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I think he likes the term Legal Guru...He's a legal expert now, guys.
I think he likes the term Legal Guru...He's a legal expert now, guys.
So, any school leaving the Big 12 will forfeit/pay the league about HALF a Billion $$$. And Maryland (remember the ACC modeled their GoR after the Big 12) paid less than 50 Million. I'm sure that one will hold up in court.![]()
I actually think that the language being used to suggest that the clause is not punative provides an argument to defeat it. The damages are not quantifiable "at this time" language may open the door to the argument that things have changed since that time and that the need for a GOR laspes once these damges become quantifiable.
My interpretation (not an attorney but have scoured business contracts for nearly 35 years) is that the damages part of the agreement potentially leaves the door open for a school to walk away freely. The B-12 (as a ten member conference) will have to replace the departing school almost immediately (without question before an agreement on departure fees can be reached). That school could then require the B-12 to demonstrate (prove) what actual damages the conference incurred by replacing school A with school B (if it is a case similar to the ACC losing Maryland and gaining Louisville, it would be difficult to argue that the conference lost anything).
It would be very risky for a school to leave in the hope that things would play out that way. Suppose Kansas went to the B1G with UConn in the hope things would play out that way; then ESPN and Fox void the TV contract, Texas, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State jump to SEC or Pac or ACC/independent, and the rump of the conference sues Kansas for damages. It could be a huge damage award.
The Big East got raided to the point where espn now pays it, renamed the AAC, jack squat.One explanation is here:
In 2003, the Big East is raided for two of its name brand schools, and a regionally significant school. The Big East added some lesser brands, and their media partners did not reduce their ongoing media deal. 2010, the Big 12 lost 2 schools in Colorado and Nebraska, did not replace those schools, and the Big 12 lost a significant amount of content (1/6th) in football and basketball. The Big 12's media partners did not reduce the payout on existing contracts but actually negotiated for more money on an expiring one. 2011, Texas A&M and Missouri left, the Big 12 replaced them with less valuable TV properties in TCU and WVU, and neither ESPN or FOX required a reduction in the payout to the Big 12. 2012, Maryland leaves the ACC for the Big 10, ACC replaces them with a less valuable media property. Not a single word is mentioned about a reduced payout for the ACC.
Networks, and one specifically, won't reduce the amount they pay to the conferences because it would violate their fiduciary duties to the conferences. Because one network (ESPN) has a hand in every league's media deal (except new Big East if it even exists) it can't in good faith pay one league more for raiding one league, then reducing its payout to league that was raided.
http://www.foxsports.com/college-fo...ge/myth-of-the-big-12s-grant-of-rights-010313
What happens again if TX, KS, OK, and TECH split and the Big 12 dissolves due to depletion? Would Kansas State as a member of the AAC or MW get to sue those who left? There would be no more GOR since there would be no Big 12. GOR's are only words on paper, me thinks.
More likely, the top 4-6 AAC/MWC/WCC schools (from us, Cincy, Memphis, SMU, UCF, ECU, CSU, BYU, Boise St.) get pulled into the Big 12. Much better branding, even without the marquee schools. A Big 12 featuring UConn, Cincy, WVU, UCF, SMU, Iowa State, K-State, OK State, Baylor, TCU, CSU, and BYU is more valuable than those schools called anything else.
Nah. The Big 12 would ultimately lose its "P5" status so some if not all of the remaining Big 12 programs would find homes in other P4 conferences. Bringing up programs from C-USA didn't help the Big East and likely wouldn't help the Big 12.More likely, the top 4-6 AAC/MWC/WCC schools (from us, Cincy, Memphis, SMU, UCF, ECU, CSU, BYU, Boise St.) get pulled into the Big 12. Much better branding, even without the marquee schools. A Big 12 featuring UConn, Cincy, WVU, UCF, SMU, Iowa State, K-State, OK State, Baylor, TCU, CSU, and BYU is more valuable than those schools called anything else.
Nah. The Big 12 would ultimately lose its "P5" status so some if not all of the remaining Big 12 programs would find homes in other P4 conferences. Bringing up programs from C-USA didn't help the Big East and likely wouldn't help the Big 12.
But none of those programs are elite, and without at least one elite program, the conference is not a player. Those programs are certainly good enough to get recruited by one of the 4 remaining power conferences. I think if there is any movement at all from P5 to P5, the current 65 teams will eventually be split among 4 conferences.It's possible, but both the starting point and the pool you're drawing from are stronger in that case, and it's not like all of those schools have other options anyway. Baylor and TCU are both top-10 in RPI, K-State was #14, Boise was #19. I'd have a hard time seeing them taking the autobid from a conference with teams like that, and with a median RPI in the 30s somewhere.
But none of those programs are elite, and without at least one elite program, the conference is not a player. Those programs are certainly good enough to get recruited by one of the 4 remaining power conferences. I think if there is any movement at all from P5 to P5, the current 65 teams will eventually be split among 4 conferences.
Texas, FSU, Ohio State, Alabama, USC...I don't consider TCU elite. That's just my perception anyway. Programs like Texas are elite even when they suck.How do you define elite? Top-10 doesn't qualify? TCU was #5 in RPI last year.
How about this: take the leftovers from that league, add UConn, Cincy, Memphis, UCF, SMU, BYU, Colorado State, and Boise State. That's a 14-team league, the same as the B1G and the ACC (for football). That league ranks higher than the B1G or ACC by both average and mean RPI in both football and basketball last year.
It would be very risky for a school to leave in the hope that things would play out that way. Suppose Kansas went to the B1G with UConn in the hope things would play out that way; then Texas and Oklahoma, planning to leave, refuse to add a 10th team back; ESPN and Fox void the TV contract; that eliminates the GoR and greatly reduces the buyout; Texas, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State jump to SEC or Pac or ACC/independent; and the rump of the conference has lost $22 mn per year forever, and sues Kansas for damages. It could be a huge damage award.
So, any school leaving the Big 12 will forfeit/pay the league about HALF a Billion $$$. And Maryland (remember the ACC modeled their GoR after the Big 12) paid less than 50 Million. I'm sure that one will hold up in court.![]()
This is merely an opinion but I believe that it would be far more risky for the B-12 to drag their feet on replacing a departing school (in hopes of gaining some windfall in damages from that school) than to expedite the replacement. The lost revenues of not being able to satisfy ESPN, Fox or whatever network is paying them nine figures for the right to broadcast their games easily outweigh whatever they could gain from the departing school if they chose not to replace that school.
The scenario that you are proposing, that no real effort will be made to continue the conference once the first school leaves, will pretty much make damages negligible as the remaining schools would then have demonstrated that there wasn't much worth holding onto. If the B-12 does not attempt to continue it won't hurt the school that departs, it will make it easier for them to leave without paying anything. Remaining in compliance with the TV contract is the B-12's responsibility, not the responsibility of any one member who is in the official process of departing the conference. Additionally, there is no way in hell that any judge would attempt to force a school (a state entity at that in the case of eight of the ten possible B-12 schools who would/could be the first to depart) to pay nine figures in damages to a conference that has no desire/makes no attempt to continue.Not for Texas or Oklahoma, maybe for Oklahoma State and a few others -- they could go to SEC, ACC/independent, or Pac and get a raise. They also have been talking to conferences and have a good idea what they could make on the open market. So for those valuable schools, the risk of letting the B12 fail is zero. It only frees themselves up to auction themselves off for more money.
The current B12 TV deal is voided if they don't maintain 10 members. If it is voided, the GoR expires and the buyout goes down. The remaining schools become de facto free agents.
The resistance to adding to 12 is partly driven by the unwillingness of Texas and Oklahoma and Kansas, who have options, to give the weak schools enough power to hem them in.
So their departure would leave maybe six schools who are harmed. They lose $22 mn per year. Who can they sue? Not Texas and Oklahoma -- once the GoR and the TV deal dissolved, they had no obligation to stay. It was Kansas's departure that led to the voiding of the TV deal and the loss of cash. Kansas would be sued and the liability would be potentially very large. (6 schools * $20 mn per year * N years).
The GoR is an "all for one, one for all" agreement. The first school to leave is the one that does all the damages, and would face all the liability.
How did he come up with $450 million? The by-laws refer to the "Buyout Amount (as defined below)" but that part isn't included in what he attached to his tweet, and the second attachment states that the "financial consequences... cannot be measured or estimated with certainty at this time".
How do you define elite? Top-10 doesn't qualify? TCU was #5 in RPI last year.
How about this: take the leftovers from that league, add UConn, Cincy, Memphis, UCF, SMU, BYU, Colorado State, and Boise State. That's a 14-team league, the same as the B1G and the ACC (for football). That league ranks higher than the B1G or ACC by both average and mean RPI in both football and basketball last year.
450 million was from the revised contract signed by all members.