First of all, I see something missing, and that is the Harrison/Burdick issue. NO ONE has indicated that they expect much of anything from Harrison, and not lots more from Burdick. Has everyone forgotten DOLSON? She was not as highly regarded by rating systems as either of the previous two. Yet, she turned out to be more than OK, I think all will agree.
Why is everyone ruling out the possibility that Harrison and/or Burdick can step in and play right away? Burdick is a Top 5 player by everyone. And Stricklin is 6'2" and can play 2, 3, or 4.
I think Pat's biggest problem is that she will only have 6 players returning. She's got 3 committed, but she obviously needs more, and I personally don't want her to get Hollivay, Adams, or Howard. I may sound cruel, but it wouldn't bother me in the least if they had 9 players going into next year...JC here we come!!!
I still maintain that UT's main problem is depth---even if they get production from Burdick and Harrison, they're going to have to get really good MINUTES from them AND Baugh. Otherwise, you can't play a 30 game season and post-season with 6 players taking most of the minutes. They simply won't make it that far physically.
I guess what I'm saying is that Pat may be in some trouble this year, but as much as a hate to say it, it just doesn't matter because Baylor will be virtually unstoppable.
just my 2 cents...
hey tiggs... i took out some of your comments as it was a long post and i only wanted to reply to some of it anyway!
Burdick is a 4 who wants to be a 3 (per her comments). she's certainly athletic and i expect her to contribute much like Walker did for UCONN before she left. i don't think tennessee's problem is depth, per se. 9 players is enough for a team to make a NC run. UCONN usually plays 7 or a max of 8 in big games anyway. their starting is as talented on paper as almost anyone else in the country. their problem is size.
Baugh - 6'4", athletic, coming off injuries that sidelined her for much of the past 2 years
Johnson - 6'2", another athlete who is a horrid FT shooter but active everywhere
Stricklen - 6'1", a natural wing who will get to play her natural position finally
Simmons - 5'9", slender shooting guard extraordinaire
Massengale - 5'7", proved in the USA games that she's a terrific PG
on paper, that's as talented as any final 4 contender this year. but the problem is the bench. in general, for Baugh and Johnson, you have only Harrison and Burdick, both freshmen, unless you want to count 6'1" Manning and Spani as forwards, which they certainly can do effectively. the main issue is the 5 spot. they can play all day with 4's in the 6'0" to 6'1" range.
for guards, all you have is Bass, who's not really good enough to compete at an elite level. so that means when Massengale comes out, either Simmons or Stricklen takes over the 1 and you have Spani and Manning coming in as the 2 or 3. they will have 9 players, but several of them could be playing "out" of their natural/comfortable position. i think tennessee will have problems against teams with centers who are tall, strong, athetic, and/or mobile. as i said before teams like Maryland, LSU, UCONN, Stanford, Baylor, Miami, Duke, and maybe a few others i'm not remembering at the moment.
i'm not saying they can't win, but games will be closer and the coaches will really have to monitor how much wear and tear Baugh takes during the year, and hope Harrison is ready for prime time. additionally, they will have issues at the guard spots as Bass, at 5'2", is nothing like Bobbitt or even Dixon for UCONN last year.
like you i hope they get shut out of any and all top recruits. Howard already eliminated tennessee. Adams (IMHO) ends up at USC. i hope Hollivay chooses RU or OU. that makes Russell an absolute must get for them next year, and to be honest, i think they have a harder and harder time as Pat's condition slowly but surely deteriorates. tennessee is going to be a tough sell for kids in the 2013 class and it will get worse after that.