In my observation, Charlie Creme's final bracket before Selection Sunday every year is usually a reliable predictor of what the actual bracket would look like IF the NCAA followed its own rules / guidelines. The reason why Charlie never gets it quite right is that the NCAA never does follow its own rules, and thereby deviates from what Charlie has predicted.
Regarding the 2001 UConn-Notre Dame situation that was mentioned earlier in this thread, I do not recall all the details, but I am quite sure of the following:
UConn and Notre Dame tied for the regular season Big East title, with each of them winning one game against the other. UConn did win the Big East Tournament final game against ND on Sue Bird's buzzer-beater. A normal person would expect those facts to result in a higher seed for UConn than for Notre Dame. However, the Committee chose not to see it that way, and when asked by reporters to explain its decision, the spokesperson said that "Notre Dame won the regular season Big East title". That was not true -- the two teams tied for the regular season title. But even if it were true, shouldn't the tournament outcome (which also resulted in a 2-1 advantage for UConn in the season series) be the obvious tiebreaker?