Look, some of you guys are fiercely loyal to KO and, partially, that is due to your respect for JC. I get it and it is admirable. But, seriously, the university and this program is bigger than one man. It is even bigger than the man who built the program. Calhoun was clearly a great coach but that doesn't mean he is great a picking a successor. It is similar to why great players don't always make great coaches. In fact, they rarely do.
As someone mentioned, we finished 6th in this conference the last two years and now we are looking at 7th. People can't use the "crappy" conference as an excuse for our inability to land the same players Duke and Kentucky can land (or Kansas and UNC for that matter...or even Arizona) but then say it is OK to finish 6th or 7th in that crappy conference...over and over again. And since when did 20 wins become the measuring stick? Context doesn't matter? I am sorry but 20 wins, given how many games we play against weak teams in and out of conference, is simply not good enough. When the dust settles, what matters is how well did we do in our conference and in the regular season and where are we ranked when all the games are done? The first part matters because it determines whether or not we make the tournament and what our seed will be. The second part matters because it is the final impression that our team left in the minds of the sports world and recruits.
2014/2015:
Finished 6th in the AAC. Missed the NCAAs. Finished 80th in the Sagarins with a final record of 20-15. That was behind other 20 win powerhouses like Georgia State, George Washington, Green Bay and Harvard.
2015/2016:
Finished 6th in the AAC. Round of 32 in the NCAAs. Finished 25th in the Sagarins with a final record of 25-11. Again, not a "bad" season but marginal enough that we didn't finished ranked by the AP or USA Today.
2016/2017:
Currently 7th in the AAC. Unlikely to make the NCAAs. Currently 93rd in the Sagarins with a record of 6-11 behind...oh, never mind.
We all know Calhoun had seasons worse than 2015/2016. But how bad did it get and for how long?
I am searching for the old Sagarin data but here are the final AP poll results in Calhoun's tenure:
1987 Unranked (Missed NCAAs)
1988 Unranked (Missed NCAAs, won NIT)
1989 Unranked (Missed NCAAs)
1990 3rd (Elite 8)
1991 Unranked (Sweet 16)
1992 Unranked (Round of 32)
1993 Unranked (Missed NCAAs)
1994 4th (Sweet 16)
1995 8th (Elite 8)
1996 3rd (Sweet 16)
1997 Unranked (Missed NCAAs)
1998 6th (Elite 8)
1999 3rd (National Champions)
2000 20th (Round of 32)
2001 Unranked (Missed NCAAs)
2002 10th (Elite 8)
2003 23rd (Sweet 16)
2004 7th (National Champions)
2005 13th (Round of 32)
2006 2nd (Elite 8)
2007 Unranked (Missed NCAAs)
2008 16th (One and done)
2009 5th (Final Four)
2010 Unranked (Missed NCAAs)
2011 9th (National Champions)
2012 Unranked (One and done)
Obviously we need to keep this in perspective. Calhoun came in with head coaching experience so he was probably further up the learning curve when he came to UConn. On the other hand, Calhoun built a great program from dust whereas Ollie was handed a...Ferrari. Hard to say which is harder. Start with nothing but start with experience or take over a great program with little experience. But one can see a few things from the Calhoun era. Even though he got off to a slow start, he never went 4 years straight without finishing ranked somewhere in the AP poll. And, after his third season, he never missed the NCAAs twice in a row.
Ollie is now in his 5th year. He has also never missed the NCAAs twice in a row. And he coached us to a national championship. Those are both great and have earned him some credibility and patience. But it looks like we will finish this year unranked for the third year in a row and we will miss the NCAAs. It looks like we will also finish in the middle of a crappy conference for the third year in a row. And he did win the championship with Calhoun's players. And the trend is in the wrong direction. Is that enough to justify being placed on the hot seat for next year? Some say yes. Some say no. But consider that, if we finish unranked again next year and we fail to make the NCAAs again next year, he will do two things that Calhoun never did, once the program was established. Finish unranked four straight years and miss the NCAAs in back-to-back years. Is justified to make a change, if that were to happen? Some say yes. some say no. For me, I don't think it is unreasonable to ask for a Top 25 finish and a trip to the NCAAs next year. No one is saying he needs to make it to the final four. But the sanctions will be firmly in the rear view mirror next year and everyone has been excited about the last three recruiting classes (including this year's) so it seems reasonable to expect the team to show significant life next year. So, for me, I am in favor of the hot seat for next year. Why? Because, to me, that means the administration is looking into options should next year be another bad to mediocre season. That seems prudent. It doesn't mean they HAVE to change the coach at the end of next year but that they are prepared to do something should it be a total disaster. If next year turns out to be mediocre, but similar to 2015/2016, maybe he gets yet another year to show a positive trend for two years running. I see two reasonable opinions on this but a lot of people being unreasonable in their respect for the opposite opinion.