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Barring the apocalypse, I think college basketball will exist long enough that you'll be able to build up a sufficiently large sample size.
Not sure what you're talking about. The point is that there is no "long run" with a kid like Newman, and for a "sample size" you only need to look at all those can't miss point guards that UConn whiffed on that didn't accomplish anything in their 9 months on a college campus.