NCAA tournament update

[sammydabiz]

From the numbers released the death rate out of Italy is close to 7% on confirmed cases. Please stop being a jackarse and joking about it.

Yes, confirmed cases... add in the thousands and thousands who have it (carry it) and have not been tested, that number goes down dramatically. C’mon guy you’re better than this.

 

[Leebo]

It doesn't even have to be 10 times deadlier than the flu to put a huge strain on the healthcare system, which would impact all people who need attention for critical issues.

 

[superjohn]

Yes, confirmed cases... add in the thousands and thousands who have it (carry it) and have not been tested, that number goes down dramatically. C’mon guy you’re better than this.

Exactly, way more people have it then we know about, way more people are going to be hospitalized for it (stressing a stressed system) and way more people are going to die. You doing a tin foil hat routine and telling people csndies will cause them cancer is you being an .

 

[sammydabiz]

Exactly, way more people have it then we know about, way more people are going to be hospitalized for it (stressing a stressed system) and way more people are going to die. You doing a tin foil hat routine and telling people csndies will cause them cancer is you being an .

Lol, you may have not taken statistics in school, but by many people not being tested who actually have it and therefore not dying from this will actually lower the mortality rate. It increases the field of infected, but lowers the % of death.

 

[Leebo]

Lol, you may have not taken statistics in school, but by many people not being tested who actually have it and therefore not dying from this will actually lower the mortality rate. It increases the field of infected, but lowers the % of death.

Some of the people who have it but haven't tested positive or shown symptoms yet will eventually die... The testing can't keep up with the spread.

 

[auror]

Lol, you may have not taken statistics in school, but by many people not being tested who actually have it and therefore not dying from this will actually lower the mortality rate. It increases the field of infected, but lowers the % of death.

Yes the rate is probably lower than that of the current. But the rate among confirmed cases currently is at 32x, not 10x, and there are a bunch more people who may yet die who have not recovered who are being counted among the denominator of the rate, so the uncertainty is working in both directions. 10x is a conservative estimate already accounting for the under-testing.

Again, the guy who said 10x is director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. He knows more than you. He took more than a statistics class.

 

[sammydabiz]

Some of the people who have it but haven't tested positive or shown symptoms yet will eventually die... The testing can't keep up with the spread.

True, but those who die will undoubtedly be referenced in the stats where those who are never tested either sick or asymptomayic have a very high probability of not being included.

 

[superjohn]

Lol, you may have not taken statistics in school, but by many people not being tested who actually have it and therefore not dying from this will actually lower the mortality rate. It increases the field of infected, but lowers the % of death.

No s***. You're not doing well here.

 

[Leebo]

True, but those who die will undoubtedly be referenced in the stats where those who are never tested either sick or asymptomayic have a very high probability of not being included.

And that never happens with flu, where someone just toughs it out and doesn't see a doctor for whatever reason? That's amazing!

 

[sammydabiz]

No s***. You're not doing well here.

Lmao, look in the mirror buddy

 

[casual-yardin]

Lol, you may have not taken statistics in school, but by many people not being tested who actually have it and therefore not dying from this will actually lower the mortality rate. It increases the field of infected, but lowers the % of death.

you do realize that with this virus you can contract it and not get sick for several days or a few weeks (and never actually get sick) but still pass it onto others?

 

[sammydabiz]

And that never happens with flu, where someone just toughs it out and doesn't see a doctor for whatever reason? That's amazing!

My point exactly... when the final numbers pan out weeks from now, my hunch it will look much closer to the flu than what people currently think.

I’m willing to relinquish my initial thoughts and we’ll prob see something around 1% maybe a little bit lower

 

[superjohn]

Lmao, look in the mirror buddy

The consensus among epidemiologists is this is most likely 10-15 times more lethal than your typical flu and you're talking about tin foil hats and skittles causing cancer. You're being a jagbag, grow up.

 

[sammydabiz]

you do realize that with this virus you can contract it and not get sick for several days or a few weeks (and never actually get sick) but still pass it onto others?

Yes, that happens with many viral stands. It’s called a incubation period

 

[sammydabiz]

The consensus among epidemiologists is this is most likely 10-15 times more lethal than your typical flu and you're talking about tin foil hats and skittles causing cancer. You're being a jagbag, grow up.

Don’t forget your toilet paper superjohn.

 

[Leebo]

My point exactly... when the final numbers pan out weeks from now, my hunch it will look much closer to the flu than what people currently think.

I’m willing to relinquish my initial thoughts and we’ll prob see something around 1% maybe a little bit lower

No... Not your point. Not sure I can explain it to you if you misunderstood that.

BTW... 1% would be 10x the seasonal flu.

But yeah, let's wait to see what percentage of people it kills and then we can reset to the saved file and act accordingly.

 

[sammydabiz]

No... Not your point. Not sure I can explain it to you if you misunderstood that.

BTW... 1% would be 10x the seasonal flu.

But yeah, let's wait to see what percentage of people it kills and then we can reset to the saved file and act accordingly.

Sounds good boss

 

[superjohn]

Don’t forget your toilet paper superjohn.

Ten times higher? Show me some literature that backs that up please.

 

[Kathy]

My point exactly... when the final numbers pan out weeks from now, my hunch it will look much closer to the flu than what people currently think.

I’m willing to relinquish my initial thoughts and we’ll prob see something around 1% maybe a little bit lower

1% is still 10x more deadly than the flu.

 

[Giants2021]

Everyone freaking out wanting to cancel sporting events but Disney ain’t cancelling they are not shutting down casinos I still have to go to work maybe worry about cancelling these things too.

 

[Giants2021]

People still going out to vote aren’t these public gatherings too. No NCAA tourney but ya everyone has to vote and play blackjack.

 

[Giants2021]

NBA will be back in a week

 

[CTBasketball]

Well good morning @Giants2019 you sure are active this early.

 

[Mr. Wonderful]

1% fatality rate is insanely high for an airborne illness. Pandemic is the right word. A month of restricted travel and suspension of large gatherings seems about right.

The one thing the experts need to emphasize way more is the "airborne illness" aspect of this. Too much emphasis on washing hands and touching faces, which will have virtually no effect on the spread of the disease.

You only need to breath the same air as an infected person and you're likely to get it. It's the airborne transmission of the virus that makes this so difficult to deal with.

 

[Excalibur]

Yes, that happens with many viral stands. It’s called a incubation period

You apparently don’t realize the implications of this particular incubation period with a disease for which the population has zero immunity.