Six games left | The Boneyard

Six games left

awfuldan

awfuldan

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These are our final games of the season:

2/16 - Seton Hall in Gampel
2/19 - Xavier in Gampel
2/22 - Nova at XL
2/27 - @ Georgetown
3/2 - @ Creighton
3/5 - DePaul in Gampel

Looking at this schedule, it's nice to have 4 home games and it's also a plus that we don't have any ridiculous turn arounds or brutal travel. 4-2 and above here is a good result I think, though I'm sure everyone is hoping for 5-1 or better.

@ Georgetown is the only game on this schedule that would be a truly bad loss, though I guess I should probably include DePaul on Senior Night too. Xavier, Nova, and Creighton should all be Q1 opportunities.

Right now we are 17-7 overall and 8-5 in the Big East (good for 3rd in the league). We are essentially a lock for the tournament and should not have trouble finishing with 20+ wins and in the top 5 of the Big East. Unfortunately 1st place in the league is out of reach at this point.
 
Stinger92860 said:
I don’t think we are a lock yet. If we go 4-2 we are in, but 3-3 would make me uncomfortable. Anything worse and we could be on the bubble.
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3-3, while legitimately disappointing, shouldn't make us uncomfortable. The bubble is super soft this year and if we go 3-3 over this schedule we will have taken care of business. Our body of work right now is extremely solid and all of the computer metrics like us. 20-10 against a strong schedule is more than enough.
 
4-2 is where my head is at

W. 2/16 - Seton Hall in Gampel
W. 2/19 - Xavier in Gampel
L. 2/22 - Nova at XL
W. 2/27 - @ Georgetown
L. 3/2 - @ Creighton
W. 3/5 - DePaul in Gampel

21-9 (12-7) is a respectable record for any Bracketologist.
 
Austin316 said:
4-2 is where my head is at

W. 2/16 - Seton Hall in Gampel
W. 2/19 - Xavier in Gampel
L. 2/22 - Nova at XL
W. 2/27 - @ Georgetown
L. 3/2 - @ Creighton
W. 3/5 - DePaul in Gampel

21-9 (12-7) is a respectable record for any Bracketologist.
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Seems realistic, though I will say that Nova and Creighton are the two games I want to win most of these six.
 
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I think we are in as long as we don't go like 0-6 or something insane like that.
 
Stinger92860 said:
I don’t think we are a lock yet. If we go 4-2 we are in, but 3-3 would make me uncomfortable. Anything worse and we could be on the bubble.
Expand ...
3-3 is probably good enough to have us in line for an 8-seed or so.

2-4 probably still OK, but getting hairy.
 
5-1 in this stretch (with the L being to Nova or @ Creighton) would put us right on the 5 seed line. However we will definitely get up to the 4 line if we win the BET. They just cannot drop anymore of these winnable games or have another Creighton home stinker.
 
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I think Villanova is an extremely important game for seeding. We need Q1 wins, and Marquette and potentially SH and X at home could end up being Q2 games ( as well as @Creighton).
 
aburks41 said:
5-1 in this stretch (with the L being to Nova or @ Creighton) would put us right on the 5 seed line. However we will definitely get up to the 4 line if we win the BET. They just cannot drop anymore of these winnable games or have another Creighton home stinker.
Expand ...
If we go 5-1 and win the big east tournament (which is a very big IF), I think we'd easily be a 3 seed. We'd be 25-8 I believe, with a win over a likely #1 seed Auburn. I haven't been a fan of how this team has played of late, but we're pretty far away from the bubble right now.
 
awfuldan said:
These are our final games of the season:

2/16 - Seton Hall in Gampel
2/19 - Xavier in Gampel
2/22 - Nova at XL
2/27 - @ Georgetown
3/2 - @ Creighton
3/5 - DePaul in Gampel

Looking at this schedule, it's nice to have 4 home games and it's also a plus that we don't have any ridiculous turn arounds or brutal travel. 4-2 and above here is a good result I think, though I'm sure everyone is hoping for 5-1 or better.

@ Georgetown is the only game on this schedule that would be a truly bad loss, though I guess I should probably include DePaul on Senior Night too. Xavier, Nova, and Creighton should all be Q1 opportunities.

Right now we are 17-7 overall and 8-5 in the Big East (good for 3rd in the league). We are essentially a lock for the tournament and should not have trouble finishing with 20+ wins and in the top 5 of the Big East. Unfortunately 1st place in the league is out of reach at this point.
Expand ...
I think we’d have a shot at sweeping all of them if only nova wasn’t in the XL…
 
awfuldan said:
These are our final games of the season:

2/16 - Seton Hall in Gampel
2/19 - Xavier in Gampel
2/22 - Nova at XL
2/27 - @ Georgetown
3/2 - @ Creighton
3/5 - DePaul in Gampel

Looking at this schedule, it's nice to have 4 home games and it's also a plus that we don't have any ridiculous turn arounds or brutal travel. 4-2 and above here is a good result I think, though I'm sure everyone is hoping for 5-1 or better.

@ Georgetown is the only game on this schedule that would be a truly bad loss, though I guess I should probably include DePaul on Senior Night too. Xavier, Nova, and Creighton should all be Q1 opportunities.

Right now we are 17-7 overall and 8-5 in the Big East (good for 3rd in the league). We are essentially a lock for the tournament and should not have trouble finishing with 20+ wins and in the top 5 of the Big East. Unfortunately 1st place in the league is out of reach at this point.
Expand ...
If we go 2-4 or worse I think we COULD be on the bubble (19 wins) but otherwise we’re probably safely in the Dance. With 2-4 or 3-3, I’d be more worried about 1) psychological impact of continuing our trend of not being able to beat teams above us in conference (Villanova, Providence, Xavier this year) and 2) not finishing #5 or higher and having to play an extra game in the BET. No WAY this team wins four games in four days with 1.5 legitimate ballhandlers (Cole and AJ).
 
.-.
Connecticut13 said:
If we go 5-1 and win the big east tournament (which is a very big IF), I think we'd easily be a 3 seed. We'd be 25-8 I believe, with a win over a likely #1 seed Auburn. I haven't been a fan of how this team has played of late, but we're pretty far away from the bubble right now.
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Unless something goes catastrophically wrong in these final 6 games, we are a lock for the tournament.

I could see the 3 seed if that happens but it would depend on who we beat in the BET. If we win by beating Nova and PC (idk if that's even going to be possible with the seeding?) then yeah
 
CL82 said:
I think we’d have a shot at sweeping all of them if only nova wasn’t in the XL…
Expand ...
We have an outside shot at 6-0 for sure, but the team will have to play much better than they did this week. Think it’s more likely than 0-6, though that doesn’t say much.
 
HooperScooper said:
Didn't the conference already say that game won't be made up? I thought I remember reading that.
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Kind of. They left the door open if there's other cancelled games before the season ends
 
.-.
awfuldan said:
These are our final games of the season:

2/16 - Seton Hall in Gampel
2/19 - Xavier in Gampel
2/22 - Nova at XL
2/27 - @ Georgetown
3/2 - @ Creighton
3/5 - DePaul in Gampel
Expand ...
Xavier, Nova, and DePaul all appear to be tracking towards sell out crowds.

Need the game Wednesday against Seton Hall to be the same. It's going to be a battle and this team thrives off crowd energy.
 
Exciting time of the season.

Goes without saying, gotta beat Gtown and Depaul. I'm slightly concerned of a trap. Definitely from Depaul.

Can we go .500 in the other 4 games? Definitely. All are payback games. We were competitive against everyone except Nova. We were on the edge of competitive against Nova.

Seton Hall is probably the best opportunity against the 4 tougher teams. Not technically a must win, but a loss puts in a hole needing wins against tougher teams.

Need to beat Seton Hall on Wednesday. Good news is, i really like how the team is playing right now. They are fighting as hard as I've seen in a couple years.
 
connVA said:
With 2-4 or 3-3, I’d be more worried about 1) psychological impact of continuing our trend of not being able to beat teams above us in conference (Villanova, Providence, Xavier this year)
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I agree with this part, and this, even more than NCAAT seeding, is why the Villanova game, and to a lesser extent @Creighton, is so important.

We can't afford to go another year in this league being seen as the pesky little brother who nevertheless always loses to the top teams. We need to be at worst a peer to programs like Villanova, not perpetual also-rans in that #3-5 category.
 
Tenspro2002 said:
I agree with this part, and this, even more than NCAAT seeding, is why the Villanova game, and to a lesser extent @Creighton, is so important.

We can't afford to go another year in this league being seen as the pesky little brother who nevertheless always loses to the top teams. We need to be at worst a peer to programs like Villanova, not perpetual also-rans in that #3-5 category.
Expand ...
We have to beat teams once in awhile that we’re not supposed to. Especially in our league we can’t only win a majority of our games against those who are -.500.

The three games coming up at home are massive.
 
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