Predicting the committee 16

[Plebe]

A few mild surprises to me. I expected Oklahoma to be in the top 16, but they rocketed all the way to #9 overall. Texas drops like a rock from #7 to #15.

These are justifiable decisions based on resumes, but as in other years I fee that their decision-making rationales are not consistent from one reveal to the next.

 

[Vowelguy]

VG got the top 4 and 15 of the 16. ND is in instead of Florida.

We are in Bridgeport as a 3, with NC State, Michigan, and Texas.

.

Actually I got the top 6 but who’s counting ?

 

[Scooter]

Michigan #2 in Bridgeport lost tonight to Michigan State. And North Carolina State won in overtime against Boston College. Bridgeport as currently configured would be a good for the Huskies.

 

[Topdawg]

#4 Michigan goes down. That should add to the fun. NCState just got through in overtime. That could have easily been a loss for them. Exciting season!

 

[MSGRET]

How far does Michigan fall with its loss to Michigan State, a team that lost to Minn (#78 Massey), Purdue (#60 Massey), West Virginia (#78 Massey), Fordham (#74 Massey), and St. Francis BK (#243 Massey)? They also didn't have 3 of their top 4 players sitting out either.

 

[visitingcock]

1. SC
2. Stan
3. NC St
4. Lou
5. Mich
6. Ariz
7. Iowa St
8. Bay
9. Indiana
10. UConn
11. Tenn
12. Okla
13. Tex
14. Fla
15. LSU
16. Ore

1. South Carolina, 2. Stanford, 3. NC State, 4. Louisville, 5. Michigan 6. Arizona, 7. Iowa State, 8. Indiana, 9. Oklahoma, 10. Baylor, 11. UConn, 12. Tennessee, 13. LSU, 14. Notre Dame, 15. Texas and 16. Oregon.

Well, I got the first 7 in order.

Out of all entries regardless of order, I got 15 outta' 16. I had Florida instead of Notre Dame. (SEC homer)

 

[GoChips20]

How far does Michigan fall with its loss to Michigan State, a team that lost to Minn (#78 Massey), Purdue (#60 Massey), West Virginia (#78 Massey), Fordham (#74 Massey), and St. Francis BK (#243 Massey)? They also didn't have 3 of their top 4 players sitting out either.

It’s a relatively quiet in-state WBB rivalry on the national stage, but MSU has had Michigan’s number more often than not in the last few years (or at least it seems that way). Hillmon had a good game but this is not a good loss for Michigan.

 

[Plebe]

I literally had Notre Dame as my #16 in my first draft, but upon further close review of the resumes, I really felt that Georgia still had an ever-so-slightly better resume than ND.

Both teams have a marquee win over NC State, but with the critical difference that GA beat them in Raleigh, while ND's win was at home.

FWIW Georgia also has a win over ND on a neutral court.

Georgia has more Quad 1 wins (7 vs. 5), although they did take a Quad 2 loss at home to Florida earlier this week. However, I don't consider ND's losses to Boston College and Florida State to be any better than that, though technically in Quad 1.

 

[visitingcock]

I literally had Notre Dame as my #16 in my first draft, but upon further close review of the resumes, I really felt that Georgia still had an ever-so-slightly better resume than ND.

Both teams have a marquee win over NC State, but with the critical difference that GA beat them in Raleigh, while ND's win was at home.

FWIW Georgia also has a win over ND on a neutral court.

Georgia has more Quad 1 wins (7 vs. 5), although they did take a Quad 2 loss at home to Florida earlier this week. However, I don't consider ND's losses to Boston College and Florida State to be any better than that, though technically in Quad 1.

Hard for me to consider Florida as a Quad 2 loss at this point in time
.

 

[MSGRET]

Wonder how far AZ falls after it's loss to AZ St, they play again this Sunday @AZ.

 

[visitingcock]

Wonder how far AZ falls after it's loss to AZ St, they play again this Sunday @AZ.

Rivalry Quad 1 loss Shouldn’t hurt much - IF Az wins the rematch. Two losses to AZSt would hurt them.

 

[southie]

Folks need to realize that just about every team is gonna lose one or more games going forward; so, trying to figure out how far one team drops after a loss is really impossible unless you want to figure which other teams lost, which ones won, etc. during a specific time period.

 

[Plebe]

Folks need to realize that just about every team is gonna lose one or more games going forward; so, trying to figure out how far one team drops after a loss is really impossible unless you want to figure which other teams lost, which ones won, etc. during a specific time period.

This x100.

This isn't like following the daily ups and downs of the stock market. Fans have a severe tendency toward recency bias with every game (especially if it's an upset), but by the time selection day rolls around, each data point will be but one small piece of the overall body of work.

 

[ConnMotors]

South Carolina -- Arizona -- Michigan -- Texas
Stanford -- Baylor -- LSU -- Maryland
Louisville -- Indiana -- Tennessee -- Notre Dame
NC State -- Iowa St -- UConn -- Ohio State

 

[southie]

South Carolina -- Arizona -- Michigan -- Texas
Stanford -- Baylor -- LSU -- Maryland
Louisville -- Indiana -- Tennessee -- Notre Dame
NC State -- Iowa St -- UConn -- Ohio State

You omitted Oklahoma . . .

 

[ConnMotors]

You omitted Oklahoma . . .

THEY LOST

 

[southie]

THEY LOST

You think the #9 team losing to the #15 team drops them out of the Top 16 seeds? Get real.

As Creme stated during halftime of the TX/OU game on Saturday night, OU has 5 wins against Top 25 NET teams, and 7 wins against Top 50 NET teams. That is third or fourth most in the country.

 

[visitingcock]

South Carolina -- Arizona -- Michigan -- Texas
Stanford -- Baylor -- LSU -- Maryland
Louisville -- Indiana -- Tennessee -- Notre Dame
NC State -- Iowa St -- UConn -- Ohio State

I would enjoy that Sweet 16 matchup.

 

[ConnMotors]

You think the #9 team losing to the #15 team drops them out of the Top 16 seeds? Get real.

As Creme stated during halftime of the TX/OU game on Saturday night, OU has 5 wins against Top 25 NET teams, and 7 wins against Top 50 NET teams. That is third or fourth most in the country.

I'm am Oklahoma fan too and would love for them to stay in the Top-16. But other teams are on a roll to. Ohio State is winning and Maryland should have been included. Maybe to many ACC teams. We'll find out soon enough

 

[southie]

I'm am Oklahoma fan too and would love for them to stay in the Top-16. But other teams are on a roll to. Ohio State is winning and Maryland should have been included. Maybe to many ACC teams. We'll find out soon enough

I came back to give you props since OU has now lost 2 games in a row, including last night's upset loss at home to Texas Tech (Q3 loss). With Maryland surging, perhaps you'll end up being right in the end. The committee was definitely impressed with OU's wins (based on seeding them #9 last week); so, it will be interesting to see how recent outcomes impact the next reveal.

 

[Ralph]

I would enjoy that Sweet 16 matchup.

Me too, after last night's smackdown. What the heck happened to them. I thought were a very good team. Did they lose some players to injuries/sickness, or just a bad night, or there were never really that good???

 

[ConnMotors]

I came back to give you props since OU has now lost 2 games in a row, including last night's upset loss at home to Texas Tech (Q3 loss). With Maryland surging, perhaps you'll end up being right in the end. The committee was definitely impressed with OU's wins (based on seeding them #9 last week); so, it will be interesting to see how recent outcomes impact the next reveal.

Please my friend this is all good. We had Indiana loosing as well. Michigan now twice. Baylor will be moving up. Iowa State tumbling. I really want UConn to stay a #3 Seed. Arizona doesn't have any ranked teams left on their schedule just like UC. So they may move up. Maryland is in great position to move up to a #2 Seed. They still have Ohio State, Michigan and Indiana on their slate. Can you say Ouch!!!

 

[chrissaran]

How is UConn behind Tenn when they pasted them? No logic to that order. UConn has dealt with their issues, not always great at times, but no way Tenn should be ahead of them. Also, Olivia is dealing with a strained groin. Not as serious as a pulled groin, but groins are not day-to-day.

 

[Plebe]

I'm noticing that the 5-9 range of the committee's latest reveal of 2/10 has become a soft spot, with all of these teams faltering to some degree. The committee may or may not end up cutting Michigan and Indiana some slack for their injured players (depending on whether they come back).

Reveal ranking on 2/10​	Wins since 2/10​	Losses since 2/10​
1. S. Carolina	at Kentucky, 59-50 at Georgia, 72-54	--
2. Stanford	Utah, 91-64 Colorado, 63-46	--
3. NC State	at Boston C., 85-78 OT at Duke, 77-62	--
4. Louisville	Notre Dame, 73-47	--
5. Michigan	--	at Michigan St, 57-63 at Northwestern, 69-71 2OT
6. Arizona	Arizona St, 62-58	at Arizona St, 77-81
7. Iowa State	at TCU, 93-70	at Texas, 48-73
8. Indiana	Michigan St, 76-58	at Nebraska, 55-72
9. Oklahoma	--	at Texas, 63-78 Texas Tech, 87-97
10. Baylor	W. Virginia, 75-57 TCU, 80-55	--
11. UConn	DePaul, 84-60 at Marquette, 72-58	--
12. Tennessee	Missouri, 76-62 Vanderbilt, 66-52	--
13. LSU	Georgia, 73-67 at Texas A&M, 74-58	--
14. Notre Dame	Miami, 69-53	at Louisville, 47-73
15. Texas	Oklahoma, 78-63 Iowa State, 73-48	--
16. Oregon	at Oregon St, 74-66 UCLA, 67-53	Oregon St, 62-68

 

[triaddukefan]