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Score Predictions: vs Baylor and Sims scoring

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huskyharry said:
Sims has guaranteed that it won't be a blowout and said that they had something special in store for UConn. She plays with a high degree of ferocity, so UConn 80- Baylor 64, OS with 35.
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Define "blowout."
 
Uconn 76 Baylor 57--- and the game is almost never in doubt after the 10-12 minute mark. Sims 23.
 
I've really given this some thought.

Although I think UCONN will give Sims and her fellow seniors their first home loss, I'm thinking it will be close!

Why?? Sims will do her best to will Baylor to a victory! By scoring, facilitating, or with her defense. She can be a terror on ball defender. Baylor is at home. Home court advantage can't be overlooked. If Hartley/MoJeff/Banks don't move their feet and slap at Sims as she tries to penetrate the paint, foul trouble will follow!

If we keep Sims in check but her teammates hit shots with her feeding them, again, a close game.

It's gonna be a good one I think!

I think Sims gets 30 but UCONN gets the victory in a close one 72-63!
 
HuskyFan1125 said:
I've really given this some thought.

Although I think UCONN will give Sims and her fellow seniors their first home loss, I'm thinking it will be close!

Why?? Sims will do her best to will Baylor to a victory! By scoring, facilitating, or with her defense. She can be a terror on ball defender. Baylor is at home. Home court advantage can't be overlooked. If Hartley/MoJeff/Banks don't move their feet and slap at Sims as she tries to penetrate the paint, foul trouble will follow!

If we keep Sims in check but her teammates hit shots with her feeding them, again, a close game.

It's gonna be a good one I think!

I think Sims gets 30 but UCONN gets the victory in a close one 72-63!
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Just a few questions.

1. Who guards Stewart?
2. Who guards KML?
3. How many Uconn players can Sims guard?
4. Do you think Uconn will leave the other players open?
5. How many points are you giving for home court?
6. Has this Baylor team seen anything close to a good team besides an overrated Kentucky team?
 
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rocky rococo said:
UConn 77, Baylor 70, Sims 33.
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I think you're suggesting that UConn has forgotten how to play defense. I can't even imagine the Huskies giving up close to 70 points to anyone with the POSSIBLE exception of Notre Dame and I think that would be with significant odds of even the Irish doing that. How many weapons does Baylor have? Who has Baylor played that is any good defensively???? Not a chance for them scoring 70 points IMHO.
 
@Buzzyboy: I have to laugh that I'm now being castigated for not predicting "big enough" UConn victories. I recommend chicken wings and Rolling Rock, for mojo. To the point: Completing a defensive possession includes securing a defensive rebound. Giving up offensive rebounds on more than 30% of the possible chances, which the Huskies have done routinely this year, even against utterly outmatched opponents like Houston, is not good defense in the sense of completing defensive possessions. Outside the Temple game, this number has been steadily getting worse as the season has progressed. They've been fortunate that the UCFs and Houstons don't have the talent to take advantage of that weakness. Baylor IMO does. Are you even aware of these numbers? Or the significance of an OR allowed stat of over 30%?
 
rocky rococo said:
@Buzzyboy: I have to laugh that I'm now being castigated for not predicting "big enough" UConn victories. I recommend chicken wings and Rolling Rock, for mojo. To the point: Completing a defensive possession includes securing a defensive rebound. Giving up offensive rebounds on more than 30% of the possible chances, which the Huskies have done routinely this year, even against utterly outmatched opponents like Houston, is not good defense in the sense of completing defensive possessions. Outside the Temple game, this number has been steadily getting worse as the season has progressed. They've been fortunate that the UCFs and Houstons don't have the talent to take advantage of that weakness. Baylor IMO does. Are you even aware of these numbers? Or the significance of an OR allowed stat of over 30%?
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The women are shooting 50.5% so there aren't a lot of offensive rebounds to be had.

Shots - 1086
Shots made - 548
O rebounds - 212

So 760 (70%) of the shots are either made baskets or O rebounds. Sounds OK to me.
 
HuskyNan said:
The women are shooting 50.5% so there aren't a lot of offensive rebounds to be had.

Shots - 1086
Shots made - 548
O rebounds - 212

So 760 (70%) of the shots are either made baskets or O rebounds. Sounds OK to me.
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Rocky is talking about when other team shoots. He makes an interesting point although this hasn't kept us from blowing out teams much better than Baylor.
 
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Suebird10fan said:
Rocky is talking about when other team shoots. He makes an interesting point although this hasn't kept us from blowing out teams much better than Baylor.
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Oops - I claim coffee deficit!

UConn is ranked 16th in rebounding margin after playing 5 ranked teams including the #3, #4, and #6 ranked teams.
 
easttexastrash said:
I will be happy if Baylor keeps the margin under 20, but I don't think they can. UCONN will win by 25 - 30.
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I see you're trying the old reverse karma thing. :cool:
 
rocky rococo said:
To the point: Completing a defensive possession includes securing a defensive rebound. Giving up offensive rebounds on more than 30% of the possible chances, which the Huskies have done routinely this year, even against utterly outmatched opponents like Houston, is not good defense in the sense of completing defensive possessions. Outside the Temple game, this number has been steadily getting worse as the season has progressed. They've been fortunate that the UCFs and Houstons don't have the talent to take advantage of that weakness. Baylor IMO does. Are you even aware of these numbers? Or the significance of an OR allowed stat of over 30%?
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2013-14 29.2%
2012-13 30.5%
2011-12 31.2%
2010-11 28.4%
2009-10 29.0%
2008-09 31.9%

This year

Temple 45.8%
Houston 27.3%
Memphis 33.3%
UCF 35.9%
Cinncinatti 22.2%

Yes, the last 5 games, Uconn has given up more offensive rebounds than previous games. And 45.8 against Temple was a horrible number. But looking at other games, that was a true outlier. They are right on track for around 30% this year.

If this is the stat hook you are having you prediction hat on, I don't think Uconn has to worry. They won championships averaging over 30% in 2012-13 and 2008-09.
 
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rocky rococo said:
@Buzzyboy: I have to laugh that I'm now being castigated for not predicting "big enough" UConn victories.
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I have to laugh at your prediction. This isn't Stanford or Duke we are playing. This is a team on level with Kentucky, who lost to Duke, Florida and S. Carolina.

Granted anything can happen, but it would be a huge (huge) upset if Baylor were to win, and a very unexpected thing if they stayed within 10-15 (a huge moral victory). I would expect 20-25.

I'll g0 80-57.
 
doggydaddy said:
2013-14 29.2%
2012-13 30.5%
2011-12 31.2%
2010-11 28.4%
2009-10 29.0%
2008-09 31.9%

This year

Temple 45.8%
Houston 27.3%
Memphis 33.3%
UCF 35.9%
Cinncinatti 22.2%

Yes, the last 5 games, Uconn has given up more offensive rebounds than previous games. And 45.8 against Temple was a horrible number. But looking at other games, that was a true outlier. They are right on track for around 30% this year.

If this is the stat hook you are having you prediction hat on, I don't think Uconn has to worry. They won championships averaging over 30% in 2012-13 and 2008-09.
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DD Check the UCF game stats. ESPN has UCF with only 10 off rebs. But that's besides the point. RR is looking at stats from the Houston game where UConn won by 50 and was up 33 at halftime or the Temple game they won by 44. Does a statistical analysis of such a lopsided game mean anything ? Look at the OR stats against the last 2 ranked teams (Duke and California) they played. Both are under 30% I believe. So, tell us RR. What is the Significance of a OR above 30% for UConn ?
 
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jdubct said:
Uconn wins 78-62. Sims scores 30.
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Baylor comes out over-amped. The adrenaline wears off quickly as UConn begins a basketball clinic and shuts the Waco crowd down early.

Sims will do her best ND impression - driving the lane and lunging into defenders attempting to draw fouls. Depending on the officiating crew, they may bite and accommodate her early on, but UConn's talent at all positions will wear them down and out. A 10 point lead goes to 20, 20 to 30 and then it's cruise control time.

Huskies 82 vs. Lady Bears 35 + Sims 22
 
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doggydaddy said:
Possibly the dumbest prediction I've ever seen.
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Malfunctioning sarcasm detector observed.
 
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