I can’t see Buffalo getting into the B1G at all. Yes, UB is AAU and contiguous to the B1G footprint; but…
1) UB is #109 in the US News Ranking, which is behind everyone else in the B1G including Nebraska (#101)
2) UB offers no marquee sports
3) At best, UB offers the Buffalo (#52) and Rochester NY (#78) TV markets (New Haven/Hartford is #30) and have nearly no presence in NYC or any other major TV market, unless the B1G is trying to reach Toronto.
4) Western NY is not a recruiting hotbed for football (some lacrosse and soccer) and is facing a declining population
To get into the B1G, I believe that they need to hit more than just AAU and contiguous points. All three recent additions were contiguous. Nebraska is not AAU but offers a marquee football team, Maryland and Rutgers are AAU but offer DC (#8) and NYC (#1) TV markets plus they are both good recruiting states for football.
UConn, Kansas, Oklahoma, Virginia, etc. all offer a lot more than UB, and that is not a slap to UB at all, just a fact.
1. USNews gets all the SUNY's horribly wrong. Don't really know why. Not sure the state really cares either.
Look at this:
https://www.google.com/search?q=U+b...s=org.mozilla:en-US:official&client=firefox-a
Acceptance rate is decent, SATs are around 1200, research budget is just under $400 million, 30,000 students, AAU school.
Whatever USNews is doing, it's doing it wrong. This probably has everything to do with reputation and guidance counselors nationally. USNews will have a piddling school like Clemson ranked high, whereas a school with much higher ranked departments and resources ranked low. I can't really explain it. This is similar to the way that U. Rochester is somehow not well known by guidance counselors (22.5% of the score) but very well known by academics. Maybe western NY is just a hinterland out of the national consciousness.
3. You're right about the small market, and it's not going to grow. For pro sports, the market is much bigger. You have to consider that the market for Conn. is much bigger because it's a two hour drive from one end of the market (northeast) to the other (New London), whereas the Buffalo market is 30 minutes north to the Canadian border (I can do it in 20) and 30 minutes south (i.e. a 1 hour drive north to south), and it only goes 30 minutes east. I commuted to Rochester 60 miles away for a few years. You add that DMA, and things change. But this is only relevant for a pro market since college sports aren't big up here. As well, 20% of the pro sports market in Buffalo comes from Ontario (I only use the Sabres and Bills season ticket base as an example).
4. Western NY is a huge recruiting hotbed for hockey. That's the main sport up here.
5. UB is not committed to growing its sports. All this talk is a fantasy.
As for USNews, these are the schools it gets badly wrong, up or down:
SHOULD GO DOWN AT LEAST +15
1. Miami
2. Yeshiva
3. Northeastern
4. Fordham
5. BYU
6. Clemson
7. Baylor
8. Clark
9. Marquette
10. Miami, OH (I'm convinced people think this is Miami, FL)
11. Delaware
12. TCU
13. Vermont
Q: Why is Marquette national but Villanova or RIT regional?
UPS BY 15 AT LEAST:
1. Colorado
2. Cal Santa Cruz
3. UMass
4. Binghamton
5. Buffalo
6. Missouri
7. Loyola
8. NC State
9. Kansas
10. Oklahoma
11. Iowa State
12. Oregon
13. Arizona
14. Temple
15. Illinois-Chicago
16. Ohio U.
17. Cincinnati
Most of these schools should be ahead of the downs above.