No Question We’re In Now…Is a 7 or 6 Seed In Reach?

[HooperScooper]

Jerry Palm is officially a clown...updated Bracketology this morning still has Marquette as a 5 seed, Creighton as a 8 seed & UConn still a 9 seed.

I'll chalk it up to complete laziness. Of the 3 teams UConn has the best Q1 & Q2 combined at 12-8, Marq 11-8 & Creighton 10-9. Marquette is ahead of UConn, but UConn has passed Creighton at this point. UConn should be an 8 seed or better on all brackets right now.

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I think that's from yesterday. Updated today he has UConn the 2nd 8 seed. So within sniffing distance of a 7 seed.

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[RuffRuff]

I think that's from yesterday. Updated today he has UConn the 2nd 8 seed. So within sniffing distance of a 7 seed.

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I can smell it, the 7 line smells like the old gym floor at the Fieldhouse blended with mushroom & onion DP Dough.

Based on this, of the next 5-6 teams under us playing this weekend, we'd love a Kansas loss at home to Zona. Everyone else is playing crud. Creighton we can get in the tourney.

I'll take Houston of all the 1s if we are stuck there. Ideally want a 2 playing either Big10 team. I'll also take Drake to slow Marquette into a delirium and win that 12/5.

 

[Hi-Low]

I think that's from yesterday. Updated today he has UConn the 2nd 8 seed. So within sniffing distance of a 7 seed.

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That's Palm's 2nd update today, the one I posted was also dated 3/6....he must have heard me and fixed his errors

 

[bendm]

Ideally want a 2 playing either Big10 team

Please please please let us get a 7 seed with either 2 seed MSU or Wisconsin in the second round

 

[gsmooth]

Please please please let us get a 7 seed with either 2 seed MSU or Wisconsin in the second round

I wouldn't mind Iowa State either.

 

[RuffRuff]

I wouldn't mind Iowa State either.

They’re a 4 at this point, but have looked really meh. Makes me wonder if TJ has a foot out.

 

[gsmooth]

They’re a 4 at this point, but have looked really meh. Makes me wonder if TJ has a foot out.

I am little slow and one or two weeks back when they were a #2. That's right they lost to BYU, Houston, and Ok. State.

As for TJ, I know he has been rumored for the IU job, do you think he will take it? IU is still a big brand, but that is a high pressure cooker job inside of a fishbowl.

 

[RuffRuff]

I am little slow and one or two weeks back when they were a #2. That's right they lost to BYU, Houston, and Ok. State.

As for TJ, I know he has been rumored for the IU job, do you think he will take it? IU is still a big brand, but that is a high pressure cooker job inside of a fishbowl.

Hard to know - I’d think if he’s offered he takes. ISU is an ok job and I know he has roots there, but hard to recruit there and he won’t get nearly the NIL. As a young guy that’s really peaked, this feels like a chance he couldn’t give up if it came his way.

 

[HooperScooper]

That's Palm's 2nd update today, the one I posted was also dated 3/6....he must have heard me and fixed his errors

Funny he updates it more than once a day. It's not like there were any games to take into account between this morning and this afternoon.

 

[AntG168]

Watching Michigan St Vs Iowa and these teams are SLOW

 

[HuskyHawk]

Is this saying we are dangerous or just that we underachieved?

I feel like I have a decent handle on the danger upside of this team against the field at this point and it's highly dependent on multiple factors coming together at once, that of which hasn't happened yet this season. Is it possible? Sure why not. Hope is what makes fans bubble. Is Hurley that masterful that he stokes it on the very back end of the season? Perhaps we'll see. That's why they play the games.

Evan says that teams that are talented and underachieved tend to do play closer to their talent in the tournament. I think our 2023 team is an example. We’d probably be expected to be more dangerous than our seed suggests.

 

[Umami Zen]

Question for ratings/seedings gurus for our Tournament resume.. Does the margin of victory vs Seton Hall on Sat move the needle at all for us? Say a 25 pt margin W vs a 5 pt margin W? Or does Seton Hall's lowly BE status diminish any impact of a high margin W even though they've beaten us once? Asking to see if we're looking for anything on Sat other than just a W or that our remaining resume leverage will come out of our BET opponents resume status and our BET performance. Thx

 

[pepband99]

Question for ratings/seedings gurus for our Tournament resume.. Does the margin of victory vs Seton Hall on Sat move the needle at all for us? Say a 25 pt margin W vs a 5 pt margin W? Or does Seton Hall's lowly BE status diminish any impact of a high margin W even though they've beaten us once? Asking to see if we're looking for anything on Sat other than just a W or that our remaining resume leverage will come out of our BET opponents resume status and our BET performance. Thx

Probably not.

Example - kenpom metrics suggest an 18 point win. Even a massive blowout probably doesn't move the needle that much.

Anything close or worse is more impactful.

 

[Umami Zen]

Probably not.

Example - kenpom metrics suggest an 18 point win. Even a massive blowout probably doesn't move the needle that much.

Anything close or worse is more impactful.

Confirms what I thought

 

[ctbro1999]

Right now, I’d say a 7 and trending up. They don’t profile like an 8/9 seed. 5 Quad 1 wins is a lot.

Including 4 Q1-A wins (that's the same # of Q1-A wins as Puke).

 

[Kolumbo]

Pummel seton hall. That should bump UConn back into the top 25 or darn close.

 

[Matt1010]

Miss State plays @ Arkansas (should be small underdogs), Illinois gets Purdue @ Home (small favs) and Kansas gets Zona @ Home (small favs). Hopfully at least 2 of them take Ls

 

[Kolumbo]

We are dangerous.

That chart was confusing. It's like its set up to read right to left. Had to look at puke to get my bearings.

 

[gtcam]

It is what it is
Maui hurt UConn more than many think
At this point of the season, you are lucky to still be playing and have to beat whomever is in your way to the ultimate goal.
Seeding is BS - UConn could beat anybody on a great day and lose to anybody on a bad day.
Bring 'em on..................................

 

[giddyup]

Let's say we take care of Seton Hall on Saturday. We'd be 22-9. Now BET starts and we're the 3 so we play Villanova and win for 23-9. Next up is likely Creighton who is less scary anywhere than @ Creighton and we win for 24-9. We play St. John's and lose in a good one, 24-10.

While the committee tends not to care about conference tournaments they do consider:
1. Who wins the auto-bid (e.g., if Xavier runs the table they are in).
2. Is a team peaking or fading at this point in the season
3. Total wins, quality of them, Quad1, etc. Beating Villanova and Creighton helps more than losing to St. John's.

Bottom line is if this scenario plays out we are likely a 7.

Boy, that’s a lot of chicken counting before the eggs hatch.

 

[JB75]

U say the McNeeley injury and some weird close losses buys them one seed line. Metrics say 7, they will be a 6. Etc.

Yes. That as well. Every team has most likely had a bad close loss but I just think for once the committee might give us a little more credit. I don’t think we can get a 4 seed but if we do roll thru the next 4 games and beat Johnnie’s in the final - we wud get a 5. That wud be back to back champs riding a 7 game win streak going into NCAAs. And it’s a pretty weak year generally speaking. Imagine if we won that seton hall game, and 1 with mcneeley not hurt? Changes 2-3 seed lines. Crazy.

 

[homunculus]

I know it’s a silly hypothetical but just out of curiosity, any thoughts on what impact expunging that @ Seton Hall game would have on our seeding? After all, losing there meant absolutely nothing for the past two seasons’ prospects. (Wasn’t there once a website that allowed this kind of “what if” scenario?)

 

[ctbro1999]

It is what it is
Maui hurt UConn more than many think
At this point of the season, you are lucky to still be playing and have to beat whomever is in your way to the ultimate goal.
Seeding is BS - UConn could beat anybody on a great day and lose to anybody on a bad day.
Bring 'em on..................................

Yeah, if we at least beat Colorado, that's minus 1 to our "bad loss" total and we then would have played Iowa State, and even if they had clobbered us by 18 like Dayton did, it would have been less of a blow to our metrics as Iowa St is NET #9 vs Dayton's #70. We'd probably be a solid 7 or even a 6 right now if we had beat Colorado. But alas, we didn't...

 

[ctbro1999]

I know it’s a silly hypothetical but just out of curiosity, any thoughts on what impact expunging that @ Seton Hall game would have on our seeding? After all, losing there meant absolutely nothing for the past two seasons’ prospects.

Honestly think that loss is a 2 seed line penalty for us.

 

[HooperScooper]

Honestly think that loss is a 2 seed line penalty for us.

So you're saying UConn would be a 6 seed without that loss? I don't believe that. It was definitely a very bad loss, I still have a bad taste in my mouth over that game, but 1 game would be that much of a penalty? Any opinions on this?