I like your post. I like what you're trying to say but it’s as you say "I'll believe it when I see it. "
Can I ask you a few questions?
1-- You've seen what Anna did last year as a shooter and you saw what CWill did as a frosh- however as far as what are you projecting with Saylor in which you have seen very little I assume.-- What is your projection for shooting the 3 going forward with CWill and Anna in which you have seen a lot?
2-- We had a bit of a disagreement with Nika and overall the game a bit -a while back. One thing I think is that imo slow players (I am not arguing if she is slow or not – but if she was) can still be really good. As long as they aren't excessively so. You came back and asked me "Would Geno recruit a slow player from so far away?"
So in this case I'd like to ask in a similar manner a question to you but more of the rating system and quality of opponent. Here it goes—
"Do you really think as a general rule with Saylor's athleticism, how she handles the ball, and her passing, and she also looks very strong, and her probable knowledge of the game, if she were a knockdown sharpshooter in which we've read that her competition in H/S wasn't the greatest --- then – wouldn’t she have had more prolific stats along with a much, much higher consensus rating if she were a sharpshooter with her size and athleticism vs her h/s opponents? She would completely overwhelm them to such a degree that wouldn’t she be thought of as KLS (KLS was a number 1 recruit yet Saylor is at best 7 with 10 ratings and higher?)? At least KLS was going against strong competition. IMO you wouldn’t be “wondering what Saylor’s 3 pt shooting stats were if she was also a knockdown sharpshooter.” You’d already know she was super elite and her ranking wouldn’t be like it is – imo.
**So more than likely she is a “good shooter” not great. So your expectation for Anna is not “better than good” going forward? And have you lost complete confidence that CWill can become good going forward? She’s the former number 1 recruit that will never show herself to be a good shooter yet Saylor who you haven’t seen much (I assume) – you have confidence that she is?
Thanks for your reply Hoop and I do appreciate the discussion. My reply to your points as follows:
1. Anna can shoot, do doubt. She has a bad propensity for being very streaky. I am very high on Anna's prospects as a shooter going forward and as a player/contributor, especially since we have really good passers on the team like PB and EW for instance, not to mention NM.
CW is an enigma to me. I thought by now she would be able to get what she wants anytime she wants. Her instincts seem to be off. If I was too guess, she is trying so hard to please GA and do the right thing, that she it is screwing her mind up. She can shoot and play and I hope she works her way out of it. I'm still confident in her, but not nearly as much as I once was. Again, PB helps to get CW going I hope.
It's true I have seen little of Saylor. As I mentioned, I've only seen clips and those can be deceiving. I'd really like to know what her percentage from 3 is. From the little I've seen, she can shoot and creates her shot from 3 which is very unusual. I am very hopeful she can at minimum provide us with a 3 point shooter with at least 35% plus percentage. If she reaches 40%, I will be extremely happy. I think she has a chance to do this and therefore a good chance to help us come later march.
2. The thing with being slow in todays game, is that if you don't have a compensating quality like size, length, etc., then you really have little chance of success. NM may not be extremely quick, but I don't think she is slow. She looks above average to me. But, time will tell as she has played I think one game (18 minutes) at full strength - and her movement looked good in those 18 minutes. I'm really excited to see what she can do. Her lack of shooting may hold her back but I get the feeling GA really likes her. Problem is that she has PB in front of her.....
I don't know what Saylor's stats were or her quality of competition. I am puzzled at her lower rating by some but this is not something I focus too much on. I think ratings may be accurate for the top few players and then say 5-25 can be in a variety of orders. I've heard she is as high as 6 by some, but again, I just don't have the time to look at this and make my own list of where she should be. I do think there are inherent limitations in the rankings with favoritism and just difference of opinion. There are so many variables also (level of competition is one you mention), so it makes it impossible outside of the top 3-4 players everybody seems to agree on.