I always look at our opponent's record and recent results. SJU is in the middle of the pack for the BE, but on the lower end along with Providence. Seton Hall would be the other "middle of the pack" team IMHO and they are at 10-8 in the conference vs. 7-10 for SJU.
I don't know if SJU had injuries, but they went thru a dreadful stretch where the lost 8 in a row. They are 5-2 in their last 7 games with losses to teams above them and wins vs. teams below them. UCONN beat them by 18 a few weeks back, but we were without Azzi and Christyn.
I think we are playing better for longer stretches, and for sure we are more healthy. SJU has some talent, but I think a MOV of 35 or so...
UCONN 84
SJU 49