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Six games left

Running through some scenarios, if we take care of business at home vs. Seton Hall and Xavier (big IFs of course) and Creighton/DePaul, then the Villanova game won't affect our seeding at all, we'd be locked into Big East #3 seed.

Of course, it would still be important for NCAAT and psyche reasons, but the 3 seed is
 
Stinger92860 said:
I don’t think we are a lock yet. If we go 4-2 we are in, but 3-3 would make me uncomfortable. Anything worse and we could be on the bubble.
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We are 18 NET and 19 KenPom. Things would have to go catastrophically wrong to miss the tourney. 1 or 2 more Q1 wins and we are a lock regardless of what happens in the other games.
 
I’m looking forward to senior night where we will get our first indication if any decisions have been made by RJ/Tyrese regarding next season.
 
IMO--Would be disappointed with 4-2.. 5-1 should be floor.. Can run the table at BET if A game is on display..
Will be good for Mojo going into Big Dance.
 
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UCLJ0211 said:
We are 18 NET and 19 KenPom. Things would have to go catastrophically wrong to miss the tourney. 1 or 2 more Q1 wins and we are a lock regardless of what happens in the other games.
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6-0 is probably a #3 seed with a decent BET showing
5-1 is surging onto the 4/5 line with an outside chance for a 3 if we make the BET finals or better
4-2 would probably lock up at worst a 6 seed with a chance at a 5 or 4 in the BET.
3-3 has us sliding backwards a little, more like 7/8 territory
2-4 means no more good wins and a few meh losses, definitely slipping to the 8/9 line or worse, with a loss in the 1st round of the BET making things pretty uncomfortable at 19-12 and only 3 quality wins.
1-5 is definitely on the bubble
 
Tenspro2002 said:
6-0 is probably a #3 seed with a decent BET showing
5-1 is surging onto the 4/5 line with an outside chance for a 3 if we make the BET finals or better
4-2 would probably lock up at worst a 6 seed with a chance at a 5 or 4 in the BET.
3-3 has us sliding backwards a little, more like 7/8 territory
2-4 means no more good wins and a few meh losses, definitely slipping to the 8/9 line or worse, with a loss in the 1st round of the BET making things pretty uncomfortable at 19-12 and only 3 quality wins.
1-5 is definitely on the bubble
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It depends who the wins and losses are against. For example, if we somehow beat Nova and lost to DePaul, that would make things interesting.
 
No excuse for losing any of those games @ Gampel. No excuse for losing to Georgetown at all. That means the best BE team at XL and our absolute nemesis team in Omaha are the two opportunities to steal a win. 4-2 is ok, but I really want to win one of those two games.

Every game we've played against Creighton has been close. I think there is an opportunity for Hurley to show he has learned from those and make adjustments. McDermott had a great plan last time. Hurley has to show some different looks on both ends.

Nova was ugly, but both games cancelled last year until the tournament, which wasn't a blowout. The 2019-20 team put a real scare into Nova on the road. They can be beaten. Same as Creighton, we will need to show them some wrinkles, take them out of their comfort zone.
 
HuskyHawk said:
No excuse for losing any of those games @ Gampel. No excuse for losing to Georgetown at all. That means the best BE team at XL and our absolute nemesis team in Omaha are the two opportunities to steal a win. 4-2 is ok, but I really want to win one of those two games.

Every game we've played against Creighton has been close. I think there is an opportunity for Hurley to show he has learned from those and make adjustments. McDermott had a great plan last time. Hurley has to show some different looks on both ends.

Nova was ugly, but both games cancelled last year until the tournament, which wasn't a blowout. The 2019-20 team put a real scare into Nova on the road. They can be beaten. Same as Creighton, we will need to show them some wrinkles, take them out of their comfort zone.
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I don’t really understand the trepidation with Creighton this season. We pooped the bed in that game. We should expect to beat that Creighton team.
 
Stinger92860 said:
I don’t think we are a lock yet. If we go 4-2 we are in, but 3-3 would make me uncomfortable. Anything worse and we could be on the bubble.
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I think we are in as long as we don't go 2-4.. Even then 2 wins in the BET would get us back off the bubble.

I looked at the schedule yesterday as well, I think 4-2 is best case scenario - if we go 5-1 that would mean we are red hot and are primed to make a deep run..
 
AntG168 said:
I don’t really understand the trepidation with Creighton this season. We pooped the bed in that game. We should expect to beat that Creighton team.
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1. They are tough in Omaha. Get a very good crowd. 2. McDermott is great at game planning and adjustments 3. We have now pooped the bed 3 straight times vs them....eventually a pattern like that suggests some underlying cause.
 
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M.S.G. said:
I think we are in as long as we don't go 2-4.. Even then 2 wins in the BET would get us back off the bubble.

I looked at the schedule yesterday as well, I think 4-2 is best case scenario - if we go 5-1 that would mean we are red hot and are primed to make a deep run..
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I’d like to see us take care of Xavier and Seton Hall at home, Nova will be a battle. But GTown, DePaul, and Creighton at home are games we should win. 4-2 is the expectation. 5-1 is not out of reach. 6-0 would have me giddy
 
aburks41 said:
5-1 in this stretch (with the L being to Nova or @ Creighton) would put us right on the 5 seed line. However we will definitely get up to the 4 line if we win the BET. They just cannot drop anymore of these winnable games or have another Creighton home stinker.
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If we go 5-1 and win the BET, we would be 25-8. I imagine we would be at least a 3 seed if not a 2.

Remember how many losses the major conference champs will have.
 
HuskyHawk said:
1. They are tough in Omaha. Get a very good crowd. 2. McDermott is great at game planning and adjustments 3. We have now pooped the bed 3 straight times vs them....eventually a pattern like that suggests some underlying cause.
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Disagree. Last year they were on par with us as a team. The first game Bouk drop 40 something, tough loss, but good game. The second game Bouk was injured if I recall correctly. And the last game in the tourney was a nail biter. The game this season was the only game I’m which we “pooped the bed” or should have won
 
AntG168 said:
I’d like to see us take care of Xavier and Seton Hall at home, Nova will be a battle. But GTown, DePaul, and Creighton at home are games we should win. 4-2 is the expectation. 5-1 is not out of reach. 6-0 would have me giddy
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Creighton game is away though.
 
shizzle787 said:
If we go 5-1 and win the BET, we would be 25-8. I imagine we would be at least a 3 seed if not a 2.

Remember how many losses the major conference champs will have.
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A 3 is possible, we had 9 losses in 2011 and got the 3. I don't think we would be able to leap enough for a 2 seed though. That would mean taking a spot from Gonzaga, Auburn, Kansas, Duke, Perdue, Kentucky, Arizona, Baylor - they all currently have 4 or fewer losses.
 
AntG168 said:
Disagree. Last year they were on par with us as a team. The first game Bouk drop 40 something, tough loss, but good game. The second game Bouk was injured if I recall correctly. And the last game in the tourney was a nail biter. The game this season was the only game I’m which we “pooped the bed” or should have won
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Until we beat them, it remains the case that UConn has never beaten them. Forgive me for being concerned. I will certainly be rooting for that streak to end. For that to happen, especially on what is probably the toughest home court in the league, Hurley is going to need to make some changes.
 
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Tenspro2002 said:
I agree with this part, and this, even more than NCAAT seeding, is why the Villanova game, and to a lesser extent @Creighton, is so important.

We can't afford to go another year in this league being seen as the pesky little brother who nevertheless always loses to the top teams. We need to be at worst a peer to programs like Villanova, not perpetual also-rans in that #3-5 category.
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You're using the word "always" to refer to one and a half season. Good grief. We "always" beat BC when we beat them like 27 straight times. Not when we beat them 3 or 4 times.
 
AntG168 said:
I’d like to see us take care of Xavier and Seton Hall at home, Nova will be a battle. But GTown, DePaul, and Creighton at home are games we should win. 4-2 is the expectation. 5-1 is not out of reach. 6-0 would have me giddy
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We play Creighton on the road, already lost to them at home.
 
awfuldan said:
These are our final games of the season:

2/16 - Seton Hall in Gampel
2/19 - Xavier in Gampel
2/22 - Nova at XL
2/27 - @ Georgetown
3/2 - @ Creighton
3/5 - DePaul in Gampel

Looking at this schedule, it's nice to have 4 home games and it's also a plus that we don't have any ridiculous turn arounds or brutal travel. 4-2 and above here is a good result I think, though I'm sure everyone is hoping for 5-1 or better.

@ Georgetown is the only game on this schedule that would be a truly bad loss, though I guess I should probably include DePaul on Senior Night too. Xavier, Nova, and Creighton should all be Q1 opportunities.

Right now we are 17-7 overall and 8-5 in the Big East (good for 3rd in the league). We are essentially a lock for the tournament and should not have trouble finishing with 20+ wins and in the top 5 of the Big East. Unfortunately 1st place in the league is out of reach at this point.
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I never thought we'd have 9 losses this year, but that looks likely. This experienced team should be better than that. I long for one of those dominant 90s and early 2000s regular season records.

I remember a poster here who wrote "We're winning the Big East. You heard it here first." Probably will backtrack and say, "I meant the Big East Tournament... ".
 
I feel the same as a few others. .500 the next 6 games puts us in good standing for ncaa. Anything less…welll… let’s be honest— we aren’t as good as we think.
I don’t want to limp into the BET tourney.
 
awfuldan said:
These are our final games of the season:

2/16 - Seton Hall in Gampel
2/19 - Xavier in Gampel
2/22 - Nova at XL
2/27 - @ Georgetown
3/2 - @ Creighton
3/5 - DePaul in Gampel

Looking at this schedule, it's nice to have 4 home games and it's also a plus that we don't have any ridiculous turn arounds or brutal travel. 4-2 and above here is a good result I think, though I'm sure everyone is hoping for 5-1 or better.

@ Georgetown is the only game on this schedule that would be a truly bad loss, though I guess I should probably include DePaul on Senior Night too. Xavier, Nova, and Creighton should all be Q1 opportunities.

Right now we are 17-7 overall and 8-5 in the Big East (good for 3rd in the league). We are essentially a lock for the tournament and should not have trouble finishing with 20+ wins and in the top 5 of the Big East. Unfortunately 1st place in the league is out of reach at this point.
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We go 3-3 book it.
 
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HooperScooper said:
I think that's sarcasm and some kind of joke that I don't get, but I'll bite anyway. Considering 4 of the 6 are at home (and 3 of them are at Gampel), 1 of the away games is Georgetown, 3-3 would be extremely disappointing.
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No sarcasm at all friend. I believe we finish 3-3. Yeah it sucks and i hope im wrong but they dont give me any reason to think 4 or more wins is likely.
 
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