of the worst symptoms and death may be correlated with high blood pressure (not necessarily causation at this point). And kids generally have lower blood pressure. Could also just be that kids are stronger/healthier in certain ways.
 
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Martin said:
Why aren’t kids catching this? I haven’t heard any numbers regarding children getting this.
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From what I know is that young people only get very mild cases of it
 
I’m more concerned with total death numbers than percentages when you consider reporting and people getting it with no symptoms. Sure 3% of people who are hospitalized with it die but how many hundreds of thousands had it and didn’t even know? Only the sickest people are going to the hospital so 3% of the sickest people are dying.

The flip side of not showing symptoms is the risk of carrying and getting an immunocompromised person sick. Pretty terrifying for the father of a 2 month old.
 
auror said:
Preliminary studies suggest that COVID-19 is 20% more infectious than Swine Flu (H1N1) and 4-6x more deadly. So both more contagious and more deadly.

So sure. Let's do the same thing that killed 12,000 people instead of taking more precautions.
Expand ...
The average age of a coronavirus victim in the USA is 80. That's right 80.

If you are under 50 and in relatively good health your chances of having anything beyond a fever are pretty slim.
 
Palatine said:
The average age of a coronavirus victim in the USA is 80. That's right 80.

If you are under 50 and in relatively good health your chances of having anything beyond a fever are pretty slim.
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Right you will just run the risk of giving it to your older relatives and who cares if they die at 80 instead of some older age, they won't be around to complain.
 
.-.
Leebo said:
Right you will just run the risk of giving it to your older relatives and who cares if they die at 80 instead of some older age, they won't be around to complain.
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Yes, you have be careful around older people, exactly right.

But your risk is minimal.
 
8893 said:
After the announcement on Thursday at Gampel that the AAC had suspended the after-game handshake between the teams due to coronavirus precautions, I was surprised to see no such precautions after yesterday's game at Tulane.
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As if the handshakes after the game would have been the only point of transmittance....
 
8893 said:
After the announcement on Thursday at Gampel that the AAC had suspended the after-game handshake between the teams due to coronavirus precautions, I was surprised to see no such precautions after yesterday's game at Tulane.
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Anyone else beside Neill and I notice this?

 
.-.
boba said:
you sure about that? only asking because i understand this stuff (bio-statistics and all that) and it doesn't comport with my understanding at all. corona viruses are generally not as virulent or persistent as influenza.
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"Generally." This is a novel coronavirus, possibly engineered as a bioweapon, that is as or more infectious as the flu, and in the elderly almost as deadly as SARS/MERS.

The idea that this is not a big deal because younger people aren't dying is misplaced: (1) we don't know that people form lasting immunity to it or that it can't lapse and then resurface. Long-term health consequences of getting infected could be worse than the short-term effects. Some people have gotten encephalitis, brain infections, from it. (2) Younger people can be carriers who transmit to others even if they are asymptomatic.
 
pj said:
"Generally." This is a novel coronavirus, possibly engineered as a bioweapon,
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Has there been any evidence of this, other than wild speculation?
 
Welp the Ivy league cancelled their tournament. Let's see who follows.
 
.-.
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